Plymouth vs Cardiff prediction
Plymouth in action at Cardiff - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Plymouth to win

All six of Plymouth's league wins this season have arrived at Home Park and the hosts have won each of their last three home games in all competitions.

Struggling Plymouth look to continue their good run of form at Home Park when they take on another of the relegation battlers, Cardiff, in Saturday's early kick-off in the Championship.

Plymouth vs Cardiff prediction: A home win on the cards?

  • Cardiff have lost seven of their 16 away games in the Championship, winning just once on the road this season.
  • Plymouth scored an average of 1.81 goals per game at home, while Cardiff conceded an average of 2.13 goals per away game.
  • Both teams have scored in 75% of Plymouth's home games this season.
  • Both teams have scored in 69% of Cardiff's away games in the Championship.

Correct score prediction: Plymouth 2-1 Cardiff

Plymouth's form has started to pick up, especially at home, where they have won their last three matches in league and cup. Meanwhile, Cardiff has only managed one win on their travels in the Championship, conceding an average of two goals per game and only scoring an average of one goal per game.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Cardiff the slight favourite

  • HOME: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
  • DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • AWAY: 14/9 (2.56) – 39.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Cardiff are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 39.1% but we can see Plymouth upsetting the odds on Saturday.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Level pegging

The last five competitive meetings between these two clubs have been evenly split, with each side picking up two wins, two defeats, and a draw. The Bluebirds claimed a 5-0 victory over Plymouth when the pair met in October.

England Championship 19/10/24

Cardiff

Cardiff

5
Plymouth

Plymouth

0

England Championship 20/01/24

Plymouth

Plymouth

3
Cardiff

Cardiff

1

England Championship 26/12/23

Cardiff

Cardiff

2
Plymouth

Plymouth

2

UK Friendlies 21/07/17

Plymouth

Plymouth

0
Cardiff

Cardiff

1

Plymouth preview: Won last three at home in all comps

Plymouth made the trip to Kenilworth Road on Wednesday night to face another of the Championship's struggling clubs, Luton.

The pair played out a goalless first half but the Hatters did manage to break the deadlock in the 55th minute. Thankfully for the visitors, Maksym Talovierov was on hand to score an equalising goal 20 minutes from the end of the game to rescue a point.

Defenders Joe Edwards and Brendan Galloway could miss out this weekend due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Hazard (GK), Palsson, Puchacz, Katic, Sorinola, Talovierov, Houghton, Wright, Randell, Al Hajj & Bundu

England Championship 03/05/25

L

Leeds

Leeds

2

Plymouth

Plymouth

1

England Championship 26/04/25

W

Preston

Preston

1

Plymouth

Plymouth

2

England Championship 21/04/25

W

Coventry

Coventry

1

Plymouth

Plymouth

3

England Championship 18/04/25

L

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

2

Plymouth

Plymouth

1

England Championship 12/04/25

W

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

1

Plymouth

Plymouth

2

Cardiff preview: Just one win on the road

Cardiff City played host to Bristol City last time out for a game that turned out to be tight and tense throughout.

Following a goalless first 45, the Robins took the lead on the hour mark and looked like they were going to secure a 1-0 victory until the final minute when the Bluebrid's substitute Yousef Salech scored a dramatic equaliser to earn Cardiff a share of the spoils.

Midfielder David Turnbull and forward Isaak Davies are doubts for Saturday's clash with Plymouth.

Predicted lineup: Alnwick (GK), Goutas, Ng, Bagan, O'Dowda, Rinomhota, Colwill, Mannsverk, Alves, Robinson & El Ghazi 

England Championship 03/05/25

L

Norwich

Norwich

4

Cardiff

Cardiff

2

England Championship 26/04/25

D

West Brom

West Brom

0

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

England Championship 21/04/25

D

Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd

1

Cardiff

Cardiff

1

England Championship 18/04/25

L

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

2

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

England Championship 12/04/25

L

Stoke

Stoke

1

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

Player to watch: Mustapha Bundu

Mustapha Bundu has certainly made more of his second season with Plymouth and has now established himself as a regular squad player who adds goals and assists on a regular basis.

Mustapha Bundu player to watch
Mustapha Bundu in action against Liverpool – Photo by Imago

Bundu has chipped in with four goals and three assists so far this season, already topping his goal tally from the previous campaign.

The Plymouth forward has seven goal involvements in the Championship

The Sierra Leone striker scored in Plymouth's last home game and we wouldn't be surprised to see his name on the scoresheet this weekend once again.


James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.