Plymouth vs Derby prediction
Plymouth in action against Sheff Wed - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Under 2.5 total goals

Both sides have struggled to score, with just three and four goals in their respective last five outings.

23rd-placed Plymouth welcome Sheffield Wednesday to the south coast, hoping to resurrect their Championship season. Read on for our Plymouth vs Sheff Wed prediction and more.

Plymouth vs Sheff Wed prediction: Both out of sorts

Key Stats

  • Both Plymouth and Sheffield Wednesday have just one win in their last five fixtures.
  • They have both struggled for goals, with just three and four goals in their last five.
  • Plymouth have the leakiest defence in the league, with 70 goals conceded already.
  • The last four iterations of this fixture have been wins to nil.

Correct score prediction:  Plymouth 0-1 Sheff Wed

We're backing Sheffield Wednesday to secure all three points on the road at struggling Plymouth, despite recent poor form of their own.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Wednesday the favourite

  • HOME: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
  • DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
  • AWAY: 20/21 (1.95) – 51.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Despite being the visitors, Sheffield Wednesday are the bookmakers' expected winner in this one. Their 20/21 odds imply a 51.2% likelihood of victory.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Pitiful Plymouth

Plymouth have struggled against their visitors lately, losing three of their last four, including a 4-0 hammering back in August that was a sign of things to come.

England Championship 11/08/24

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

4
Plymouth

Plymouth

0

England Championship 05/03/24

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

1
Plymouth

Plymouth

0

England Championship 25/10/23

Plymouth

Plymouth

3
Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

0

England League 1 04/02/23

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

1
Plymouth

Plymouth

0

England League 1 04/10/22

Plymouth

Plymouth

2
Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

1

Plymouth preview: Six adrift

Plymouth come into this one six points adrift of safety. However, their dismal -34 goal difference is also a serious concern when trying to overhaul their rivals.

Argyle are five without a win, with a 2-0 loss at Hull their most recent disappointment.

Predicted lineup: Hazard (GK), Talovierov, Katic, Pleguzuelo, Mumba, Gyabi, Houghton, Puchacz, Sorinola, Al Hajj, Bundu

England Championship 03/05/25

L

Leeds

Leeds

2

Plymouth

Plymouth

1

England Championship 26/04/25

W

Preston

Preston

1

Plymouth

Plymouth

2

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Coventry

Coventry

1

Plymouth

Plymouth

3

England Championship 18/04/25

L

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

2

Plymouth

Plymouth

1

England Championship 12/04/25

W

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

1

Plymouth

Plymouth

2

Sheff Wed preview: Safety secured

They may have just one win in their last five, but Sheffield Wednesday cna be forgiven for taking their foot off the gas a little.

The Owls are miles clear of the drop, thanks in large part to the shrewd management of Danny Rohl.

Wednesday will look to draw upon their 4-0 win over Plymouth back in August to get out of their current rut.

Predicted lineup: Beadle (GK), Valentin, Ihiekwe, Lowe, Hatsuse, Charles, Ingelsson, Gassama, Bannan, Windass, Paterson

England Championship 03/05/25

D

Watford

Watford

1

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

1

England Championship 26/04/25

D

Portsmouth

Portsmouth

1

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

1

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

1

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

2

England Championship 18/04/25

L

Stoke

Stoke

2

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

0

England Championship 12/04/25

L

Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd

1

Sheff Wed

Sheff Wed

0

Player to watch – Josh Windass

Our player to watch in this one is the man Santos preferred to Neymar, Josh Windass. The 31-year-old has been Wednesday's most productive player this season with ten goals.

Josh Windass is essential to Wednesday – Photo by Imago

A barren patch for Windass has coincided with the Owls' drop off in form, but we think Windass will rediscover his goalscoring touch against Plymouth, having netted against them back in August.


William Evans is a football and politics fanatic. A first-class graduate of UEA's Broadcast and Digital Journalism MA course, he also achieved a first class degree in politics and media studies during his time at UEA.