Vitoria Guimaraes will make the trip to Estadio do Dragao for their Primeira Liga encounter with Porto on Monday, 24 February 2025. View our free Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes predictions below.
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Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes predictions: Visitors to draw first blood
Key stats
- Porto conceded first in eight of their last 11 games across all competitions.
- Vitoria Guimaraes suffered 13 defeats in their last 14 clashes with Porto.
- At least three goals were scored in five of the last six meetings between these teams.
- Porto have not lost at home in the Primeira Liga this season.
Correct score prediction: Porto 2-1 Vitoria Guimaraes
To be fair, Porto have struggled to find their best form in recent weeks, winning only one of their last five games. However, they have been one of the best home teams in the Portuguese top flight with nine wins and two draws in 11 home games.
Given that they also won 13 of their last 14 meetings with Vitoria Guimaraes, we are confident that Porto will claim all the spoils after all is said and done.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Porto are clear favourites
- HOME: 13/20 (1.65) – 60.6%
- DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Vitoria Guimaraes have been involved in more than their fair share of stalemates, as the spoils were shared in eight of their last 11 matches. At the time of writing, no team has drawn more games than Luis Freire’s side in the Portuguese top flight.
Ahead of this clash, Porto and Vitoria Guimaraes are fourth and seventh in the Primeira Liga, respectively.
Given their unbeaten run at home, it is unsurprising that Porto are the expected winners at 13/20 (1.65). Teams with these odds usually have a 60.6% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes predictions.
We have also pointed out that five of the last six skirmishes between these outfits went north of the 2.5-goal marker. On that note, over 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 21/20 (2.05). That one has a 48.8% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: A one-sided affair
It is safe to say that Vitoria Guimaraes do not particularly look forward to meeting Porto, as they suffered 13 defeats in the last 14 encounters between these sides.
Portugal Primeira Liga 21/09/24
Guimaraes
FC Porto
Portugal Cup 17/04/24
FC Porto
Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga 07/04/24
FC Porto
Guimaraes
Portugal Cup 03/04/24
Guimaraes
FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/11/23
Guimaraes
FC Porto
Porto preview: Looking to get back to winning ways
Serbian midfielder Marko Grujic and Martim Fernandes are both ruled out of this clash due to injury.
Predicted lineup: Costa (GK), Otavio, Perez, Djalo, Mario, Varela, Eustaquio, Moura, Vieira, Pepe & Aghehowa.
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25
W
Boavista
1
FC Porto
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 02/05/25
W
Moreirense
1
FC Porto
3
Portugal Primeira Liga 26/04/25
L
Estrela
2
FC Porto
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 18/04/25
W
Famalicao
1
FC Porto
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25
W
Casa Pia
0
FC Porto
1
Vitoria Guimaraes preview: Eyeing their biggest win of the season
Vitoria Guimaraes will be missing key defender Mikel Villanueva due to suspension on Monday, while midfielders Bruno Gaspar and Gustavo Silva are sidelined with muscle injuries.
Predicted lineup: Varela (GK), Maga, Borevkovic, Relvas, Mendes, T. Silva, Handel, Arcanjo, Samu, Santos & Oliveira.
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25
L
SC Farense
2
Guimaraes
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25
W
Nacional
1
Guimaraes
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25
W
Rio Ave
0
Guimaraes
3
Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25
L
Benfica
3
Guimaraes
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/04/25
W
Gil Vicente
0
Guimaraes
1
Player to watch: Samuel Aghehowa
Samu Aghehowa put in a man-of-the-match performance in the reverse fixture, scoring a brace in Porto's 3-0 victory. The former Atletico Madrid player is the team's top performer with 13 goals and three assists in 18 league assignments. He will fancy his chances against Vitoria Guimaraes once again.