Osasuna and Mallorca clash at El Sadar in Spain on Saturday as Jagoba Arrasate returns to his old club. Our Osasuna vs Mallorca prediction and La Liga betting tips look at whether it’ll be a happy reunion.
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Osasuna vs Mallorca prediction: Score draw with Budimir on target
Key stats
- Our Osasuna vs Mallorca betting tips take into account that 74% of Osasuna home games last term in the league ended with two or fewer goals.
- 38% of Osasuna’s league goals last season were scored by Ante Budimir.
- It was just two road wins for Mallorca last term and eight away draws in La Liga.
Correct score prediction: Osasuna 1-1 Mallorca
Both sides started off with 1-1 draws, although Mallorca were much more impressive than Osasuna. Jagoba Arrasate will know the home team’s strengths and weaknesses better than anyone, and the visitors look well capable of getting a point here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Osasuna favoured to ruin Arrasate’s return
- HOME: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
- DRAW: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
- AWAY: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Osasuna vs Mallorca odds with an implied probability of 41.7% that they win the game.
It was nearly a dreadful start for new Osasuna boss Vicente Moreno, but a late Juan Soriano own goal ensured they rescued a point in a 1-1 home draw against newly promoted Leganes.
Mallorca impressed in a 1-1 draw against Real Madrid in their opener, with Vedat Muriqi heading home.
For more picks, today’s free football betting tips take a look at some of the best options from the action across Europe and beyond.
Most recent H2Hs: Low-scoring games the norm
Our Osasuna vs Mallorca prediction suggests that we’ll get two or fewer goals for the fifth time in six meetings. Osasuna have only won one of the last five clashes overall.
Spain Primera Liga 14/05/24
Osasuna
Mallorca
Spain Primera Liga 21/12/23
Mallorca
Osasuna
Spain Primera Liga 31/03/23
Mallorca
Osasuna
Spain Primera Liga 14/01/23
Osasuna
Mallorca
Spain Primera Liga 22/05/22
Osasuna
Mallorca
Osasuna preview: Bryan set for first start
Bryan Zaragoza, signed on loan from Bayern Munich, is likely to make his first start for Osasuna. Ruben Pena and Jose Arnaiz are both injury doubts.
Predicted Lineup: Herrera (GK), Bretones, Herrando, Catena, Areso, Moncayola Torro, Bryan, Oroz, Ruben Garcia & Budimir
Spain Primera Liga 01/09/24 W Celta Vigo 2 Osasuna 3 Spain Primera Liga 29/08/24 L Girona 4 Osasuna 0 Spain Primera Liga 24/08/24 W Mallorca 0 Osasuna 1 Spain Primera Liga 17/08/24 D Leganes 1 Osasuna 1 Elite Club Friendlies 10/08/24 L CD Alaves 2 Osasuna 1
Mallorca preview: Few changes expected
Arrasate would have liked most of what he saw on matchday one and could name an unchanged eleven, with Javi Llabres the only injury concern.
Predicted Lineup: Greif (GK), Mojica, Raillo, Valjent, Maffeo, Samu Costa, Mascarell, Darder, Rodriguez, Asano & Muriqi
Spain Primera Liga 31/08/24 W Leganes 0 Mallorca 1 Spain Primera Liga 27/08/24 D Sevilla 0 Mallorca 0 Spain Primera Liga 24/08/24 L Osasuna 1 Mallorca 0 Spain Primera Liga 18/08/24 D Real Madrid 1 Mallorca 1 Elite Club Friendlies 10/08/24 L Bologna 1 (6) Mallorca 1 (5) 
Player to watch – Ante Budimir
The Croatian striker is up against his old club here. Across five seasons in Spain, he has never bettered the 17-goal return he managed last term in La Liga, although he did score 13 for Mallorca in La Liga 2019/20.
A threat in the air and on the ground
Last season’s goalscoring numbers were largely the result of Budimir taking more shots (2.3 per game on average) and winning more aerial challenges (4.9 per game), than he had ever done before in La Liga.
