All eyes will be on Estadio do Dragao as two of the top 3 teams in the Portuguese Primeira Liga go toe-to-toe with each other on Sunday, 6 April 2025. Which of these teams will emerge victorious after all is said and done?
View our free Porto vs Benfica predictions below.
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Porto vs Benfica predictions: A card-fest
Key stats
- Benfica's last five matches have all gone above the 2.5-goal threshold.
- Porto conceded first in five of their last six encounters with Benfica.
- At least six yellow cards were issued in 17 of the last 19 meetings between these sides.
- Nineteen consecutive skirmishes between Porto and Benfica featured five or more yellow cards.
Correct score prediction: Porto 1-2 Benfica
Benfica have been the most in-form team in the Portuguese top flight, winning eight consecutive league games. They are up against a Porto side that managed only four wins in their last 11 Primeira Liga matches.
Considering Benfica were the victors in three of the last four meetings between these outfits, we are leaning towards the visitors for the win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Benfica are expected winners
- HOME: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Of all the teams in the Portuguese Primeira Liga, only Porto are yet to lose at home this season.
In the league, Martin Anselmi's men have a 10-3-0 win-draw-loss record at home, and across all competitions they have lost only once at Estádio do Dragão this season.
However, with seven matches left to play, Porto are trailing Sporting Lisbon and Benfica by nine points.
On the other hand, Benfica are tied on points with league leaders Sporting Lisbon, and they have also won eight consecutive league games.
With that in mind, Benfica are the expected winners at 7/5 (2.40). Teams with these odds usually have a 41.7% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Porto vs Benfica predictions.
It is also worth mentioning that Benfica have drawn first blood in 10 consecutive league matches. Given that they also scored first in five of their last six meetings with Porto, Benfica to score first has an appealing look at 17/20 (1.85). That one has a 54.1% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: An even contest
Porto suffered a humiliating 4-1 defeat in the reverse fixture. However, both teams have three wins apiece in the last six league encounters between these outfits.
Portugal Primeira Liga 10/11/24
Benfica
FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga 03/03/24
FC Porto
Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga 29/09/23
Benfica
FC Porto
Portugal Super Cup 09/08/23
Benfica
FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga 07/04/23
Benfica
FC Porto
Porto preview: No new absentees
Porto will remain without Ivan Jaime, who has a hamstring injury, and Vasco Sousa, with lower leg discomfort, is set to continue his recovery.
Predicted lineup: Costa (GK), Marcano, Eustaquio, Perez, Mario, Vieira, Valera, Moura, Pepe, Mora & Aghehowa.
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25
W
Casa Pia
0
FC Porto
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 06/04/25
L
Benfica
4
FC Porto
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 30/03/25
W
Estoril
1
FC Porto
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 15/03/25
W
AVS
0
FC Porto
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 08/03/25
L
Braga
1
FC Porto
0
Benfica preview: Looking to extend their winning streak
Bruno Lage has no new injury worries ahead of this blockbuster clash with Porto, but the manager will be unable to call upon Alexander Bah and Manu Silva, who are both nursing season-ending cruciate ligament injuries.
Predicted lineup: Trubin (GK), Dahl, Silva, Otamendi, Carreras, Aursnes, Sanchez, Kokcu, Di Maria, Akturkoglu & Pavlidis.
Portugal Primeira Liga 13/04/25
D
Arouca
2
Benfica
2
Portugal Cup 09/04/25
W
FC Tirsense
0
Benfica
5
Portugal Primeira Liga 06/04/25
W
FC Porto
1
Benfica
4
Portugal Primeira Liga 02/04/25
W
SC Farense
2
Benfica
3
Portugal Primeira Liga 28/03/25
W
Gil Vicente
0
Benfica
3
Player to watch: Angel Di Maria
Angel Di Maria put in a man-of-the-match performance in the reverse fixture, scoring a brace. The former Real Madrid player has a solid track record against Porto, having scored four times in the last four meetings between these teams.