Casa Pia vs Porto prediction, odds & betting tips – 21/04/2024

Casa Pia
21/04/24 - 18:00

Finished

1

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FC Porto

Casa Pia - FC Porto

Portugal Primeira Liga - Estadio Pina Manique

Casa Pia vs Porto prediction
Felippe and Gonçalo Borges battle for the ball as Porto host Casa Pia – Photo by Icon Sport

It's time for our Portuguese league predictions ahead of Porto's trip to mid-table Casa Pia on Sunday. Porto might be out of the title race but they still need to secure Champions League football for another season and with Braga breathing down their necks, there is no room for any slipups this weekend.

Casa Pia vs Porto predictions: Away win expected

Casa Pia vs Porto Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Porto Win-to-Nil

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Casa Pia 0-2 Porto

⚽ Anytime Goalscorer prediction

Mehdi Taremi

Key Stats

  • Porto have won three of their previous four meetings with Casa Pia in all competitions, keeping clean sheets in two of those encounters. Sunday's hosts have failed to score in three of their last six league games, while Porto kept a clean sheet in their last away game in the Taca de Portugal against Vitoria Guimaraes.
  • The visitors have scored at least two goals in three of their last six fixtures, while Casa Pia have failed to score in each of their last three home games.
  • Mehdi Taremi hasn't been in good form this season but the Iran international has scored in each of his last two appearances for Porto and with Evanilson suspended, he should start against Casa Pia.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Porto backed by the bookmakers

  • HOME: 9/1 (10.00) – 10%
  • DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
  • AWAY: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Porto are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 73.3%, and it's hard to argue with the bookmakers on this one.

Casa Pia claimed a 2-2 draw at Portimonense last time out, while Porto ran out 3-1 winners in the cup against Vitoria Guimaraes in their last game.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. You can back under 2.5 goals to be scored in this game at 9/10 (1.90) which has a probability of 52.6%, while a bet on over 2.5 goals is priced at 19/20 (1.95) with a probability of 51.3%.

Last five H2Hs: Porto yet to lose against Casa Pia

Portugal Primeira Liga 09/12/23

FC Porto

FC Porto

3
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 14/05/23

FC Porto

FC Porto

2
Casa Pia

Casa Pia

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 07/01/23

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0
FC Porto

FC Porto

0

Portugal League Cup 05/12/19

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0
FC Porto

FC Porto

3

The visitors have won three and drawn one of their previous four encounters with Sunday's hosts, claiming a 3-1 victory in the pair's reverse league fixture back in December.

Team news and form guide

Casa Pia: Failed to score in last three at home

Beni Mukendi is suspended for Sunday's match, while Kiki Silva will miss the game due to an ACL injury.

Predicted lineup: Batista (GK), Zolotić, Nunes, Larrazabal, Tchamba, Lelo, Neto, Moreira, Segovia, Cardoso & Soma

Portugal Primeira Liga 14/04/24

D

Portimonense

Portimonense

2

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 08/04/24

D

Estoril

Estoril

0

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 31/03/24

W

Vizela

Vizela

0

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

4

Portugal Primeira Liga 17/03/24

L

Benfica

Benfica

1

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 08/03/24

L

Estrela

Estrela

3

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

1

Porto: Three wins from last six in all comps

Evanilson isn't available for the visitors following a red card in their last league game, while Zaidu Sanusi and Ivan Marcano are both injured.

Predicted lineup: Costa (GK), Wendell, Zé Pedro, Sánchez, Otávio, Grujić, Galeno, González, Aquino, Taremi & Conceição

Portugal Cup 17/04/24

W

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

1

FC Porto

FC Porto

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 13/04/24

D

Famalicao

Famalicao

2

FC Porto

FC Porto

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 07/04/24

L

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

2

FC Porto

FC Porto

1

Portugal Cup 03/04/24

W

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

0

FC Porto

FC Porto

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 30/03/24

L

Estoril

Estoril

1

FC Porto

FC Porto

0

Player to watch – Mehdi Taremi

Mehdi Taremi was Porto's star player for the last three seasons but the 2023/24 campaign has been tough on the Iran international.

Mehdi Taremi player to watch
Mehdi Taremi on the ball against Arsenal in the Champions League – Photo by Icon sport

Taremi has gone from scoring 20 league goals a season to just four in the current campaign and his poor start to the season, coupled with injuries and international commitments has led to the striker not getting anywhere near as much game time as expected.

Having a poor season by his high standards

However, Taremi hasn't lost all that quality and that showed in his last two games in which he scored on both occasions. We're backing the Porot striker to have a strong finish to the season and that is why he is our player to watch on Sunday.


Avatar of James Kelbrick
James Kelbrick

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.