Lazio will play host to Parma on Monday, 28 April, in the next round of Serie A.
Will the hosts get the three points they desperately need to stay in race for an UCL spot for next season or will Parma spoil their plans? Find that out and more from our Lazio vs Parma prediction, but remember to also view our Serie A betting tips for more insights.
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Lazio vs Parma prediction: Guests to avoid a loss
Key Stats
- Lazio have failed to win their last four home matches in Serie A, drawing in all of them.
- We saw both teams score in 81% of all Lazio's home games in the league this season.
- Both teams have scored in 67% of Parma's matches in Serie A so far.
Correct score prediction: Lazio 1-1 Parma
In the first duel between these teams earlier in the season we saw Parma win 3-1, so Lazio will be hoping for revenge. However, their recent form at home hasn't been great and Parma have managed to stay undefeated for six games in a row in the league, so we wouldn't be surprised if the guests avoid a loss on Monday as well.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Lazio favoured in the markets
- HOME: 10/21 (1.48) – 67.70%
- DRAW: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.70%
- AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.40%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It's clear from these Lazio vs Parma odds that the hosts are the expected winners and it's not really close either.
This makes sense looking at the standings where Lazio are 28 points ahead of Parma. On top of that, they will also have the home-court advantage.
However, Parma have been in solid form recently and this could be a closer game that the markets suggest.
If you liked our predictions for this game, make sure to also check our other latest football tips and predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Lazio with the advantage
With three wins over Parma in their last five duels, Lazio have been the better team in recent years. However, Parma have the advantage this season after winning their first meeting in the league 3-1.
Meanwhile, Lazio also have the advantage when it comes to the overall H2H record between these teams: 29-15-15.
Italy Serie A 01/12/24
Parma
Lazio
Italy Serie A 12/05/21
Lazio
Parma
Coppa Italia 21/01/21
Lazio
Parma
Italy Serie A 10/01/21
Parma
Lazio
Italy Serie A 09/02/20
Parma
Lazio
Lazio preview: Chasing European football
After losing just once in their last 11 games in the league, Lazio have managed to keep up the pace near the top and they are one of the teams fighting for a top-four finish and a spot in the Champions League. They are currently sixth in the Serie A standings, but just one point behind Bologna in fourth place.
Lazio will likely have to manage without injured Nuno Tavares, Manuel Lazzari, and Patric, while Reda Belahyane is suspended for this match.
Predicted lineup: Mandas (GK), Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini, Rovella, Guendouzi, Isaksen, Dia, Zaccagni & Castellanos
Italy Serie A 10/05/25
D
Juventus
1
Lazio
1
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
W
Empoli
0
Lazio
1
Italy Serie A 28/04/25
D
Parma
2
Lazio
2
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
W
Genoa
0
Lazio
2
UEFA Europa League 17/04/25
W
Bodo/Glimt
1
Lazio
3
Parma preview: Not clear of danger yet
Although Parma managed to stay unbeaten for six games in a row in the league, five of those have only ended in draws. In fact, Parma finally broke their streak of draws in the last round with an important win over Juventus. Thanks to these results, Parma are now six points clear of the relegation zone, with five games left in the season.
Parma also have a lot of players on their injury list at this time, including Adrian Benedyczak, Mateusz Kowalski, Alessandro Vogliacco, Adrian Bernabe, Gabriel Charpentier, Valentin Mihaila, and Yordan Osorio.
Predicted lineup: Suzuki (GK), Delprato, Leoni, Valenti, Hainaut, Hernani, Keita, Sohm, Valeri, Pellegrino & Bonny
Italy Serie A 10/05/25
L
Empoli
2
Parma
1
Italy Serie A 03/05/25
L
Como
1
Parma
0
Italy Serie A 28/04/25
D
Lazio
2
Parma
2
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
W
Juventus
0
Parma
1
Italy Serie A 13/04/25
D
Fiorentina
0
Parma
0
Player to watch: Mattia Zaccagni
With 14 goal contributions this season in Serie A (eight goals and six assists), the experienced Italian forward is leading Lazio in this regard and that's why Zaccagni is our player to watch against Parma.
