The Strongest will host Penarol in the second leg of Copa Libertadores knockout stages on Wednesday, 21 August.
With Penarol having a huge advantage from the first leg, will The Strongest be able to make things at least interesting? Read our The Strongest vs Penarol prediction if you want to know more about the game, but also check our other Copa Libertadores predictions.
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The Strongest vs Penarol predictions: A confident win for the hosts
Key stats
- Before their loss in the first leg, The Strongest have been without a loss for four games straight.
- We did not see both teams score in any of the previous five meetings between these two teams.
- Both teams have scored in just one of the last five games played by Penarol across the board.
Correct score prediction: The Strongest 2-0 Penarol
Two of the last four H2H duels between The Strongest and Penarol have ended in 2-0 wins for the team that hosted the match and we can see that being the case on Wednesday as well.
Pre-game odds and win probability: The Strongest clearly favoured to win
- HOME: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.30%
- DRAW: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.70%
- AWAY: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.30%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
We can see from the The Strongest vs Penarol odds that the home team are the expected winners and it's not really close, which is a bit surprising when we consider the result from the first leg.
That being said, The Strongest have the quality to put up a fight and get a win, even if they are unlikely to come close to turning the tie around with a four-goal disadvantage ahead of this game.
In any case, if you're looking for more of our best predictions, check out these betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Home wins only in recent duels
In the four most recent meetings between these two teams, before last week's duel, each of them have won their home matches, with both ties being in Copa Libertadores (2018 and 2004).
Overall, these teams have met nine times and Penarol have a much better record: 6-1-2.
Copa Libertadores 14/08/24
Penarol
The Strongest
Copa Libertadores 17/05/18
Penarol
The Strongest
Copa Libertadores 15/03/18
The Strongest
Penarol
The Strongest preview: Fighting for pride and a miracle
After a 4-0 loss to Penarol in the first leg in Uruguay, The Strongest clearly have little chance of reaching Copa Libertadores quarter-finals. Still, they certainly won't go out lightly and with their pride at stake, we see them having a much better game at home in the second leg. That being said, The Strongest followed this loss with a loss to Tomayapo in their domestic championship, which isn't a great look.
Predicted lineup: Viscarra (GK), Caire, Aimar, Jusino, Roca, Ortega, Cuellar, Ramallo, Amoroso, Triverio & Angulo
Copa Libertadores 21/08/24
W
Penarol
0
The Strongest
1
Bolivia Clausura 18/08/24
L
Real Tomayapo
2
The Strongest
0
Copa Libertadores 14/08/24
L
Penarol
4
The Strongest
0
Bolivia Clausura 08/08/24
W
Real Santa Cruz
1
The Strongest
2
Bolivia Clausura 04/08/24
W
Independiente Petrolero
0
The Strongest
5
Penarol preview: Already in the quarter-finals?
Unless they completely fall apart in Bolivia, Penarol should eliminate The Strongest since they have a four-goal lead heading into the second leg and reaching the quarter-finals of Copa Libertadores would already be a great result for this team. Penarol are in good form at the moment with four wins in their last six matches.
Meanwhile, Ignacio Sosa remains out with an injury for Penarol.
Predicted lineup: Aguerre (GK), Milans, Mendez, Rodriguez, Hernandez, A. Fernandez, Darias, Cabrera, L. Fernandez, Baez & Silvera
Uruguay Clausura 30/09/24
D
Racing Club de Montevideo
0
Penarol
0
Copa Libertadores 26/09/24
D
Flamengo
0
Penarol
0
Uruguay Clausura 22/09/24
W
Cerro
0
Penarol
5
Copa Libertadores 19/09/24
W
Flamengo
0
Penarol
1
Uruguay Clausura 14/09/24
W
Rampla Juniors
0
Penarol
4
Player to watch: Enrique Triverio
The 35-year-old forward has been one of key contributors on the offensive end for The Strongest this season, with seven goals in all competitions.
Triverio to find a way to a goal from a penalty spot?
Twice we saw Triverio score from a penalty this season, out of his seven goals. So, if he gets the opportunity, he's a good choice to convert the ultimate punishment.
