Porto will take on Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga on Monday, 2 December in a match that has suddenly become very important for the home side.
Sporting Lisbon's shock defeat to Santa Clara has opened the door for Porto to close the gap in the title race, something that should give the players extra motivation ahead of the visit of Casa Pia.
The visitors, meanwhile, come into the match in tenth place in the league table. They are going along nicely and will provide Porto with a stern test.
As part of our latest round of Primeira Liga betting tips, check out our Porto vs Casa Pia prediction below.
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Porto vs Casa Pia prediction: A struggle in store for the hosts
Key stats
- Casa Pia are unbeaten across their last five matches in all competitions.
- Casa Pia have only lost by two or more goals in one of their last ten matches in all competitions.
- Both teams have scored in each of Porto's last four matches in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Porto 1-1 Casa Pia
A draw is definitely on the cards on Monday night with Casa Pia heading to the Estadio Do Dragao with plenty of confidence. Porto, on the other hand, are playing their worst football of the season and could do without Casa Pia this weekend. Expect goals at both ends in a match that could go either way.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Porto go in as big favourites
- HOME: 1/5 (1.20) – 83.3%
- DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
- AWAY: 11/1 (12.00) – 8.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Porto vs Casa Pia odds are heavily weighted towards the home side but this feels like the bookies have priced the name rather than the form. Porto have been given an 83.3% chance of winning by Ladbrokes despite their rocky form while Casa Pia have been given just an 8.3% chance of coming out on top.
Check out our betting tips today page for more Primeira Liga predictions this week.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Porto
Porto's short odds on Monday night can perhaps be explained by their recent record against Casa Pia. The Dragons are unbeaten across their last five meetings with Casa Pia and four of those were victories, including last season's 3-1 win in this corresponding fixture.
Portugal Primeira Liga 21/04/24
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga 09/12/23
FC Porto
Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga 14/05/23
FC Porto
Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga 07/01/23
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Portugal League Cup 05/12/19
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Porto preview: Bruno on the brink
Vitor Bruno was reportedly set for the sack if Porto had lost to Anderlecht on Thursday night but the draw bought him some extra time. If they fail to win this one, though, then the board could choose to wield the axe in a move that wouldn't come as a shock to anyone that has watched Porto this season.
Predicted lineup: Costa (GK), Fernandes, Djalo, Perez, Moura, Varela, Gonzalez, Pepe, Vieira, Galeno, Aghehowa
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25
W
Boavista
1
FC Porto
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 02/05/25
W
Moreirense
1
FC Porto
3
Portugal Primeira Liga 26/04/25
L
Estrela
2
FC Porto
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 18/04/25
W
Famalicao
1
FC Porto
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25
W
Casa Pia
0
FC Porto
1
Casa Pia preview: An impressive turnaround
Many pundits in Portugal had written Casa Pia off at the start of the season when they started the campaign with three miserable defeats. However, they have since turned things around remarkably well and now look like one of the hardest teams to defeat in the division. Porto could do without them this weekend.
Predicted lineup: Sequeira (GK), Zolotic, Goulart, Kluivert, Geraldes, Brito, Kraev, Lelo, Livolant, Cassiano, Moreira
Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25
W
Braga
1
Casa Pia
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/25
D
Arouca
0
Casa Pia
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 29/04/25
L
Estoril
3
Casa Pia
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25
D
AVS
1
Casa Pia
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25
L
FC Porto
1
Casa Pia
0
Player to watch: Galeno
Porto have needed Brazilian winger, Galeno, to step up this season after the departure of Evanilson and the 27-year-old started the season very well. However, his form has tailed off in recent weeks which perhaps explains why Porto have also looked sluggish. His importance to the team is clear and a return to form on Monday night would be timely.