Porto vs Benfica Prediction: Odds & betting Tips

If you are eager to find information regarding betting on Portugal’s biggest rivalry – look no further, we’ve got you covered.

Porto vs. Benfica top free betting tips

Gist-readers can enjoy the following chart, where we've compiled the essence of this article. If you want to read our full write-up, though, feel free to scroll down below.

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Goals O/U 2.5
Over 2.5 Goals
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Steven Berghuis to score at any time

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O Clássico Match Preview and Predictions

The controversial Lisbon – Porto battle, the derby of the two largest Portuguese cities, stems from way more than football. Historically this rivalry has represented the political and cultural differences between the people living in those two cities.

Benfica has been the more favored side for most of the duration of this clash, but Porto has had the better of them in recent time. For reference, the last 20 O Clássico games have resulted in just four Benfica wins, six draws, and ten Porto wins. These games span all the way back to 2010.

The 2019/2020 season saw Porto triumph in the Primeira Liga, which awarded them a Champions League group spot. Led by Sérgio Conceição, the Blue and Whites took advantage of the situation and successfully managed to qualify for the Champions League round of 16 into one of the trickiest groups consisting of Manchester City, Olympiacos, and Marseille. The Portugues side only dropped points vs. City and managed to keep a clean sheet in 5 out of 6 games in Europe. Definitely an impressive performance. However, if you look into Porto's Primeira Liga account, you will instantly point out how bad their defensive record looks. Ranked 3rd, there are just five teams that have conceded more times than Conceição's squad. Perhaps more of their efforts will be aimed at solidifying that defense because that's all they need to clear out. Their attack is on point, being the deadliest in the Portugues top flight, alongside Sporting CP's after nine rounds into the competition.

Speaking of Sporting, their uprising has stunned both Porto and Benfica. Sporting is looking rather mighty in the current campaign, which means that we will have a quite entertaining Primeira Liga edition this year. Benfica currently ranks second after winning seven of their first nine matches. They surprisingly dropped a game against Boavista, and not as surprisingly against Braga. The Lisbon team is coming off a spectacular European tournament run themselves, ranking second in their Europa League group. Benfica was the team that came the closest to ending Steven Gerrard's unbeaten run at Rangers but only managed to draw 3-3 and 2-2 in their fixtures. Led by the experienced coach Jorge Jesus The Eagles are currently in quite a nice form. The major factor in the upcoming O Clássico will be whether Jesus finds a way to exploit Porto's defensive vulnerabilities. At this point, Benfica has proven that they are up-to-par with the European level of play, so they sure will pose a threat to Porto.

The reasoning behind our picks

So, if you are wondering why we’ve picked these picks, here we will give some insight. But first, let's reintroduce the tips themselves.

  • Bet one: Porto or Draw
  • Bet two: Over 2.5 Goals
  • Bet three: Both teams to score

Porto or Draw

Porto has clearly been the team in charge in recent years, and despite facing specific issues, we believe that they will simply keep up with their current form. Coach Conceição has been with the club for three years now and has managed to settle nicely and pave the way for his ideas. Furthermore, Benfica's gem João Félix won't contribute to this derby again following his Atletico Madrid move. However, we have to note Porto's defensive issues, and that's precisely why we've chosen the Double Chance market over the Porto Win pick.

Over 2.5 Goals

O Clássico has proven to be a rather eventful derby as it often provides its spectators with a handful of goals. Over 2.5 Goals for this fixture shouldn't come as a surprise. However, there are those occasions where the game is a slow-paced stalled one, but we doubt this will be the case. With how the Primeira Liga is going so far, the winner will be decided on the slightest of margins. This means that this clash will most certainly be of great importance for both sides’ league ambitions, and they will be willing to do what it takes to win.

Both teams to score

The reasoning here is relatively similar to one of the Over 2.5 Goals pick, with some slight exceptions. This pick leans on the fact that Porto is always the team more favored to score, and at the time where they concede a lot, this gives a higher chance of Benfica finding the net themselves. The significant difference between the two picks comes down to the possibility of the match ending at 1-1.

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Gavin Davison

Gavin is a full-time copywriter based in the UK and has developed in-depth knowledge of the igaming world by working in the betting industry for over five years. During this time, he has written thousands of articles covering various topics, including bookmaker reviews, ‘how to’ guides, bonus comparisons and much more.