Following a rare defeat, Paris Saint-Germain return to Parc des Princes for a crucial clash against fourth-placed Lille, who trail the hosts by seven points, on Friday, 16 January.
Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Paris Saint-Germain vs Lille tips below.
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Paris Saint-Germain vs Lille prediction: Parisians to scrape past the Mastiffs
Key stats
- PSG remain undefeated on home turf in eight consecutive Ligue 1 games. (W7, D1)
- The hosts have scored in both halves in five of their last six league outings.
- Lille have won 10 of their 17 Ligue 1 matches this season (D2, L5).
- The Mastiffs are winless in back-to-back competitive fixtures.
Correct score prediction: PSG 2-1 Lille
Luis Enrique’s PSG saw their seven-match unbeaten streak come to a halt at the start of the week, as rivals from across the street, Paris FC, knocked them out of the Coupe de France with a 1-0 result. The pressure is back on Paris to return to winning ways, and avoid suffering successive defeats for the first time this season.
For Lille, back-to-back winless matches have stirred tensions in dugout, with Lyon eliminating the visitors from the French Cup, before which Rennes shipped two past them without reply. Nevertheless, Bruno Genesio’s men are strong contenders to land a top-three finish in Ligue 1, where they currently sit behind Marseille.
PSG were always going to be the favourites, but their recent slip-up will allow Lille to assert their dominance. However, the hosts, thanks to their individual quality and backed by the home crowd, should be able to get narrowly past Lille to secure all three points.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Clear home advantage
- HOME: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.4%
- DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
- AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
PSG have the chance to momentarily reclaim the top spot held by Lens. Priced at 4/9 (1.44), their odds of victory indicate a 69.4% probability of success.
Lille haven’t had the best results away from home, although they’ve won back-to-back competitive trips, both in the Coupe de France. The visitors are backed by odds of 5/1 (6.00) – indicating a win probability rate of 16.6%.
Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Paris Saint-Germain vs Lille predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: PSG supremacy
PSG have won seven of their last 10 H2Hs against Lille, who have managed just one victory in the process – a 1-0 in the 2021 French Super Cup final. The last time they met in October 2025, Ethan Mbappe fired a late equaliser to steal a point in a 1-1 draw.
France Ligue 1 05/10/25
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France Ligue 1 01/03/25
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France Ligue 1 01/03/25
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France Ligue 1 01/09/24
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France Ligue 1 10/02/24
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PSG preview: Home advantage
Achraf Hakimi and Ibrahim Mbaye are in the semi-finals of the AFCON, while Quentin Ndjantou and Matvey Safanov are dealing with injuries.
Predicted lineup: Chevalier (GK), Zaire-Emery, Zabarnyi, Pacho, Mendes, Neves, Vitinha, Ruiz, Doue, Dembele & Mayulu
Last five matches:
- PSG 0-1 Paris FC (Coupe de France)
- PSG 2-2 Marseille (4-1 on penalties) (Trophee des Champions)
- PSG 2-1 Paris FC (Ligue 1)
- Fontenay 0-4 PSG (Coupe de France)
- PSG 1-1 Flamengo (2-1 on penalties) (Intercontinental Cup)
Lille preview: Several names sidelined
Five players are confirmed to sit out for Lille: Ethan Mbappe, Ousmane Toure, Marc Caillad, Alexsandro & Romain Perraud. Hamza Igamane is out with Morocco at AFCON.
Predicted lineup: Ozer (GK), Meunier, Mbemba, Mandi, Verdonk, Andre, Bentaleb, Correia, Haraldsson, Fernandez-Pardo & Giroud
Last five matches:
- Lille 1-2 Lyon (Coupe de France)
- Lille 0-2 Rennes (Ligue 1)
- Lusitanos 0-1 Lille (Coupe de France)
- Auxerre 3-4 Lille (Ligue 1)
- Young Boys 1-0 Lille (UEFA Europa League)
Player to watch: Ousmane Dembele
Reigning Ballon d’Or winner Dembele is in impressive form, scoring crucial goals in three of PSG’s last four fixtures, including the winner in the 2-1 win over Paris FC last week. However, the Frenchman has just three goals and two assists to his name in Ligue 1 so far.