Portugal vs Poland prediction, odds & betting tips – 15/11/2024

Portugal are hoping to seal top spot in their Nations League group this Friday. Our Portugal vs Poland prediction considers whether they can do the business in Porto.

Portugal vs Poland prediction: Both teams to score in home win

Key stats

• Our Portugal vs Poland betting tips take into account that the visitors have lost four of their last seven internationals.
• Portugal have made a strong start to the group, taking 10 points from four matches so far.
• The Iberians have won 14 of their last 15 home internationals.

Correct score prediction: Portugal 3-1 Poland

This feels like a match that should only go in one direction, with Portugal incredibly strong at home and looking like comfortably the best team in this group.

Poland do normally find a way to get on the scoresheet though, and they netted in all of their Euro 2024 matches despite an injury for star striker Robert Lewandowski.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Home win expected

• HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
• DRAW: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
• AWAY: 9/1 (10.00) – 10.0%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Portugal vs Poland odds with an implied probability of 81.8% that they win this match.

They head into this following a 0-0 draw in Scotland, their first dropped points in this campaign.

As for Poland, they were involved in a thrilling 3-3 draw against Croatia last time out, with Sebastian Szymanski netting the leveller.

For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Poland winless since 2006

Our Portugal vs Poland prediction suggests the home team are capable of a repeat of their 3-1 win in the reverse fixture.

The Portuguese have won two of the three meetings since their penalty shootout triumph at Euro 2016.

UEFA Nations League A 12/10/24

Poland

1

Portugal

3

UEFA Nations League 20/11/18

Portugal

1

Poland

1

UEFA Nations League 11/10/18

Poland

2

Portugal

3

Euro 2016 30/06/16

Poland

1 (3)

Portugal

1 (5)

Portugal preview: Midfield duo missing

The hosts are missing midfielders Matheus Nunes and Pedro Goncalves to injury. Some changes are expected following their draw in Scotland last month.

Predicted Lineup: Costa (GK), Dalot, Silva, Dias, Nuno Mendes, Fernandes, Joao Neves, Bernardo, Leao, Ronaldo & Neto

UEFA Nations League 23/03/25

W

Denmark

2

Portugal

5

UEFA Nations League 20/03/25

L

Denmark

1

Portugal

0

UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24

D

Croatia

1

Portugal

1

UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24

W

Poland

1

Portugal

5

UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24

D

Scotland

0

Portugal

0

Poland preview: Lewandowski pulls out

The visiting camp has been rocked by the injury withdrawal of Lewandowski. Young midfielder Kacper Kozlowski has also pulled out.

Predicted Lineup: Bulka (GK), Kiwior, Bednarek, Piatkowski, Zalewski, Zielinski, Moder, Szymanski, Frankowski, Urbanski & Piatek

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/25

W

Malta

0

Poland

2

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

W

Lithuania

0

Poland

1

UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24

L

Scotland

2

Poland

1

UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24

L

Portugal

5

Poland

1

UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24

D

Croatia

3

Poland

3

Player to watch – Cristiano Ronaldo

Even at the age of 39, Cristiano Ronaldo is still scoring goals for Portugal. He has scored three already in this Nations League campaign to move onto 133 international goals overall.

Ronaldo firing in the shots

The legendary forward is averaging 4.3 shots per game in this campaign. That’s more than any other Portugal player, with Bruno Fernandes having the next most with 3.3.