Poland vs Estonia prediction, odds & betting tips – 21/03/2024

21/03/24 - 19:45

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Poland - Estonia

Euro 2024 Qualifying - National Stadium Warsaw

2nd Round

Poland and Estonia face off at the Stadion Narodowy in the playoff semi-final stage of the Euro 2024 qualifiers on Thursday, March 21^st. Poland are odds-on favourite to progress at Estonia’s expense. Read our betting tips for the game below.

Poland vs Estonia prediction: Can Estonia spring a major surprise?

Key Stats

• Estonia have failed to win any of their last 11 fixtures in all competitions.
• Poland notched at least twice in four of their last seven matches.
• Robert Lewandowski has scored four times in his last five appearances for Poland.
• Estonia failed to score in six of their last eight assignments.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Estonia massive underdogs

• HOME: 2/11 (1.18) – 84.6%
• DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
• AWAY: 16/1 (17.00) – 5.9%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Poland have been handed an 84.6% chance of winning Thursday’s semi-final according to the bookmakers and having lost only two of their last nine matches, it’s easy to see why Michal Probierz’s side have been installed as favourites.

With nine defeats in their last 11 fixtures, Estonia’s form could hardly be worse ahead of this week’s crucial playoff, and our free football tips today have opposed them again. If you’re on the lookout for more interesting international predictions, our betting insights page has got you covered.

Last five H2Hs: First encounter in over a decade

Poland and Estonia haven’t crossed paths since a friendly encounter between the sides in 2012. Poland have won five of their six tussles with Estonia overall since 2002.

Poland preview: Abada to make the cut?

Tomasz Kędziora, Arkadiusz Reca and Arkadiusz Milik are missing from Poland's squad as is Jakub Kaminski. Jagiellonia Białystok's Dominik Marczuk is the only uncapped player on the roster for the current international break.

Predicted lineup: Szczesny – Bednarek, Bochniewicz, Kiwior – Frankowski, Zielinski, Piotrowski, Szymanski, Zalewski – Lewandowski, Swiderski

UEFA Nations League A 08/09/24

L

Croatia

1

Poland

0

UEFA Nations League A 05/09/24

W

Scotland

2

Poland

3

Euro 2024 25/06/24

D

France

1

Poland

1

Euro 2024 21/06/24

L

Austria

3

Poland

1

Euro 2024 16/06/24

L

Netherlands

2

Poland

1

Estonia preview: Burnley’s Gudmundsson key in midfield

Nikita Baranov, Michael Lilander, Taijo Teniste, Martin Miller, Mattias Käit, Henrik Ojamaa, Sergei Zenjov, Erik Sorga and Rauno Sappinen are all missing from a depleted Estonia squad this week.

Predicted lineup: Hein – Tamm, Paskotsi, Mets – Peetson, Vassiljev, Poom, Pikk – Sinyavskiy, Anier, Jurgens

UEFA Nations League C 08/09/24

L

Sweden

3

Estonia

0

UEFA Nations League C 05/09/24

L

Slovakia

1

Estonia

0

International Match 11/06/24

W

Lithuania

1 (3)

Estonia

1 (4)

International Match 08/06/24

W

Faroe Islands

1

Estonia

4

International Match 04/06/24

L

Switzerland

4

Estonia

0

Player to watch – Piotr Zielinski

Piotr Zielinski has had an underwhelming campaign at club level for Napoli in 2023/24, however the silky midfielder remains an integral cog in Poland’s machine and he will be tasked with dictating the tempo on Thursday evening.

Zielinski’s experience could be crucial

29-year-old Zielinski has amassed 86 caps for Poland, making him one of the more experienced heads in the squad. The schemer has chipped in with ten goals during his international career, though his eye for a silky pass is much sharper than his finishing skills and he could pick the Estonia defence apart this week.