Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes prediction, odds & betting tips – 17/04/2024

FC Porto
17/04/24 - 20:15

Finished

3

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Guimaraes

FC Porto - Guimaraes

Portugal Cup - Estadio do Dragao

2nd Round

Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes prediction
Another win for Porto over Vitoria Guimaraes? – Photo by Icon Sport

Porto will host Vitoria Guimaraes in the second leg of the Taca de Portugal semi-finals on Wednesday, 17 April.

After beating Vitoria Guimaraes in the first leg, Porto lost to them in the league, so this will be their third duel in two weeks. Who will emerge victorious now?

Read our Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes prediction to find that out and learn more about this game.

Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes prediction: Porto to get to the final

Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Porto/Porto

⚽ Correct score prediction

Porto 2-0 Vitoria Guimaraes

⬆️ Over 2.5 goals prediction

No

Key Stats

  • Porto have beaten Vitoria Guimaraes in their last 11 meetings in a row before losing to them in their last duel.
  • Porto have won Taca de Portugal twice in a row and three times in the last four years.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes have gone under 2.5 total goals in three of their last four matches in all competitions.
  • Three of the last six H2H duels between these two teams have gone under 2.5 total goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Porto the more likely winner 

  • HOME: 7/20 (1.35) – 74.10%
  • DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.20%
  • AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.30%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

It is clear from these Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes odds that the hosts are the expected winners, which isn't really a surprise given how dominant they've been in duels against Vitoria in general.

That being said, Vitoria Guimaraes are having a good season and they did beat Porto last time they met in the league, just a week ago, also away from home.

Anyhow, if you want to get more of our predictions, check our latest betting tips for today.

Last five H2Hs: Clear domination by Porto

Portugal Primeira Liga 07/04/24

FC Porto

FC Porto

1
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

2

Portugal Cup 03/04/24

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

0
FC Porto

FC Porto

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 11/11/23

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

1
FC Porto

FC Porto

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 27/05/23

FC Porto

FC Porto

3
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 21/01/23

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

0
FC Porto

FC Porto

1

In the last five duels with Vitoria, Porto have four wins, so they've clearly been the better team lately. If we look at the overall H2H record, the situation is pretty much the same—92-30-19 in favour of Porto.

Porto preview: Hoping to save their season with a cup run

After beating Guimaraes 1-0 in the first leg of Taca de Portugal semis, Porto are now one step closer to reaching the final. However, Porto have been in bad form recently and that's their only win in their last four games across the board. In the league, they are in third place, tied with Braga and two points ahead Vitoria, who beat them in the league to make the race for the Europa League spot even more exciting.

Of course, Porto can secure their place in EL by winning Taca de Portugal, which would probably be the only way to somewhat save their season at this point.

When it comes to team news, Porto will miss their captain Pepe and their best scorer Evanilson in this match, due to suspensions. Also, Zaidu Sanusi, Ivan Marcano, and Fabio Cardoso are out with injuries.

Predicted LineupCosta – Sanchez, Otavio, Pedro, Wendell – Gonzalez, Grujic – Conceicao, Pepe, Galeno – Taremi

Portugal Primeira Liga 18/05/24

W

Braga

Braga

0

FC Porto

FC Porto

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 12/05/24

W

Boavista

Boavista

1

FC Porto

FC Porto

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/24

W

Chaves

Chaves

0

FC Porto

FC Porto

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 28/04/24

D

Sporting

Sporting

2

FC Porto

FC Porto

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 21/04/24

W

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

1

FC Porto

FC Porto

2

Vitoria Guimaraes preview: Can they beat Porto twice in a row?

With five wins and one draw in the last six rounds of the Primeira Liga, Vitoria Guimaraes have been in great form recently. In fact, their only loss for a while has been in the first leg of Taca de Portugal to Porto, but then they went on to beat them in the league a few days after, which was their first win over Porto after 11 losses in a row.

Thanks to this run, Vitoria Guimaraes are now just two points behind Porto and Braga in the league standings as these teams fight for the third place and a spot in Europa League. Of course, Vitoria are still in play in Taca de Portugal and their recent win over Porto might just be the boost of confidence they need to eliminate them, despite the first-leg loss.

Meanwhile, Telmo Arcanjo is out with an injury and Ricardo Mangas is doubtful.

Predicted LineupVarela – Ribeiro, Borevkovic, Fernandes – Handel, Gaspar – T. Silva, Mendes, Freitas – Cesar, J. Silva

Portugal Primeira Liga 18/05/24

W

Arouca

Arouca

1

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/24

L

Braga

Braga

3

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/24

L

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

2

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/24

W

Boavista

Boavista

0

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 21/04/24

L

Sporting

Sporting

3

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

0

Player to watch: Galeno

With Porto's top scorer this season Evanilson out of the second leg, Galeno will have to lead them to the final. The Brazilian midfielder is having a good season, with seven goals and assists each in the Primeira Liga, as well as two goals and assists each in Taca de Portugal.

Galeno
Can Galeno lead Porto to the final? – Photo by Icon Sport

Will Galeno score first?

The Brazilian has 14 goals in all competitions this season and eight of these goals were scored in the first half. That gives Galeno a solid chance to become the first goalscorer in this game, especially with Evanilson out.


Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.