Osasuna vs Villarreal prediction, odds & betting tips – 25/05/2024

Osasuna vs Villarreal prediction, odds & betting tips – 25/05/2024
Villarreal won the reverse fixture 3-1 in November - Photo by Icon Sport

Osasuna and Villarreal clash in La Liga on Saturday at El Sadar. Our Osasuna vs Villarreal prediction considers whether either side can emerge victorious on the final weekend.

osasuna vs villarreal predictions
Villarreal won the reverse fixture 3-1 in November – Photo by Icon Sport

Osasuna vs Villarreal prediction: Score draw with Sorloth on target once more

With both teams looking to finish the season with a victory, we can see goals on both sides. However, we don't see either team winning this match.

Key Stats

  • Our Osasuna vs Villarreal betting tips take into account that 78% of matches involving the Yellow Submarine this term in La Liga have seen both teams score.
  • The side from Pamplona have won just 33% of their home fixtures this term.
  • Villarreal have lost just two of their last 17 league games.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors favourites to continue strong end to season

  • HOME: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
  • DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
  • AWAY: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The visitors are the favourites according to the Osasuna vs Villarreal odds with an implied probability of 45.5% that they win this largely meaningless game.

Osasuna are playing their final match under long serving coach Jagoba Arrasate who has done a terrific job. He led his side to a shock 4-1 win away to Atletico Madrid last weekend with Raul Garcia scoring twice.

Villarreal meanwhile were involved in a remarkable game last time out, coming from 4-1 down to draw 4-4 against Real Madrid with Alexander Sorloth scoring all of their goals.

For more analysis and the latest picks from Spain and beyond, today’s betting tips will guide you around the best of this weekend’s football action.

Last five H2Hs: Yellow Submarine targeting fourth straight win

Spain Primera Liga 26/11/23

Villarreal

Villarreal

3
Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Spain Primera Liga 19/03/23

Osasuna

Osasuna

0
Villarreal

Villarreal

3

Spain Primera Liga 17/10/22

Villarreal

Villarreal

2
Osasuna

Osasuna

0

Spain Primera Liga 05/03/22

Osasuna

Osasuna

1
Villarreal

Villarreal

0

Spain Primera Liga 17/10/21

Villarreal

Villarreal

1
Osasuna

Osasuna

2

Our Osasuna vs Villarreal prediction suggests the visitors may fall just short of what would be a fourth straight win in this fixture. They’ve won on four of their last six visits to El Sadar including a 3-0 success last term.

Osasuna Preview: Arrasate to wave goodbye to El Sadar

After six successful years, Jagoba Arrasate is leaving Osasuna so this will be his final game. His final eleven won’t feature David Garcia, Kike Barja or Ruben Garcia with all three injured.

Predicted Lineup: Aitor Fernandez (GK), Mojica, Herrando, Catena, Areso, Torro, Ibañez, Muñoz, Aimar Oroz, Raul Garcia, Peña

Spain Primera Liga 25/05/24

D

Villarreal

Villarreal

1

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

W

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

Osasuna

Osasuna

4

Spain Primera Liga 14/05/24

D

Mallorca

Mallorca

1

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Spain Primera Liga 11/05/24

D

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

Osasuna

Osasuna

2

Spain Primera Liga 05/05/24

L

Real Betis

Real Betis

2

Osasuna

Osasuna

0

Villarreal Preview: Injury issues easing

There’s good news on the selection front for the Yellow Submarine with Gerard Moreno fit again and a potential starter here. Pepe Reina may get a rare league start in goal but Juan Foyth and Denis Suarez remain out.

Predicted Lineup: Reina (GK), Moreno, Bailly, Mosquera, Femenia, Baena, Parejo, Comesaña, Guedes, Sorloth, Gerard Moreno

Europe Friendlies 20/07/24

L

Leicester

Leicester

2

Villarreal

Villarreal

1

Spain Primera Liga 25/05/24

D

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Villarreal

Villarreal

1

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

D

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

4

Villarreal

Villarreal

4

Spain Primera Liga 14/05/24

W

Girona

Girona

0

Villarreal

Villarreal

1

Spain Primera Liga 11/05/24

W

Sevilla

Sevilla

2

Villarreal

Villarreal

3

Player to watch – Alexander Sorloth

Alexander Sorloth was on fire last weekend with four goals against Real Madrid to take his season tally to 23. He’s two clear of Girona’s Artem Dovbyk in the Pichichi race heading into the final matchday.

osasuna vs villarreal prediction
Alexander Sorloth celebrates against Real Madrid last weekend – Photo by Icon Sport

Massively outperforming his xG

This incredible run of form from the Norwegian has been unexpected given his reputation as a reliable striker but not one who scores loads of goals. Almost everything he touches turns to gold right now with some clinical form seeing him massively outperform his season xG of 14.31.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.