Two sides sitting at the opposing ends of the Ligue 1 table meet, as reigning champions Paris Saint-Germain look to maintain the pressure on league leaders Lens, when bottom-placed Metz visit Parc des Princes on Saturday, 21 February.
Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Paris Saint-Germain vs Metz tips below.
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Paris Saint-Germain vs Metz prediction: Parisians to run riot
Key stats
- Paris Saint-Germain have conceded the fewest home goals this term (4).
- Two of PSG’s last four home league games have produced five goals.
- Metz have won only one of their 11 away Ligue 1 matches (D1, L9).
- Les Grenats have scored just four times across their last five games (L4, D1).
Correct score prediction: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Metz
Paris Saint-Germain return back to Ligue 1 proceedings after their narrow 3-2 win over Monaco in the UEFA Champions League. Luis Enrique’s men succumbed to a shocking 3-1 league defeat at Rennes last time out, allowing Lens to overtake them into top spot. A victory is the need of the hour for the Parisians.
In stark contrast, Metz are at the foot of the top-flight table, with just 13 points from 22 games. Fellow relegation rivals Auxerre inflicted the latest of their 15 losses with a 3-1 victory. This marked their 10 straight winless result in Ligue 1 (D2, L8).
Parc des Princes has always proven daunting for Metz, who have lost each of their last 10 competitive visits. PSG are undoubtedly the favourites in this matchup – expect the Parisians to inflict another heavy H2H defeat.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Overwhelming home favourites
- HOME: 1/6 (1.16) – 85.7%
- DRAW: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.1%
- AWAY: 11/1 (12.00) – 8.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
PSG have lost only one of their last eight top division fixtures since December 2025. They are strong favourites, assigned with odds of 1/6 (1.16) – implying an 85.7% chance of victory at home.
Metz are currently struggling at the bottom of the standings. Les Grenats are the underdogs, with little hope of a victory here. They are backed by odds of 11/1 (12.00). This suggests an 8.3% win probability rate.
Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Paris Saint-Germain vs Metz predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Dominant PSG
Metz are winless against the French giants in almost two decades. The visitors last emerged victorious against PSG in May 2006 – a run of 17 competitive H2Hs without a win.
France Ligue 1 13/12/25
Metz
PSG
France Ligue 1 19/05/24
Metz
PSG
France Ligue 1 20/12/23
PSG
Metz
France Ligue 1 21/05/22
PSG
Metz
France Ligue 1 22/09/21
Metz
PSG
PSG preview: Four missing
Senny Mayulu, Fabian Ruiz, Ousmane Dembele and Quentin Ndjantou Balde are all dealing with muscle injuries.
Predicted lineup: Safonov (GK), Hakimi, Zabarnyi, Beraldo, Neves, Vitinha, Hernandez, Kang-in, Doue, Ramos & Barcola
Last five matches:
- 17/02/26: Monaco 2-3 PSG (UEFA Champions League)
- 13/02/26: Rennes 3-1 PSG (Ligue 1)
- 08/02/26: PSG 5-0 Marseille (Ligue 1)
- 01/02/26: Strasbourg 1-2 PSG (Ligue 1)
- 28/01/26: PSG 1-1 Newcastle United (UEFA Champions League)
Metz preview: Five notable absentees
As many as five players are expected to miss this clash: Ismael Guerti, Gauthier Hein, Joseph Mangondo, Benjamin Stambouli and Pape Sy.
Predicted lineup: Fischer (GK), Kouao, Sane, Mboula, Ballo-Toure, Deminguet, Gbamin, Abuashvili, Munongo, Tsitaishvili & Diallo
Last five matches:
- 15/02/26: Metz 1-3 Auxerre (Ligue 1)
- 06/02/26: Metz 0-0 Lille (Ligue 1)
- 01/02/26: Angers 1-0 Metz (Ligue 1)
- 25/01/26: Metz 2-5 Lyon (Ligue 1)
- 18/01/26: Strasbourg 2-1 Metz (Ligue 1)
Player to watch: Desire Doue
Doue emerged from the bench against Monaco to marshal PSG's two-goal comeback. His brace sealed the deal in the first leg, and he will now look to translate his form into Ligue 1. The youngster has only three goals and two assists in the top-flight this season. Considering his form, Metz are the perfect opponent for him to rediscover his scoring touch in Ligue 1.