Looking to strengthen their push for a top eight finish, Porto welcome struggling Malmo to Estadio do Dragao this Thursday for matchday six of the Europa League.
The Dragons sit eighth in the league phase on 10 points, while Di Blae are third from bottom, having managed just one point from their five outings.
Our Porto vs Malmo prediction provides clear insight, while the rest of our Europa League tips remain available for review.
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Porto vs Malmo prediction: The Dragons to reign supreme
Key stats:
- Malmo have recorded just two goals in the league phase – the second fewest in the campaign.
- Porto have kept clean sheets in seven of their 10 home games across all competitions this season.
- Both of Malmo’s away games in the league phase have ended in 3-0 defeats.
- Porto have won eight of their last 12 Europa group stage or league phase matches at home (D3, L1).
Correct score prediction: Porto 3-0 Malmo
Ideally this shapes up like a clear mismatch, with Porto holding the edge in almost every department.
The Portuguese outfit boast a stronger European pedigree than their Swedish visitors, while the gulf in current form also points towards a comfortable victory for Francisco Farioli’s men.
Given the Dragons’s impressive defensive record, having kept clean sheets in 14 of their 21 outings across all competitions this season, it is hard to see the visitors’ blunt attack finding a way through.
Pre-match analysis: Almost no chance for the visitors
- HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
- DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
- AWAY: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.7%
*Odds courtesy of Ladbrokes; subject to change*
The clear dominance of the hosts cannot be more evident, with an imposing win probability of 81.8%, leaving almost no room for an upset, while the meagre 7.7% likelihood of a Malmo victory further underlines how one-sided this contest could be.
Meanwhile, our hot tip – home side to score in both halves – offers excellent value at 1.85 odds.
Most recent H2H: First meeting between the sides
This will be the first head-to-head meeting between Porto and Malmo.
Porto preview: Key attacker ruled out for the rest of the season
Porto reacted perfectly to their Taca da Liga elimination at the hands of Vitoria Guimaraes by beating Tondela 2-0 in the Primeira Liga over the weekend.
The Dragons will now aim for another victory on Thursday in a bid to tighten their grip on the top eight, though that pursuit will continue without veteran striker Luuk de Jong.
De Jong is set to remain on the sidelines for the rest of the season following a knee injury, while long-term absentee Nehuen Perez is still working towards full recovery.
Predicted XI: D Costa (GK), Fernandes, Bednarek, Kiwior, Zaidu, Eustaquio, Rosario, Mora, Gomes, Samu & Sainz
Porto’s last five results:
- 07/12/25: Tondela 0-2 Porto (W)
- 04/12/25: Porto 1-3 Vitoria Guimaraes (L)
- 30/11/25: Porto 1-0 Estoril (W)
- 27/11/25: Porto 3-0 Nice (W)
- 22/11/25: Porto 3-0 Sintrense (W)
Malmo preview: Fresher legs but low confidence
Malmo finished the Allsvenskan season sixth, despite a 2-1 win on the final day, and failed to translate that upturn to the continental stage, having lost 3-0 at Nottingham Forest last time out.
The Swedish outfit are expected to be without left-back Arnor Sigurdsson, who will continue his recovery from a knee injury, while midfielder Otto Rosengren could miss out on a straight outing after sitting out the trip to the City Ground.
Predicted XI: Ellborg (GK), Stryger, Jansson, Djuric, Busanello, Karlsson, Busuladzic, Skogmar, Ekong, Haksabanovic & Gudjohnsen
Malmo’s last five results:
- 27/11/25: Nottingham 3-0 Malmo (L)
- 09/11/25: Malmo 2-1 GAIS (W)
- 06/11/25: Malmo 0-1 Panathinaikos (L)
- 01/11/25: Hacken 1-1 Malmo (D)
- 27/10/25: Malmo 1-3 Hammarby (L)
Player to watch: William Gomes
William Gomes scored the second goal in Porto’s victory over Tondela at the weekend, making it two strikes in the last three appearances for the 19-year-old attacker.
As a result, Gomes could earn his first Europa League start since round two when he opened the scoring in the victory over Red Star Belgrade, having also netted a late winner off the bench in the win against Salzburg on matchday one.