Deportivo Alaves will make the trip to Estadio de Vallecas for their La Liga encounter with Rayo Vallecano on Sunday, 26 October 2025.
View our free Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves predictions below.
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Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves predictions: A card fest
Key stats
- Five or more cards were awarded in seven of Alaves’ last eight matches.
- Four of the last five meetings between these teams went above the 4.5-card line.
- Fewer than three goals were scored in seven consecutive skirmishes between these outfits.
Correct score prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alaves
Rayo Vallecano have enjoyed some fine form, stringing together a four-game unbeaten run (W3, D1), while keeping three clean sheets. They are up against an Alaves side that managed only one win in their last five matches across all competitions.
Moreover, Rayo also have a solid track record against their visitors, as they won seven of the last 10 clashes between these sides and did not concede in six of their last nine meetings.
Keeping in mind that Alaves lost their last three trips to this stadium without scoring a single goal, we are confident that Rayo Vallecano will win-to-nil.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Rayo Vallecano are clear favourites
- HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Ahead of this clash, Deportivo Alaves and Rayo Vallecano are 10th and 11th in La Liga, respectively.
Considering Alaves' poor run of form, it is unsurprising that Rayo Vallecano are the expected winners at 21/20 (2.05). Teams with these odds usually have a 48.8% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves predictions.
Interestingly, Rayo Vallecano have opened the scoring in each of their last four games across all competitions. Keeping in mind that they also drew first blood in five of their last seven encounters with Alaves, Rayo Vallecano to score first has an appealing look at 3/4 (1.75). That one has a 57.1% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Rayo Vallecano have bragging rights
Deportivo Alaves have a poor track record against Rayo Vallecano, having lost the last two, and seven of the last 10 encounters between these sides. They have also lost three consecutive trips to this stadium.
Spain La Liga 29/03/25
CD Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 26/10/24
Rayo Vallecano
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 10/03/24
CD Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 15/09/23
Rayo Vallecano
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 16/04/22
CD Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano preview: Looking to extend their unbeaten run
Rayo concluded their UEFA Conference League clash against Hacken on Thursday without any fresh injuries. This means coach Inigo Perez will have only Luiz Felipe, who has not recovered from a hamstring injury, and Abdul Mumin, who is sidelined with a cruciate ligament problem, unavailable for selection.
It is worth noting that Rayo are yet to win a league game at home this season, but having gone four games unbeaten in recent times across all competitions, this weekend could just be the moment they're waiting for with a couple of their players in fine form.
Predicted lineup: Batalla (GK), Chavarria, Vertrouwd, Lejuene, Ratiu, Valentin, Lopez, Garcia, Palazon, De Frutos & Alemao.
Last five matches
- Hacken 2-2 Rayo Vallecano
- Levante 0-3 Rayo Vallecano
- Real Sociedad 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
- Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Shkendija
- Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Sevilla
Deportivo Alaves preview: A clean bill of health
Alaves will enter Matchday 10 with an injury-free squad, giving coach Eduardo Coudet the luxury of selecting his best XI on Sunday.
The visitors removed center-back Facundo Garces from their squad after FIFA imposed a 12-month ban on him for using forged documents to acquire citizenship in Malaysia. The player has pleaded his innocence and is fighting to clear his name with the final appeal and verdict still a long way out.
Predicted lineup: Sivera (GK), Otto, Tenaglia, Pacheco, Lekhedim, Vicente, Ibanez, Blanco, Rebbach, Boye & Martinez.
Last five matches
- Alaves 0-0 Valencia
- Alaves 3-1 Elche
- Mallorca 1-0 Alaves
- Getafe 1-1 Alaves
- Alaves 1-2 Sevilla
Player to watch: Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de Frutos is Rayo Vallecano's top performer in La Liga this season with four goals and an assist. The former Real Madrid midfielder scored a brace against Levante last weekend and will look to score in back-to-back league matches for the first time this season.