Burnley vs Preston Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/02/2023

Burnley
11/02/23 - 15:00

Finished

3

-

0

Preston

Burnley - Preston

England Championship - Turf Moor

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Here we bring you Championship predictions for Burnley vs Preston with the game due to take place on 11th February.

Burnley vs Preston: Our top betting predictions

Burnley's season continues to go from strength to strength with the Clarets now on a full blown cup run alongside sitting at the top of the Championship table. WIll they continue their good form here? Find out with our Burnley vs Preston match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

Burnley to win

There is only one place to start our predictions and that is with the match result market as we back Burnley to come out on top. The Clarets are unbeaten at home this season but, perhaps more importantly, have now won each of their last 11 games at Turf Moor. Preston meanwhile have lost three of their last four games and, whilst we appreciate football doesn't work in this manner, a 4-0 loss against a Norwich side Burnley have just tucked up 3-0 does not make for great reading. Preston haven't beaten Burnley since 2015 either!

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Expecting a few goals

Our next prediction backs this game to go over the 2.5 threshold in the total goals market. Burnley have gone over that threshold in three of their last four games whilst each of Preston's last five have gone north of that marker too. That recent form on the goal front for both sides combined with the odds on offer from our recommended bookmaker make an over 2.5 goal bet a smart value bet.

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Here are the key stats & form guide for Burnley vs Preston

Head to Head

13/09/22

England Championship CHA

Preston

Preston

Burnley

Burnley

1

1

01/09/20

Europe Friendlies Europe

Preston

Preston

Burnley

Burnley

0

0

23/07/18

Elite Club Friendlies Elite

Preston

Preston

Burnley

Burnley

2

3

25/07/17

Elite Club Friendlies Elite

Preston

Preston

Burnley

Burnley

1

2

22/04/16

England Championship CHA

Preston

Preston

Burnley

Burnley

0

1

Last Five - Burnley

17/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Arsenal

Arsenal

Burnley

Burnley

5

0

L

10/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Liverpool

Liverpool

Burnley

Burnley

3

1

L

03/02/24

England Premier League EPL

Fulham

Fulham

Burnley

Burnley

2

2

D

31/01/24

England Premier League EPL

Man City

Man City

Burnley

Burnley

3

1

L

12/01/24

England Premier League EPL

Luton

Luton

Burnley

Burnley

1

1

D

Last Five - Preston

17/02/24

England Championship CHA

Blackburn

Blackburn

Preston

Preston

2

2

D

14/02/24

England Championship CHA

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Preston

Preston

1

2

W

10/02/24

England Championship CHA

Cardiff

Cardiff

Preston

Preston

0

2

W

03/02/24

England Championship CHA

Ipswich

Ipswich

Preston

Preston

2

3

W

27/01/24

England Championship CHA

Millwall

Millwall

Preston

Preston

1

1

D

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the bookies odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game and how might that impact your view of our predictions? Let's find out.

Burnley odds: 7/13 (1.54) – 65%

Draw odds: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%

Preston odds: 5/1 (6.00) – 17%

Burnley arrive into this game as huge favourites in the eyes of the bookmakers and, quite frankly, given their home record it is hard to argue with the stance. In fact, even with such a price, it's not even a particularly poor value offer. Another market where the bookies think they have this game sussed is in the total goals. The under 2.5 goals bet is odds on suggesting we may have a low scoring game on our hands.

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Burnley vs Preston

Burnley

Burnley were made to work for their FA Cup win in the week but they had made a lot of changes to their XI with this game likely to see a return to something more in keeping with their strongest team. They smashed Norwich last weekend and could go with a very similar side here with just a tweak or two; one player who won't be rested though is Nathan Tella. He scored a brace on Tuesday night.

