Stoke vs QPR prediction
Stoke in action in the Championship - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Draw

Stoke have drawn more games at home than they have won or lost in the Championship this season with eight of their 19 matches ending in stalemates.

Stoke City will be looking to pull away from the relegation places this weekend by securing all three points at home against mid-table QPR.

Stoke vs QPR prediction: Possible stalemate on the cards?

Key Stats

  • QPR have drawn more games (12) than they have won (11) so far this season in the Championship.
  • Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 61% of Stoke's league games this season.
  • 63% of QPR's away games in the Championship this season have ended with fewer than three goals scored.

Correct score prediction: Stoke 1-1 QPR

We're not expecting either of these sides to score more than once at the weekend as Stoke score an average of 1.21 goals per home game, while QPR score an average of 0.79 goals on their travels.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Stoke the slight favourite

  • HOME: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • AWAY: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Stoke are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 41.7% but we are predicting a tight and tense 90 minutes between the two clubs.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: QPR edge it

Saturday's guests have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five encounters with Stoke and the pair played out a 1-1 draw in November's reverse league meeting.

England Championship 23/11/24

QPR

QPR

1
Stoke

Stoke

1

England Championship 14/02/24

Stoke

Stoke

1
QPR

QPR

0

England Championship 28/11/23

QPR

QPR

4
Stoke

Stoke

2

England Championship 29/04/23

Stoke

Stoke

0
QPR

QPR

1

England Championship 17/09/22

QPR

QPR

0
Stoke

Stoke

0

Stoke preview: Only lost one of last four at home

Stoke made the trip to the capital before the international break to take on Millwall at The Den.

The game, as expected, proved to be tight and tense throughout but just when it looked to be heading for a goalless draw, Millwall converted a penalty deep into stoppage time to win the game 1-0.

Defender Ben Gibson and forward Ryan Mmaee are expected to miss the QPR game through injury.

Predicted lineup: Johansson (GK), Wilmot, Bocat, Tchamadeu, Phillips, Baker, Thompson, Burger, Bae, Al Hamadi & Koumas

England Championship 12/04/25

W

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

Stoke

Stoke

1

England Championship 08/04/25

D

Luton

Luton

1

Stoke

Stoke

1

England Championship 05/04/25

D

Preston

Preston

1

Stoke

Stoke

1

England Championship 29/03/25

W

QPR

QPR

1

Stoke

Stoke

3

England Championship 15/03/25

L

Millwall

Millwall

1

Stoke

Stoke

0

QPR preview: Without a victory in five

QPR entertained title-chasing Leeds last time out and the pair played out a four-goal thriller at Loftus Road.

The hosts took the lead in the 17th minute through Japanese winger Koki Saito and doubled their advantage on the half-hour mark via veteran defender Steve Cook. However, Leeds pulled a goal back shortly before the break and early in the second 45, the visitors equalised. Scorer of the first goal, Saito was sent off in stoppage time and will now miss the Stoke game but QPR held firm to secure a decent point in the end.

Predicted lineup: Nardi (GK), Cook, Fox, Paal, Dunne, Edwards, Colback, Andersen, Frey, Smyth & Dembele

England Championship 12/04/25

D

Bristol City

Bristol City

1

QPR

QPR

1

England Championship 09/04/25

W

Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd

1

QPR

QPR

3

England Championship 05/04/25

D

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

QPR

QPR

0

England Championship 29/03/25

L

Stoke

Stoke

3

QPR

QPR

1

England Championship 15/03/25

D

Leeds

Leeds

2

QPR

QPR

2

Player to watch: Lewis Baker

We've highlighted Stoke midfielder Lewis Baker as our player to watch on Saturday as the 29-year-old has chipped in with some key goals and assists this season.

Lewis Baker player to watch
Lewis Baker takes a shot – Photo by Imago

Lewis, who played for Leeds during the 2018/19 campaign, first joined Stoke in 2021 and this season he has scored four times in the Championship as well as providing two assists.

The Stoke midfielder has four Championship goals this season

Stoke have struggled to replace the goals of Tom Cannon, who left the club in January to join Sheffield United, but Baker does provide a goal threat from midfield and could prove key this weekend.


James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.