In this article, we present our Oxford Utd vs Derby prediction, odds & betting tips ahead of their Championship clash at the Kassam Stadium on Tuesday night, but make sure to also check our other favourite Championship predictions.
Both teams sit comfortably in mid-table, with just one place separating Oxford Utd in 11th and Derby in 12th, which suggests that there may not be much between them when they face off.
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Oxford Utd vs Derby prediction: U's to end drawing streak?
Key stats
- There has not been a draw in four previous H2Hs.
- Oxford Utd have drawn their last four Championship games.
- Derby have failed to win in their previous three away Championship matches.
Correct score prediction: Oxford Utd 2-1 Derby
Derby's poor recent away record suggests they may falter again here. In contrast, Oxford Utd are unbeaten in four home Championship games, winning two of them.
Pre-game odds and win probability
- HOME: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.4) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 15/8 (2.88) – 34.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The implied probabilities would suggest that a home win is the most likely result, with an away victory the second-most likely. Given that there has not been a draw in four previous H2Hs, this is unsurprisingly the least-likely income.
Also, feel free to check out our football betting tips and free expert predictions today.
Most recent H2Hs: No draws in sight
As mentioned above, there has not been a draw in the last four H2Hs. Interestingly though, Derby have won three of those, while Oxford Utd have only won once. Both teams have also scored in the previous three meetings, with Derby winning 3-2 twice away from home, which suggests that there could be plenty of goals in this one.
England League 1 29/12/23
Oxford Utd
Derby
England League 1 15/08/23
Derby
Oxford Utd
England League 1 11/03/23
Oxford Utd
Derby
England League 1 30/07/22
Derby
Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd preview: U's determined to turn D's into W's
Oxford Utd come into this off the back of four straight draws, which while they are not losing, it is now no wins in five in the Championship. However, the newly-promoted side have generally given a decent account of themselves, especially at home where they have picked up eight points from their last four.
Predicted lineup: Cumming (GK), Kioso, Moore, Nelson, Brown, Vaulks, Goodrham, Rodrigues, El Mizouni, Dembele & Harris
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Swansea
3
Oxford Utd
3
England Championship 26/04/25
W
Sunderland
0
Oxford Utd
2
England Championship 21/04/25
D
Cardiff
1
Oxford Utd
1
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Leeds
1
Oxford Utd
0
England Championship 12/04/25
W
Sheff Wed
0
Oxford Utd
1
Derby preview: Rams need to stop away rot
Derby stopped a run of three successive defeats in the league with four points from their last two games. However, they are winless in their previous three Championship away matches, which does not bode well for the Rams here, especially considering their opponent's strong home record.
Predicted lineup: Widell Zetterstrom (GK), Wilson, Nelson, Cashin, Forsyth, Goudmijn, Adams, Harness, Jackson, Yates & Blackett-Taylor
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Stoke
0
Derby
0
England Championship 26/04/25
W
Hull
0
Derby
1
England Championship 21/04/25
W
West Brom
1
Derby
3
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Luton
1
Derby
0
England Championship 12/04/25
D
Portsmouth
2
Derby
2
Player to watch – Mark Harris
Harris is Oxford Utd's top scorer with four goals in the Championship this season, so he is undoubtedly their biggest threat. Dane Scarlett scored off the bench against West Brom last time out too, so there is certainly competition for places in the forward areas.