Porto vs Man Utd prediction
Bruno Fernandes looks dejected after being sent-off - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Porto or draw

Porto have won fur of their last six matches in all competitions.

Porto will be hoping to secure their first points in this season's new-look Europa League after losing their opener against Bodo/Glimt.

Manchester United provide the opposition for the Portuguese hosts this Thursday and manager Erik ten Hag really needs a win as his job is under threat.

Porto vs Man Utd prediction: Porto to avoid defeat?

Key Stats

  • Man Utd are without a win in their last three matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals have been produced in each of Porto's last four fixtures.
  • At least three goals have been scored in four of Man Utd's last six outings.

Correct score prediction: Porto 2-1 Man Utd

Porto have won their last three home games, scoring at least two goals in the process but Thursday's hosts have only kept two clean sheets in their last six attempts, so we're backing a final scoreline of 2-1 in the Portuguese side's favour.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Man Utd the slight favourite

  • HOME: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
  • DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • AWAY: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Man Utd are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 40% but we're backing Porto to get something out of this game.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Level pegging

These two teams have met four times between 2004-2009 in the Champions League and both teams have picked up one win, two draws and suffered one defeat during that period.

Porto preview: Enjoying a solid start

Porto claimed a 4-0 win at home against Arouca on Sunday and currently sit second in the Primeira Liga table, three points behind the leaders Sporting.

The Portuguese side suffered a surprise 3-2 defeat in Norway against Bodo/Glimt in their opening Europa League tie and will be looking to bounce back against United.

Otavio is a doubt but Zaidu Sanusi and Ivan Marcano will miss out on Thursday due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Costa (GK), Ze Pedro, Perez, Moura, Mario, González, Sousa, Varela, Galeno, Pepe & Omorodion

Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25

W

Boavista

Boavista

1

FC Porto

FC Porto

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 02/05/25

W

Moreirense

Moreirense

1

FC Porto

FC Porto

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 26/04/25

L

Estrela

Estrela

2

FC Porto

FC Porto

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 18/04/25

W

Famalicao

Famalicao

1

FC Porto

FC Porto

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25

W

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0

FC Porto

FC Porto

1

Man Utd preview: Performing poorly

Some had thought that Erik ten Hag's side had turned a corner following their 3-0 win against Southampton in the Premier League and their 7-0 EFL Cup victory over Barnsley. However, draws with Crystal Palace and Twente were followed up with a 3-0 home defeat at the hands of Tottenham, leaving many asking if this was the right time to sack ten Hag.

Mason Mount and Kobbie Mainoo both picked up injuries during that Spurs defeat and could now miss the Porto game along with Harry Maguire, Luke Shaw, Leny Yoro and Tyrell Malacia.

Predicted lineup: Onana (GK), Mazraoui, de Ligt, Dalot, Martínez, Fernandes, Ugarte, Eriksen, Rashford, Zirkzee & Garnacho

England Premier League 11/05/25

L

West Ham

West Ham

2

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

UEFA Europa League 08/05/25

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

Man Utd

Man Utd

4

England Premier League 04/05/25

L

Brentford

Brentford

4

Man Utd

Man Utd

3

UEFA Europa League 01/05/25

W

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

Man Utd

Man Utd

3

England Premier League 27/04/25

D

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

1

Man Utd

Man Utd

1

Player to watch: Galeno

Galeno took his time to settle in at Porto after he re-signed for the club in 2022 after impressing at Braga.

Galeno player to watch
Galeno converts a penalty for Porto – Photo by Imago

The Brazilian midfielder only made two appearances in the Primeira Liga during his first spell with the Portuguese giants before he was sold to Braga. Galeno quickly made a name for himself in the Portuguese league which promoted Porot to re-sign the winger in 2022.

The Brazilian winger has scored seven goals in all competitions

After scoring 16 goals in all competitions last season, Galeno has netted seven goals in nine appearances across all competitions in 2024/25 and we're backing him to put in another impressive performance on Thursday against Man Utd.


James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.