Paraguay vs Venezuela prediction, odds & betting tips – 16/10/2024
Paraguay and Venezuela to battle for important points - Photo by Imago
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Under 2.5 total goals

Four of the last five meetings between Paraguay and Venezuela have gone under 2.5 total goals

Paraguay will host Venezuela in the upcoming round of the World Cup Qualifiers in South America on Wednesday, 16 October.

With both teams struggling to get any wins lately, who will emerge victorious from this duel? Read our Paraguay vs Venezuela prediction and preview to find that out and more.

Paraguay vs Venezuela prediction: A close, low-scoring contest

Key stats

  • We saw just one goal overall in Paraguay's last three matches.
  • Venezuela have gone under 2.5 total goals in three of their last four games in all competitions.
  • Paraguay are undefeated in three games in a row.

Correct score prediction: Paraguay 1-0 Venezuela

Four times in the last five meetings between these two teams, we saw the final score be 1-0, twice for Paraguay and twice for Venezuela. With that in mind and given how close these teams are in terms of quality, we wouldn't be surprised to see more of the same on Wednesday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Paraguay the more likely winners

  • HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.80%
  • DRAW: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.30%
  • AWAY: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.80%

It is clear from these Paraguay vs Venezuela odds that the bookies see the hosts as the expected winners, even though Venezuela are currently ahead in the standings by one point.

That being said, Paraguay will have the advantage of playing at home and the two teams are pretty similar in terms of quality, so the bookies clearly see the home-court advantage as a deciding factor.

In any case, if you liked our predictions for this duel, check our other football betting tips for today.

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Most recent H2Hs: A tightly-contested matchup lately

In the last five meetings between Paraguay and Venezuela, we saw Paraguay win three times and Venezuela twice. When it comes to their overall H2H record, Paraguay have a significant advantage: 18-5-5.

South America - World Cup Qualifying 12/09/23

Venezuela

Venezuela

1
Paraguay

Paraguay

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 09/09/21

Paraguay

Paraguay

2
Venezuela

Venezuela

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 13/10/20

Venezuela

Venezuela

0
Paraguay

Paraguay

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 11/10/17

Paraguay

Paraguay

0
Venezuela

Venezuela

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 08/10/15

Venezuela

Venezuela

0
Paraguay

Paraguay

1

Paraguay preview: Hoping for an important win at home

While Paraguay have managed to stay undefeated in their last three games, they have only managed to win once in their last six matches across the board. That being said, that win came against Brazil and with five points in the last three games in these WC qualifiers, Paraguay find themselves just one point behind Venezuela, their next opponent, as both teams fight for their place at the next World Cup.

When it comes to team news, Alvaro Campuzano will miss this game as he recovers from an injury.

Predicted lineup: Fernandez (GK), Caceres, Balbuena, Alderete, Alonso, Villasanti, Bobadilla, Gomez, Enciso, Almiron & Pitta

South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25

D

Colombia

Colombia

2

Paraguay

Paraguay

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/03/25

W

Chile

Chile

0

Paraguay

Paraguay

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 19/11/24

D

Bolivia

Bolivia

2

Paraguay

Paraguay

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24

W

Argentina

Argentina

1

Paraguay

Paraguay

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/24

W

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

Paraguay

Paraguay

2

Venezuela preview: Hoping to stay ahead of Paraguay in the standings

After a great showing at Copa America earlier this year, where they've notched all wins in the group stages and were eliminated by Canada in the quarter-finals after penalties, Venezuela have failed to win any of their three games in the WC Qualifiers. That being said, they did only lose once and they did draw in two tough matchups against Uruguay and Argentina.

Meanwhile, Jose Martinez will have to miss this match through suspension.

Predicted lineup: Romo (GK), Gonzalez, Osorio, Ferraresi, Aramburu, Castillo, Rincon, Herrera, Savarino, Rondon & Soltedo

South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25

W

Peru

Peru

0

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

L

Ecuador

Ecuador

2

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

International Match 18/01/25

L

USA

USA

3

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24

L

Chile

Chile

4

Venezuela

Venezuela

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24

D

Brazil

Brazil

1

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

Player to watch: Miguel Almiron

The 30-year-old Newcastle winger is one of the key pieces of this Paraguay generation and with seven goals in the national team's jersey so far, he is one of the top scorers for Paraguay when counting all active players.

Miguel Almiron
Almiron hoping to lead Paraguay to another win – Photo by Imago

Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.