It's Derby Da Invicta day this Sunday as Boavista play host to their local rivals Porto in the Primeira Liga, and we're bringing you all our tips and predictions for the big game.
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Boavista vs Porto prediction: A low-scoring victory for Porto?
Key Stats
- Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 62% of Boavista's home games this season.
- 46% of Porto's away trips in the league have ended with fewer than three goals scored.
- Porto have won six of their last seven meetings with Boavista, running out 4-0 winners in December's reverse league fixture.
Correct score prediction: Boavista 0-2 Porto
With Boavista scoring an average of just 0.44 goals per home game and conceding an average of 1.81 goals per game in their own backyard, you can see why we've backed a 2-0 win for Porto on Sunday.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Porto the clear favourite
- HOME: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
- DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
- AWAY: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Porto are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 71.4% and we can't argue with the bookmakers on this selection.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Porto dominate
Sunday's guests have won four and drawn one of their last five league meetings with Boavista, securing a 4-0 win in the pair's reverse league encounter in December.
Portugal Primeira Liga 28/12/24
FC Porto
Boavista
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/05/24
FC Porto
Boavista
Portugal Primeira Liga 05/01/24
Boavista
FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga 30/04/23
FC Porto
Boavista
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/11/22
Boavista
FC Porto
Boavista preview: A big win against AVS
Following a goalless first half at the Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves last time out, Boavista slipped behind shortly after the hour mark against AVS. However, an equalising goal in the 67th minute was followed up by a winner from Abdoulay Diaby handed Boavista all three points, keeping their hopes of avoiding relegation alive.
Miguel Reisinho returns following a suspension but Marco Ribeiro, Luis Pires and Joao Goncalves all look set to miss this weekend's derby match.
Predicted lineup: Vaclík (GK), Ferreira, Abascal, Kakay, Fogning, van Ginkel, Pérez, Silva, Diaby, Agra & Bozeník
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25
L
FC Porto
2
Boavista
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 05/05/25
W
AVS
1
Boavista
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25
L
Sporting
5
Boavista
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 18/04/25
W
SC Farense
0
Boavista
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25
L
Nacional
1
Boavista
0
Porto preview: Eased past Moreirense
Despite falling behind at home to Moreirense last Friday night, Porto managed to score three goals without reply to claim all three points in their own backyard. Francisco Moura equalised for the home side in the 40th minute and a brace from top scorer Samu Aghehowa in the second 45 secured Porto a 3-1 victory.
Alan Varela makes his return to the squad following a brief suspension but Stephen Eustaquio, Vasco Sousa and Marko Grujic could miss the Boavista game through injury.
Predicted lineup: Ramos (GK), Marcano, Ze Pedro, Perez, Moura, Mario, Eustaquio, Vieira, Mora, Pepe & Aghehowa
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25
W
Boavista
1
FC Porto
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 02/05/25
W
Moreirense
1
FC Porto
3
Portugal Primeira Liga 26/04/25
L
Estrela
2
FC Porto
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 18/04/25
W
Famalicao
1
FC Porto
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25
W
Casa Pia
0
FC Porto
1
Player to watch: Samu Aghehowa
Porto's top goalscorer this season is a young Spanish striker who is really making a name for himself in European football.
Samu Aghehowa made the move to Porto after scoring eight goals in 34 La Liga appearances for Alaves last season and has gone on to score 18 times in 28 Primeira Liga games for the Portuguese giants.
Porto's young Spanish forward has 18 Primeira Liga goals this season
We're backing Aghehowa to shine against Boavista this weekend just as he did when the pair locked horns in December and the Spaniard helped himself to a brace.