PSG vs Bayern Munich prediction, odds & betting tips – 04/11/2025
PSG's Khvicha Kvaratskhelia - Photo by Imago/PsnewZ
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Over 3.5 goals

Bayern have seen over 3.5 goals in each of their three Champions League outings this season.

In an encounter bound to see at least one of the perfect starts to the Champions League campaign come to an end, Paris Saint-Germain welcome Bayern Munich to Parc des Princes this Tuesday in one of the standout fixtures of matchday four. Both sides arrive with a flawless record in the league phase, having secured three wins apiece, with PSG sitting top of the standings on goal difference, just ahead of the German giants in second.

The Parisians, who are the reigning European champions, began their defence of the continental crown in emphatic fashion, opening with a 4-0 triumph over Atalanta before edging Barcelona 2-1 on Spanish soil. PSG returned to their ruthless form in Germany, dismantling Bayer Leverkusen 7-2 on matchday three, and they come into this encounter on the back of a last-minute 1-0 victory over Nice in Ligue 1, which ensured they retained top spot in the domestic table.

Bayern started their campaign with a 3-1 win over Chelsea, followed by a 5-1 demolition of newcomers Pafos and a 4-0 victory against Club Brugge in their latest continental outing. A 3-0 win over Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga at the weekend extended the Bavarians’s perfect run across all competitions to 15 games, establishing them as the most in-form side across Europe’s top five leagues this term.

Read our PSG vs Bayern Munich predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other UEFA Champions League predictions.

PSG vs Bayern prediction: Giants collide for Supremacy

  • Bayern have the net more than three times in seven consecutive away games. 
  • PSG have also been prolific, netting two or more goals in each of their last five UEFA Champions League fixtures. 
  • Nine of Bayern’s 12 league phase goals this season have come in the first half.
  • PSG have drawn half of their last six matches across all competitions.

Correct score prediction: PSG 2-2 Bayern Munich

Judging from historical encounters, this fixture might have been expected to produce fewer goals, with the last five matches between the sides averaging below 2.5 goals. However, with the two clubs entering into this one with explosive attacking records, a high-scoring affair is entirely plausible. PSG and Bayern have averaged around four goals per game across their respective league phase outings this season. 

That said, given that both sides are in excellent form on the continental stage, a draw seems likely, and each team’s perfect run could come to an end.

Pre-match analysis: Odds indicate a tight contest

  • HOME: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.0%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
  • AWAY: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%

The odds emphasise how competitive this fixture is expected to be. PSG are priced with an implied probability of 42.0%, Bayern at 38.5%, and the 25.0% chance of a draw further highlights the fine margins between the sides. The over 3.5 goals market, currently at 1.85, offers value considering both clubs’ attacking output and recent scoring trends.

Most recent H2H: PSG triumphed in North America

The latest meeting occurred during the Club World Cup in July in the United States, where PSG ran out 2-0 winners in the quarter-final, ending a four-match losing streak against Bayern.

FIFA Club World Cup 05/07/25

PSG

PSG

2
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

0

UEFA Champions League 26/11/24

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

1
PSG

PSG

0

UEFA Champions League 08/03/23

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2
PSG

PSG

0

UEFA Champions League 14/02/23

PSG

PSG

0
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

1

UEFA Champions League 13/04/21

PSG

PSG

0
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

1

PSG preview: Ilya Zabarnyi suspended

Ilya Zabarnyi will miss this clash as he serves a suspension following his red card in PSG’s thrilling win over Bayer Leverkusen, paving the way for veteran defender Marquinhos to return to the starting XI. 

Desire Doue also remains sidelined, having missed the weekend’s Ligue 1 game with a thigh injury, while Fabian Ruiz is on the verge of a milestone, with his 50th Champions League appearance expected to come even if he does not feature against Bayern.

Predicted XI: Chevalier (GK), Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes, Vitinha, Zaire-Emery, Neves, Kvaratskhelia, Dembele & Barcola

PSG last five results:

  • 01/11/25: PSG 1-0 Nice (W)
  • 29/10/25: Lorient 1-1 PSG (D)
  • 25/10/25: Brest 0-3 PSG (W)
  • 21/10/25: Bayer Leverkusen 2-7 PSG (W)
  • 17/10/25: PSG 3-3 Strasbourg (D)

Bayern Munich preview: Attacking trio to return

Alphonso Davies remains sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury, while centre-back Hiroki Ito continues his recovery. Attacking midfielder Jamal Musiala is also working back from a broken leg. 

Meanwhile, Harry Kane, Luis Diaz and Michael Olise did not start against Leverkusen at the weekend, but they are expected to feature from the off in this encounter.

Predicted XI: Neuer (GK), Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Bischof, Kimmich, Pavlovic, Olise, Kane, Diaz & Jackson

Bayern's last five results:

  • 01/11/25: Bayern 3-0 Bayer Leverkusen (W)
  • 29/10/25: FC Koln 1-4 Bayern (W)
  • 25/10/25: B. Monchengladbach 0-3 Bayern (W)
  • 22/10/25: Bayern 4-0 Club Brugge KV (W)
  • 18/10/25: Bayern 2-1 Dortmund (W)

Player to watch: Harry Kane

Bayern Munich's Harry Kane – Photo by Imago/Philippe Ruiz

Harry Kane has scored 11 goals in his last ten Champions League appearances, including five this season, placing him level with Real Madrid’s Kylian Mbappe as the competition’s joint top scorer. The English forward is expected to spearhead Bayern’s attack once again and will be crucial in their efforts to extend their perfect run in Europe.

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Adeyeye Oluwapelumi is a writer with over four years of experience covering football and a range of global sports. A passionate Arsenal fan since 2004, he brings sharp insight and a genuine love for the game to every piece.