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A dead-rubber Serie A finale takes place at the Stadio Ennio Tardini on Sunday as Parma host Sassuolo in the Derby dell’Emilia.
The Crusaders arrive in particularly poor shape after a sharp late-season decline, while the Black and Greens’s inconsistent away form has stalled their push for a top-half finish.
The reverse fixture ended level, and with neither side showing enough consistency to suggest control, another tight and cagey encounter looks the most likely outcome in this final-day clash.
Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.
Parma vs. Sassuolo key stats
- Parma have managed just two victories in their last 11 home matches, with four of those winless games ending in draws.
- Five of the last six Serie A head-to-head meetings between both sides produced fewer than three goals.
- Sassuolo are without victory in each of their last five away fixtures (D2, L3).
Parma vs. Sassuolo preview: Little at stake in Derby dell’Emilia
Parma vs Sassuolo — Tale of the Tape
| Parma | vs | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| 13th | Position | 11th |
| 42 | Points | 49 |
| 27 | Goals For | 46 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 16th | Home / Away Rank | 13th |
Parma have already surpassed last season’s 16th-place finish, though their position could have been more comfortable had their form not collapsed towards the end of the campaign.
A three-match losing run has derailed their momentum, with the Crusaders's recent struggles amplified by a difficult run of fixtures, having suffered defeats against Inter Milan, Roma, and most recently a narrow 1-0 loss to Como.
Parma’s issue has largely been in the final third, with the side failing to score more than once in 11 of their last 12 league outings, while their 27 goals across the Serie A campaign leaves them as the joint-worst attacking side of all teams currently above the relegation zone.
At home, Carlos Cuesta’s side have also been inconsistent, collecting just four wins from 18 league matches (D6, 8L) at the Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Currently sitting 11th in the table, Sassuolo have enjoyed a solid return to the top flight and still have the opportunity to finish in the top half depending on results elsewhere.
However, recent form has slightly halted their progress, with consecutive defeats, losing to Torino before last weekend’s 3-2 home loss to relegation-threatened Lecce.
Also unreliable on the road, Fabio Grosso’s side have managed just two wins in their last 12 league trips (D4, L6), suggesting they could struggle this weekend.
Interestingly, eight of Sasuollo’s last 11 away outings have produced goals at both ends, though the rhythm of this encounter may not fully open up, given they face a Parma side whose matches have often been low-scoring.
Parma vs Sassuolo form guide & betting tips
| Parma | vs | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
WWLLL |
Form | WDWLL |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 14th | Form Table | 8th |
| 4 | Goals For | 7 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 6 |
WWLLL |
Form (All Comps) | WDWLL |
Whispers predicts: Parma 1-1 Sassuolo
Parma have been priced at 2.70 to win, while Sassuolo are available at 2.62, suggesting there is little separating both sides, so a draw at 3.40 is worth backing, especially given the two teams’ lack of momentum heading into this derby.
Under 2.5 goals also stands out at 1.90, particularly given Parma’s attacking struggles and Sassuolo’s tendency to become involved in controlled, low-margin encounters.
The second-half goals angle is supported by clear statistical behaviour, with Parma increasingly involved in matches where the tempo rises after the break, so more goals in the second half at 2.05 looks appealing.
A 1-1 correct score at 6.50 aligns neatly with both teams’ profiles, combining Parma’s low-scoring tendency with Sassuolo’s inconsistent but capable attack.
> Under 2.5 goals at 1.90 | Likelihood: Probable
> Second half more goals at 2.05 | Likelihood: Probable
> Match result – Draw at 3.40 | Likelihood: Possible
> Correct score – Parma 1-1 Sassuolo at 6.50 | Likelihood: Outsider