Paris vs Metz prediction, odds & betting tips – 31/08/2025
Photo by IMAGO
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Draw or Metz

Paris' last win over Metz was recorded on 22 September, 2018.

Stade Jean-Bouin is the venue for the upcoming match between Paris and Metz on the last day of August. This Ligue 1 match on 31 August will surely be an interesting one, as the Maroons had the last laugh via a 3-1 score.

Paris vs Metz prediction: Battle of the underdogs ahead

Key Stats

  • Moses Simon has scored one goal for Paris since the start of the 2025/26 season.
  • Metz won 80.0% of the last five matches against this opponent.
  • Paris got obliterated via a 5-2 score at Stade Velodrome last week.

Correct score prediction: Paris 1-2 Metz

Paris’ backline lacks quality. This was clear for all to see on 23 August, when the visitors at Stade Velodorme just couldn’t find a way to stop Marseille. Moreover, it’s been years since Paris last managed to beat Metz, so we doubt the Maroons will drop points away from home this week.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Team from Paris favoured to win

  • HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
  • DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • AWAY: 53/20 (3.65) – 27.4%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As you can see from the odds above, the expected winners are Paris, with odds priced at 21/20 (2.05). The home side keeps a sturdy 48.8% win probability before the start of the game, but we believe a victory for the visitors is more likely, despite the predicted 27.4% win chance the bookies give us.

Check out the rest of our key football betting tips today for more interesting Ligue 1 data.

Most recent H2Hs: Years of misery for Paris FC

Paris FC failed in two consecutive games at home against this opponent, as the Maroons are now two for two at Stade Jean-Bouin.

France Ligue 2 18/01/25

Metz

Metz

3
Paris FC

Paris FC

1

France Ligue 2 14/09/24

Paris FC

Paris FC

1
Metz

Metz

2

France Ligue 2 29/04/23

Metz

Metz

1
Paris FC

Paris FC

1

France Ligue 2 12/11/22

Paris FC

Paris FC

1
Metz

Metz

4

France Ligue 2 22/02/19

Metz

Metz

2
Paris FC

Paris FC

0

Paris team news and form: Stephane Gilli to use the best

Luckily, the 51-year-old manager doesn’t have any injury or suspension issues to cope with, as he will be able to count on his best 11 men for the game at Stade Jean-Bouin. Even the new arrival Willem Geubbels is fit and ready for action.

Predicted lineup: Nkambadio (GK), Mbow, Otavio, Sangui, Chergui, Marchetti, Camara, Lopez, Kebbal, Geubbels & Simon

France Ligue 2 10/05/25

W

AC Ajaccio

AC Ajaccio

0

Paris FC

Paris FC

2

France Ligue 2 02/05/25

D

Martigues

Martigues

1

Paris FC

Paris FC

1

France Ligue 2 26/04/25

D

Rodez Aveyron

Rodez Aveyron

1

Paris FC

Paris FC

1

France Ligue 2 19/04/25

W

SC Bastia

SC Bastia

0

Paris FC

Paris FC

1

France Ligue 2 12/04/25

W

Grenoble

Grenoble

1

Paris FC

Paris FC

2

Metz team news and form: Toothless attack needs a talking-to

Similar to his rival, Stephane Le Mignan also has all of his best players ready for this week’s Ligue 1 match. However, we should note that the Maroons have yet to secure a domestic league win this season and currently sit at the bottom of the table.

Predicted lineup: Fischer (GK), Gbamin, Mboula, Sane, Kouao, Stambouli, Traore, Hein, Tsitiashvilli, Abuashvilli & Madjo

France Ligue 2 10/05/25

W

Laval

Laval

2

Metz

Metz

3

France Ligue 2 02/05/25

D

Rodez Aveyron

Rodez Aveyron

3

Metz

Metz

3

France Ligue 2 26/04/25

L

Pau

Pau

2

Metz

Metz

1

France Ligue 2 19/04/25

D

Red Star FC 93

Red Star FC 93

2

Metz

Metz

2

France Ligue 2 11/04/25

W

Martigues

Martigues

1

Metz

Metz

4

Player to watch: Otavio

Otavio was brought to the team with the idea of being a difference maker in the key moments at the back. However, despite playing 90 minutes against Marseille, the former Porto centre-back couldn’t prove his worth.

Paris vs Metz Prediction 2
Photo by IMAGO

Can Otavio do more?

Surely, the best of Otavio has yet to come. He will need some more time to adapt to his new surroundings, as he was previously playing in Portugal, where he scored two goals in 20 domestic league games.

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Zack has been writing for Football Whispers for more than 5 years now. He specialises in North American, Australian and English football, follows it closely and is passionate about betting on the MLS, Liga MX and the A-League. His experience playing and coaching the game in addition to his writing acumen fits the purpose of Football Whispers perfectly. Namely, explore the game, do proper research and provide useful insight plus well-thought out betting forecasts.