Paris Saint-Germain vs Paris FC prediction, odds & betting tips – 04/01/2026

For the first time in 48 years, the Parisian derby returns to the French capital as Paris FC make the 30 meter journey to Parc des Princes to face Paris Saint-Germain on Sunday, 4 January.

Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Paris Saint-Germain vs Paris FC tips below.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Paris FC prediction: PSG to claim bragging rights in Parisian derby

Key stats

• PSG are on a five-match unbeaten streak across all competitions (W4, D1).
• The hosts are the third-best performing home team in Ligue 1.
• Paris FC are winless in five successive Ligue 1 fixtures (D2, L3).
• The visitors have won just thrice across their eight away league trips.

Correct score prediction: PSG 3-1 Paris FC

Newly crowned intercontinental champions PSG enter 2026 following a 4-0 win over lower-league side Fontenay in the Coupe de France, and Luis Enrique’s men will engage in his historic battle just one point off the Ligue 1 top spot.

For Paris FC, the visit to Parc des Princes is barely a welcome sight – the visitors looking to halt their dismal five-match losing streak. This is Stephane Gilli’s poorest run so far in the French top-flight match since earning promotion from the second-tier.

PSG are clearly the favourites in this derby matchup – expect Paris FC to succumb to a sixth winless outing on the trot.

Pre-game odds and win probability: No doubts here

• HOME: 2/11 (1.18) – 84.7%
• DRAW: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%
• AWAY: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

PSG have picked up pace since narrowly losing to Monaco, and are undoubtedly the favourites to grab all three points and pile the pressure on top dogs Lens. Naturally, bookmakers have priced their odds of victory at 2/11 (1.18), a 84.7% probability of success.

Funnily enough, Monaco are the only team Paris FC have beaten in their last nine league fixtures. They are backed by odds of 12/1 (13.00) – indicating a win probability rate of 7.6% for the visitors from across the street.

Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Paris Saint-Germain vs Paris FC predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Who will claim the bragging rights?

PSG and Paris FC have played out draws in their only two competitive H2H fixtures so far, back in 1978/79.

Europe Friendlies 16/12/22

PSG

2

Paris FC

1

PSG preview: Home advantage

Achraf Hakimi, Ibrahima Mbay, Lee Kang-in, David Boly and Matvey Safanov are the confirmed absentees for PSG.

Predicted lineup: Chevalier (GK), Zaire-Emery, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes, Ruiz, Vitinha, Neves, Barcola, Dembele & Kvaratskhelia

Last five matches:

• Fontenay 0-4 PSG (Coupe de France)
• PSG 1-1 Flamengo (2-1 on penalties) (Intercontinental Cup)
• Metz 2-3 PSG (Ligue 1)
• Athletic Bilbao 0-0 PSG (UEFA Champions League)
• PSG 5-0 Rennes (Ligue 1)

Paris FC preview: Long list of absentees

Five players, including club top scorer Ilan Kebbal, Pierre Lees-Melou and Samir Chergui, are out with their respective national teams for the AFCON. Sofiane Alakouch, Pierre Hamel and Pierre Lees-Melou are sidelined with injuries.

Predicted lineup: Nkambadio (GK), Sangui, Mbow, Otavio, Smet, Cafaro, Camara, Marchetti, Lopez, Ikone & Geubbels

Last five matches:

• Raon L'Etape 0-3 Paris FC (Coupe de France)
• Paris FC 0-3 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
• Le Havre 0-0 Paris FC (Ligue 1)
• Paris FC 1-1 Auxerre (Ligue 1)
• Lille 4-2 Paris FC (Ligue 1)

Player to watch: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Kvaratskhelia has struggled to find the back of the net as occasionally as he would like to this season, but nonetheless, the Georgian talent is one of PSG’s most impressive players upfront. He netted PSG’s opener in the penalty shootout victory over Flamengo in the Intercontinental Cup final last month, and will be itching to get on the scoresheet once again in this historic derby.