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In control of this Taca de Portugal semi-final tie, Sporting Lisbon carry a one-goal advantage into their trip to Porto for the second leg at Estadio do Dragao on Wednesday.
The Lions secured a 1-0 victory in the first leg and are aiming to avoid defeat in order to reach the competition final for a second successive season, having lifted the trophy last term.
Porto, meanwhile, are seeking to overturn that deficit as they target a sixth Taca de Portugal final appearance in eight seasons.
Whichever side progresses will be strongly fancied to lift the trophy, with the winner set to face the victor of Torreense versus Fafe.
In addition to our Porto vs Sporting Lisbon prediction below, check out the rest of today's betting tips.
Contents
Porto vs Sporting key stats
- Each of the last three head-to-head meetings at the Dragao between the sides finished level after 90 minutes.
- Porto have suffered just one defeat in their last 25 home matches across all competitions (W20, D4) this season.
- Sporting have won only one of their last four fixtures in all competitions (D1, L2).
- Porto have opened the scoring in 19 of their last 20 home matches.
Porto vs Sporting Lisbon preview: Dragons aiming to overturn deficit at the Dragao
| Porto | vs | Sporting Lisbon |
|---|---|---|
| 1st (Primeira Liga) | Position | 3rd (Primeira Liga) |
| 79 | Points | 71 |
| 61 | Goals For | 74 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 19 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 1st | Home Rank | 3rd |
| 1st | Away Rank | 2nd |
Porto are 20-time winners of the Taca de Portugal, lifting the competition in four of the previous seven seasons and underlining their long-standing domestic cup pedigree.
However, the Blue and Whites fell below expectations last term when they exited at the fourth-round stage against Moreirense.
In response, they have progressed past Celoricense, Sintrense, Famalicao and Benfica to reach this phase but must now overturn a one-goal deficit at the Dragao to book their place in the final.
Francesco Farioli’s side have shown some inconsistency at home in recent weeks, although a 2-0 win over Tondela on Sunday ended a brief run of successive draws at their own ground.
That result extended Porto’s strong league form, as they moved seven points clear at the top of the Primeira Liga table, keeping hopes of a domestic double firmly alive.
Sporting, however, achieved that feat last season, pipping Benfica to the Primeira Liga and beating them in the Taca de Portugal final.
In this season’s Portuguese Cup, Rui Borges’ team have edged past Pacos de Ferreira, Santa Clara and AVS after extra time, with their only comfortable win coming against Marinhense.
While the Lions arrive needing to defend a one-goal cushion, recent form has been unconvincing following a 1-0 aggregate Champions League exit to Arsenal and a 2-1 Derby de Lisboa defeat to Benfica.
That loss against their city rivals dropped Sporting to third in the Primeira Liga, eight points adrift of the summit, although they do hold a game in hand.
The result also highlights a dip in attacking output, with the Lions scoring just two goals across their last four matches.
Porto vs Sporting form guide & betting insights
| Porto | vs | Sporting Lisbon |
|---|---|---|
| D-D-W-L-W | Form | W-L-W-D-L |
| 8 | Goals For | 6 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 5 |
| W-W-W-W-L | Taca de Portugal name form | W-W-W-W-W |
Whispers predicts: Porto 1-1 Sporting
This tie is finely poised and set up for a competitive affair, with Porto installed as 2.15 favourites compared to Sporting at 3.10.
Home advantage and the need to overturn the deficit justify Porto’s price, although recent performances at the Dragao, including successive draws prior to their win over Tondela, suggest vulnerability in key moments.
A draw at 3.00 looks appealing given the balance of the tie, particularly as three of the last head-to-head meetings at this venue have ended level after 90 minutes.
Goal patterns also point towards a tight yet open contest, with three of those recent encounters seeing both teams score, making BTTS Yes at 1.80 worth backing.
BTTS combined with under 4.5 goals is priced at 2.25, offering enhanced value relative to the straight goals market, while Porto to score first remains attractive at 1.80.
For a higher-risk selection, Victor Froholdt has found the net twice in his last three appearances for the Dragons and is priced at 5.50 to score anytime.
> BTTS – Yes at 1.80 | Likelihood: Probable
> Team to score first – Porto at 1.80 | Likelihood: Probable
> Under 4.5 goals & BTTS – Yes at 2.25 | Likelihood: Possible
> Match result – Draw at 3.10 | Likelihood: Possible
> Anytime scorer – Victor Froholdt at 5.50 | Likelihood: Outsider