Portugal is firmly on top of this Nations League group, and they travel to Scotland on Tuesday with confidence. They managed to edge Scotland by a score of 2-1 on home soil, but what could occur on a cold night in Glasgow? Let’s take a look.
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Scotland vs Portugal prediction: Portugal to edge Scotland and take three points
Key stats
- Scotland have lost three straight Nations League games by a 1 goal margin
- Portugal have scored 2 or more goals in all three Nations League matches
- Both teams have scored in all group games involving these teams so far
- All six group games involving these teams have had over 2.5 goals
Correct score prediction: Scotland 1-2 Portugal
Based on their previous Nations League encounter and given the scoring statistics involving these teams so far, we see a 2-1 result here in Portugal’s favour. We think Scotland will manage to score, but ultimately, Portugal’s experienced side should come out on top.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies backing Portugal
- HOME: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.80%
- DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.80%
- AWAY: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.60%
Given the latest odds, Portugal has a 63.60% probability of beating Scotland away from home. The Scots have a 20.80% chance, and we tend to agree with the current odds and implied probabilities.
Don’t forget to take a quick look at our football betting tips page for additional predictions.
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Most recent H2Hs: Portugal shining bright
In their first group game, this was the first official meeting between Scotland and Portugal. Therefore, the official H2H is 1-0 in Portugal’s favour. However, they played an international friendly in 2018, which finished 3-1 to Portugal.
UEFA Nations League A 08/09/24
Portugal
Scotland
International Match 14/10/18
Scotland
Portugal
Scotland preview: Zero points after three games
Scotland has been rather unlucky in the Nations League this year, in our opinion. They’ve lost every game by just 1 goal, despite putting in some strong performances. However, they did push Portugal very close when they faced them away from home.
Predicted Lineup: Gordon (GK); Ralston, Souttar, Hanley, Robertson; McLean, Gilmour; Doak, McTominay, Christie; Adams
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
L
Greece
3
Scotland
0
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
W
Greece
0
Scotland
1
UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24
W
Poland
1
Scotland
2
UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24
W
Croatia
0
Scotland
1
UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24
D
Portugal
0
Scotland
0
Portugal preview: Three games played, three won
Portugal has taken 9 points from 3 games in the group this year, meaning they are top of the group. Additionally, they have scored 7 goals in those 3 matches, although they have conceded in every game so far. That said, the scoring abilities of guys like Ronaldo and Fernandes could prove too much for Scotland once again.
Predicted Lineup: Costa (GK); Dalot, Dias, Veiga, Mendes; Silva, R. Neves; Jota, Fernandes, Leao; Ronaldo
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
W
Denmark
2
Portugal
5
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
L
Denmark
1
Portugal
0
UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24
D
Croatia
1
Portugal
1
UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24
W
Poland
1
Portugal
5
UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24
D
Scotland
0
Portugal
0
Player to watch – Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal)
Of course, who else could we pick as the key individual for Scotland vs Portugal? Ronaldo is still going strong despite closing in on his 40s, and he has scored in all three group games for Portugal this year. Subsequently, he has a chance to bag a goal in a 4th consecutive Nations League game here.
This alone shows what kind of contribution this man makes to his national team on such a regular basis.