Relegation threatened Portsmouth welcome Swansea to Fratton Park on New Year's Day, with both sides hoping to begin 2025 with some fireworks. Read on for our Portsmouth vs Swansea predictions and more.
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Portsmouth vs Swansea prediction: Can it match the 2-2 thriller last time?
Key Stats:
- Portsmouth have scored just five in their last five, while Swansea have scored 10.
- Only Cardiff and Hull have worse home records than Portsmouth.
- Both sides have just one clean sheet in their last five games.
Correct score prediction: Portsmouth 1-2 Swansea
We're backing resurgent Swansea to continue their advance on the playoffs with an away win, further imperilling Pompey's survival hopes.
The visitors have won their last two, while Portsmouth have lost their last two and have not made Fratton Park a fortress this season.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Away advantage
- HOME: 15/8 (2.88) – 34.8%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Swansea are the expected winner of this game, albeit by a narrow margin, with a win probability of 41.7%. Like the bookmakers, we think this'll be a tight game, but that Swansea will emerge victorious.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Honours even
Following Portsmouth's relegation to League One, and Swansea's spell in the Premier League, the last meeting between these two sides before this season came back in 2011.
The points were shared at the Liberty Stadium in November, though Swansea had the better of the play.
England Championship 30/11/24
Swansea
Portsmouth
Portsmouth preview: Can they rely on home advantage?
One silver lining for Portsmouth is that 10 of their 13 home points have come in their last four games at Fratton Park.
They will hope to stop the rot on home soil, following a pair of away defeats to Watford and Bristol City.
Another source of hope for Pompey are games in hand, with one or two over their relegation rivals, meaning their 23rd place in the table is a little deceptive.
Predicted lineup: Schmid (GK), Swanson, Pack, Towler, Ogilvie, Dozzell, Potts, Murphy, Lang, Ritchie, Bishop
England Championship 11/02/25
W
Cardiff
1
Portsmouth
2
England Championship 08/02/25
L
Sheff Utd
2
Portsmouth
1
England Championship 01/02/25
D
Burnley
0
Portsmouth
0
England Championship 28/01/25
L
Millwall
1
Portsmouth
0
England Championship 25/01/25
L
West Brom
5
Portsmouth
1
Swansea preview: Two on the spin
Swansea's nine points from their last five is better tally than all but four clubs in the Championship, as the Swans look to build on their solid Championship status.
Luke Williams' side are defensively resilient. They have only scored three more than their hosts, but have conceded 15 fewer. That is the main reason for their current ninth spot.
The main absentee for Swansea will be midfielder Goncalo Franco, who suffered a gruesome face injury last time out against Luton.
Predicted lineup: Vigoroux (GK), Key, Cabango, Darling, Tymon, Fulton, Grimes, Pereira, Cullen, Eom, Bianchini
England Championship 12/02/25
L
Sheff Wed
1
Swansea
0
England Championship 09/02/25
W
Bristol City
0
Swansea
1
England Championship 01/02/25
L
Coventry
2
Swansea
0
England Championship 25/01/25
L
Norwich
5
Swansea
1
England Championship 21/01/25
L
Sheff Utd
2
Swansea
1
Player to watch: Liam Cullen
Our player to watch in this one is Swansea's Liam Cullen. The Welsh international has spent much of his career as a centre-forward, but is enjoying a great season in a more withdrawn role.
Cullen was first fielded deeper in October, but has really hit his stride of late, with four goals in his last five games.