Poland vs. Romania – prediction, preview & betting tips – 01/10/2026
If Robert Lewandowski scores 11 more goals for Poland, he will become just the fourth male player to reach 100 international goals. - Photo by IMAGO / Propaganda Photo
🔥 Our Hot tip

Both Teams To Score

Both Poland and Romania have shown defensive vulnerabilities at the start of the Nations League campaign, which could leave opportunities for each side to find the net.

Both still searching for their first UEFA Nations League win of the 2026-27 campaign, Romania travel to the Polish capital on Friday night as both sides look to turn their disappointing starts around.

The Eagles return home after suffering defeat in Sweden during the week, with Graham Potter's side securing a comprehensive 3-1 victory thanks to goals from Benjamin Nygren, Yasin Ayari and Viktor Gyokeres.

While Poland did at least begin their campaign with a draw, the Tricolours have been unable to pick up a point so far, with successive defeats to Sweden and Bosnia & Herzegovina leaving them bottom of League B, Group 4.

Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

Poland vs. Romania key stats

  • Poland have won just once in 2026, with that victory coming against Albania in a World Cup qualifier in March.
  • The Eagles were relegated from League A in 2025 after finishing bottom of Group 1 with just four points from six matches.
  • Romania earned promotion to League B after winning all six of their matches during the 2024-25 edition of the Nations League.
  • Gheorghe Hagi will take charge of his fifth game since returning as Romania boss in April 2026, having won one of his first four matches.

Poland vs. Romania preview: Two struggling sides meet with first win in sight

Poland vs Romania — Tale of the Tape

Poland vs Romania
3rdPosition (Nations League)4th
1Points0
1Goals For3
3Goals Against6
1Clean Sheets0
2nd / 4thHome / Away Rank4th / 3rd

In the third instalment of a gruelling four-game window, Poland return to the capital looking to end a Nations League winless run that has now stretched beyond two years.

The Eagles ended their 2024-25 campaign with four defeats and a draw from their final five matches, a sequence that ultimately saw them relegated from League A to League B, and they have yet to impress in the division below.

Poland opened their latest Nations League campaign at home to Bosnia & Herzegovina but had to settle for a point after neither side could find a breakthrough before travelling to Sweden, where Graham Potter's team inflicted the first defeat of the campaign on Jan Urban's men.

The Poles fell behind after just eight minutes and, despite drawing level shortly before half time, were eventually beaten comfortably in Stockholm as they returned from Scandinavia with a 3-1 defeat to their name.

That draw and defeat have extended Poland's unwanted winless run in the tournament, while their lack of victories may come as little surprise to supporters after they failed to win any of their next five matches in all competitions following their March success over Albania.

Romania have also struggled to adjust to life in League B despite enjoying a flawless campaign in the 2024-25 Nations League, when the Tricolours won all six of their matches to secure promotion.

However, Gheorghe Hagi's side have made a difficult start to their latest campaign, suffering back-to-back defeats against Sweden and Bosnia & Herzegovina.

The Tricolours were narrowly beaten by Sweden before suffering a more emphatic 4-2 home defeat to Bosnia & Herzegovina, leaving them without a point after their opening two fixtures.

One positive for Romania is that they have found the net three times across those defeats, two more than their upcoming opponents, and they will know that tightening up at the back could quickly change their fortunes.

They also suffered World Cup qualifying heartbreak in March, but the Tricolours showed signs of better form in June by drawing away to Georgia before recording a 2-1 victory over Craig Bellamy's Wales.

The two sides will meet at the Stadion Narodowy in Warsaw on Friday, with this set to be their first encounter since Poland recorded a 3-1 victory in June 2017, when Robert Lewandowski scored a hat-trick.

Poland vs. Romania form guide & betting tips

Poland vs. Romania — Last 5 Form Guide
Poland vs Romania
DL
Form
LL
1Points0
3rdForm Table4th
1Goals For3
3Goals Against6
LLDDL
Form (All Comps)
LDWLL

Whispers predicts: Poland 1-1 Romania

The two sides head into their third Nations League fixture separated by just one point, and we expect another closely fought contest with the spoils ultimately being shared in Warsaw.

A draw is currently priced at 11/4, while our exact scoreline prediction of 1-1 is available at 13/2.

With that in mind, we are backing Under 2.5 Goals, which is currently priced at 19/20.

Although Poland's captain and all-time leading scorer did not start last time out, Robert Lewandowski is still priced at 5/6 to find the back of the net at any time on Friday night.

📈 Poland vs. Romania — Whispers' Tips

> Draw at 11/4 | Likelihood: Probable

> Under 2.5 goals at 19/20 | Likelihood: Probable

> Robert Lewandowski to score anytime at 5/6 | Likelihood: Probable

> Correct score of 1-1 at 13/2 | Likelihood: Likely


Cal is a dedicated football journalist and lifelong Bristol City supporter, with professional experience working within club media environments and independent sports outlets. Having previously worked with Chesterfield FC and contributed as a journalist in the newsroom, he brings an informed, authentic voice to his coverage.