Stoke City will be looking to pull away from the relegation places this weekend by securing all three points at home against mid-table QPR.
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Stoke vs QPR prediction: Possible stalemate on the cards?
Key Stats
- QPR have drawn more games (12) than they have won (11) so far this season in the Championship.
- Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 61% of Stoke's league games this season.
- 63% of QPR's away games in the Championship this season have ended with fewer than three goals scored.
Correct score prediction: Stoke 1-1 QPR
We're not expecting either of these sides to score more than once at the weekend as Stoke score an average of 1.21 goals per home game, while QPR score an average of 0.79 goals on their travels.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Stoke the slight favourite
- HOME: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
- AWAY: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Stoke are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 41.7% but we are predicting a tight and tense 90 minutes between the two clubs.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: QPR edge it
Saturday's guests have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five encounters with Stoke and the pair played out a 1-1 draw in November's reverse league meeting.
England Championship 23/11/24
QPR
Stoke
England Championship 14/02/24
Stoke
QPR
England Championship 28/11/23
QPR
Stoke
England Championship 29/04/23
Stoke
QPR
England Championship 17/09/22
QPR
Stoke
Stoke preview: Only lost one of last four at home
Stoke made the trip to the capital before the international break to take on Millwall at The Den.
The game, as expected, proved to be tight and tense throughout but just when it looked to be heading for a goalless draw, Millwall converted a penalty deep into stoppage time to win the game 1-0.
Defender Ben Gibson and forward Ryan Mmaee are expected to miss the QPR game through injury.
Predicted lineup: Johansson (GK), Wilmot, Bocat, Tchamadeu, Phillips, Baker, Thompson, Burger, Bae, Al Hamadi & Koumas
England Championship 12/04/25
W
Cardiff
0
Stoke
1
England Championship 08/04/25
D
Luton
1
Stoke
1
England Championship 05/04/25
D
Preston
1
Stoke
1
England Championship 29/03/25
W
QPR
1
Stoke
3
England Championship 15/03/25
L
Millwall
1
Stoke
0
QPR preview: Without a victory in five
QPR entertained title-chasing Leeds last time out and the pair played out a four-goal thriller at Loftus Road.
The hosts took the lead in the 17th minute through Japanese winger Koki Saito and doubled their advantage on the half-hour mark via veteran defender Steve Cook. However, Leeds pulled a goal back shortly before the break and early in the second 45, the visitors equalised. Scorer of the first goal, Saito was sent off in stoppage time and will now miss the Stoke game but QPR held firm to secure a decent point in the end.
Predicted lineup: Nardi (GK), Cook, Fox, Paal, Dunne, Edwards, Colback, Andersen, Frey, Smyth & Dembele
England Championship 12/04/25
D
Bristol City
1
QPR
1
England Championship 09/04/25
W
Oxford Utd
1
QPR
3
England Championship 05/04/25
D
Cardiff
0
QPR
0
England Championship 29/03/25
L
Stoke
3
QPR
1
England Championship 15/03/25
D
Leeds
2
QPR
2
Player to watch: Lewis Baker
We've highlighted Stoke midfielder Lewis Baker as our player to watch on Saturday as the 29-year-old has chipped in with some key goals and assists this season.
Lewis, who played for Leeds during the 2018/19 campaign, first joined Stoke in 2021 and this season he has scored four times in the Championship as well as providing two assists.
The Stoke midfielder has four Championship goals this season
Stoke have struggled to replace the goals of Tom Cannon, who left the club in January to join Sheffield United, but Baker does provide a goal threat from midfield and could prove key this weekend.