Predicted lineup – Peacock-Farrell, Roberts, Ekdal, Beyer, Maatsen, Brownhill, Cullen, Barnes, Zaroury, Tella, Barnes

Preston

Preston have lost back to back games heading into this match and, given how strong Burnley are at Turf Moor, it wouldn't be a huge surprise to see the visitors adjust their approach for this game. We can see Preston opting for a more conservative 3-5-2 formation, which they'll hope will give them more of a foothold in the match.

Predicted lineup – Woodman, Hughes, Lindsay, Storey, Brady, Woodburn, Ledson, McCann, Browne, Delap, Cannon

Starting Lineups

Burnley

Burnley
14
Connor Roberts
gb
18
Hjalmar Ekdal
se
8
Josh Brownhill
gb
23
Nathan Tella
gb
49
Arijanet Muric
xk
36
Louis Beyer
de
19
Anass Zaroury
ma
24
Joshua Cullen
ie
10
Ashley Barnes
gb
7
Johann Gudmundsson
is
29
Ian Maatsen
nl
Substitutes
11
Scott Twine
gb
45
Michael Obafemi
ie
15
Bailey Peacock-Farrell
gb
12
Lyle Foster
za
4
Jack Cork
gb
22
Vitinho
br
3
Charlie Taylor
gb

Preston

Preston
11
Robbie Brady
ie
13
Ali McCann
gb
8
Alan Browne
ie
7
Liam Delap
gb
14
Jordan Storey
gb
1
Freddie Woodman
gb
6
Liam Lindsay
gb
18
Ryan Ledson
gb
28
Thomas Cannon
ie
20
Ben Woodburn
gb
16
Andrew Hughes
gb
Substitutes
25
David Cornell
gb
15
Troy Parrott
ie
3
Gregory Cunningham
ie
4
Ben Whiteman
gb
44
Brad Potts
gb
17
Josh Onomah
gb
2
Alvaro Fernandez Carreras
es

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

We've already touched on Nathan Tella scoring twice in the week but he's far from just a cup player. He has been a real thorn in the side of many Championship defences this season and, given his form, it's fair to assume he could pose Preston some real challenges too. His goal contribution tally for the season stands at 13, which is split between 11 goals and two assists.

Check out the latest standings

Championship
# Team P W D L +/- Points
1 Leicester

Leicester

33 25 3 5 43 78
2 Leeds

Leeds

33 21 6 6 35 69
3 Ipswich

Ipswich

33 20 9 4 21 69
4 Southampton

Southampton

33 20 7 6 24 67
5 West Brom

West Brom

33 16 7 10 17 55
6 Hull

Hull

33 16 6 11 7 54
7 Coventry

Coventry

33 13 12 8 14 51
8 Norwich

Norwich

33 15 6 12 8 51
9 Preston

Preston

33 14 7 12 -8 49
10 Sunderland

Sunderland

33 14 5 14 8 47
11 Watford

Watford

33 11 11 11 4 44
12 Bristol City

Bristol City

33 12 8 13 1 44
13 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

32 13 5 14 0 44
14 Cardiff

Cardiff

33 12 5 16 -10 41
15 Birmingham

Birmingham

32 10 8 14 -11 38
16 Blackburn

Blackburn

33 11 5 17 -12 38
17

Plymouth

33 9 10 14 -6 37
18 Swansea

Swansea

33 9 9 15 -13 36
19 Stoke

Stoke

33 9 8 16 -16 35
20 Huddersfield

Huddersfield

33 7 13 13 -16 34
21 Millwall

Millwall

33 8 9 16 -15 33
22 QPR

QPR

33 8 8 17 -14 32
23 Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

33 8 5 20 -26 29
24 Rotherham

Rotherham

33 3 10 20 -35 19

A quickfire FAQ on Burnley vs Preston

Burnley vs Preston prediction

  • Where is the match being played? – Turf Moor
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – Burnley
  • What time does the match kick off?  3 PM GMT

Avatar of Ash Munson
Ash Munson

Ash an experienced sports writer who has an extensive background in data analytics. Here, he combines those skills to provide you, the reader, with engaging and well researched content. Oh, and Ash is an Ipswich Town fan!