Fiorentina vs Plzen prediction, odds & betting tips – 18/04/2024

18/04/24 - 17:45

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Fiorentina - Viktoria Plzen

UEFA Conference League - Stadio Artemio Franchi

3rd Round

The second leg of the Europa Conference League quarter-finals between Fiorentina and Plzen is upon us, scheduled for Thursday, 18 April.

Will Plzen be able to avoid a loss once more, or will Fiorentina justify the favourite's tag in this match? Find out from our Fiorentina vs Plzen prediction, but don't forget to look at our other favourite Conference League predictions too.

Fiorentina vs Plzen prediction: Viola to win in a low-scoring game

Key Stats

• We saw no goals in Plzen's last three UECL games.
• Plzen have averaged just 1.67 total goals per match in the Europa Conference League this season.
• Fiorentina have gone under 2.5 total goals in their last four games overall.
• Plzen have a losing record against Italian teams, while Fiorentina have a winning record against Czech teams.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Fiorentina the clear favourites

• HOME: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.30%
• DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.10%
• AWAY: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.30%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

It's clear from these Fiorentina vs Plzen odds that the Italian team are the expected winners by a wide margin, despite their failure to win in the first leg, or score a goal.

Still, Fiorentina are the better team on paper and they're hosting the second leg, so it makes perfect sense that they're the favourites to win, even though we expected a bit higher odds.

Meanwhile, if you liked our predictions for this duel, make sure to check out our other football betting tips as well.

Last five H2Hs: Their second meeting in history

This will be the second time that Viktoria Plzen and Fiorentina meet in official matches, after their draw in the first leg last week. That being said, Plzen have met with Italian teams 11 times and they have a record of three wins, three draws, and five losses. Meanwhile, Fiorentina played Czech teams 10 times, with a 6-3-1 record.

Fiorentina preview: On their way to another UECL final?

Last season, Fiorentina almost went all the way in the Europa Conference League, but they lost the final against West Ham. This time around, they are hoping to lift the trophy, but their current form is far from great.

Fiorentina haven't won a match in the last five Serie A rounds and they failed to beat Plzen in the first leg of UECL quarter-finals, but they did notch one win recently, in the first leg of the Coppa Italia semis against Atalanta.

Meanwhile, La Viola enter this match without any injury worries or suspensions. That being said, Michael Kayode is questionable, but more likely to play than not.

Predicted Lineup – Terracciano – Kayode, Ranieri, Milenkovic, Biraghi – Bonaventura, Arthur – Gonzalez, Beltran, Sottil – Belotti

Italy Serie A 12/05/25

L

Venezia

2

Fiorentina

1

UEFA Conference League 08/05/25

D

Real Betis

2

Fiorentina

2

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

L

Roma

1

Fiorentina

0

UEFA Conference League 01/05/25

L

Real Betis

2

Fiorentina

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Empoli

1

Fiorentina

2

Plzen preview: First time in a European quarter-final

While Plzen struggled against Servette in the previous round of the Europa Conference League, they eventually managed to go through after doing better on penalties. This is the first time they ever play in quarter-finals of any European competition and while they failed to win the first leg against Fiorentina, they have a very active result.

When it comes to team news, Rafiu Durosinmi, Erik Jirka, Matej Valenta, Jan Sykora, and Jhon Mosquera are out with injuries.

Predicted Lineup – Jedlicka – Kopic, Hranac, Dweh, Jamelka, Cadu – Cerv, Kalavach, Vydra – Chory, Sulc

Czechia First League 11/05/25

L

Banik Ostrava

2

Viktoria Plzen

1

Czechia First League 03/05/25

L

Slavia Prague

4

Viktoria Plzen

3

Czechia First League 27/04/25

W

Sparta Prague

0

Viktoria Plzen

2

Czechia Cup 23/04/25

L

Sparta Prague

1

Viktoria Plzen

0

Czechia First League 19/04/25

W

Dukla Praha

2

Viktoria Plzen

4

Player to watch: Lucas Beltran

The forward from Argentina is Fiorentina's top scorer in the Europa Conference League with three goals and he's only behind Giacomo Bonaventura when it comes to the team's top scorers in Serie A, where he has scored six goals.

Beltran to score first?

Of the nine goals Beltran scored in all competitions, five have been the first goal of the match. With that in mind, he sounds like a good choice for first goalscorer in this match.