Osasuna vs Mallorca prediction, odds & betting tips – 24/08/2024

osasuna vs mallorca predictions
Vedat Muriqi celebrates last weekend - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Draw

Mallorca drew 16 matches last season, more than any other team in La Liga.

Osasuna and Mallorca clash at El Sadar in Spain on Saturday as Jagoba Arrasate returns to his old club. Our Osasuna vs Mallorca prediction and La Liga betting tips look at whether it’ll be a happy reunion.

Osasuna vs Mallorca prediction: Score draw with Budimir on target

Key stats

  • Our Osasuna vs Mallorca betting tips take into account that 74% of Osasuna home games last term in the league ended with two or fewer goals.
  • 38% of Osasuna’s league goals last season were scored by Ante Budimir.
  • It was just two road wins for Mallorca last term and eight away draws in La Liga.

Correct score prediction: Osasuna 1-1 Mallorca

Both sides started off with 1-1 draws, although Mallorca were much more impressive than Osasuna. Jagoba Arrasate will know the home team’s strengths and weaknesses better than anyone, and the visitors look well capable of getting a point here.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Osasuna favoured to ruin Arrasate’s return

  • HOME: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
  • DRAW: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
  • AWAY: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Osasuna vs Mallorca odds with an implied probability of 41.7% that they win the game.

It was nearly a dreadful start for new Osasuna boss Vicente Moreno, but a late Juan Soriano own goal ensured they rescued a point in a 1-1 home draw against newly promoted Leganes.

Mallorca impressed in a 1-1 draw against Real Madrid in their opener, with Vedat Muriqi heading home.

For more picks, today’s free football betting tips take a look at some of the best options from the action across Europe and beyond.

Most recent H2Hs: Low-scoring games the norm

Our Osasuna vs Mallorca prediction suggests that we’ll get two or fewer goals for the fifth time in six meetings. Osasuna have only won one of the last five clashes overall.

Spain Primera Liga 14/05/24

Osasuna

Osasuna

1
Mallorca

Mallorca

1

Spain Primera Liga 21/12/23

Mallorca

Mallorca

3
Osasuna

Osasuna

2

Spain Primera Liga 31/03/23

Mallorca

Mallorca

0
Osasuna

Osasuna

0

Spain Primera Liga 14/01/23

Osasuna

Osasuna

1
Mallorca

Mallorca

0

Spain Primera Liga 22/05/22

Osasuna

Osasuna

0
Mallorca

Mallorca

2

Osasuna preview: Bryan set for first start

Bryan Zaragoza, signed on loan from Bayern Munich, is likely to make his first start for Osasuna. Ruben Pena and Jose Arnaiz are both injury doubts.

Predicted Lineup: Herrera (GK), Bretones, Herrando, Catena, Areso, Moncayola Torro, Bryan, Oroz, Ruben Garcia & Budimir

Spain Primera Liga 01/09/24

W

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Osasuna

Osasuna

3

Spain Primera Liga 29/08/24

L

Girona

Girona

4

Osasuna

Osasuna

0

Spain Primera Liga 24/08/24

W

Mallorca

Mallorca

0

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Spain Primera Liga 17/08/24

D

Leganes

Leganes

1

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Elite Club Friendlies 10/08/24

L

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

2

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Mallorca preview: Few changes expected

Arrasate would have liked most of what he saw on matchday one and could name an unchanged eleven, with Javi Llabres the only injury concern.

Predicted Lineup: Greif (GK), Mojica, Raillo, Valjent, Maffeo, Samu Costa, Mascarell, Darder, Rodriguez, Asano & Muriqi

Spain Primera Liga 31/08/24

W

Leganes

Leganes

0

Mallorca

Mallorca

1

Spain Primera Liga 27/08/24

D

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Mallorca

Mallorca

0

Spain Primera Liga 24/08/24

L

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

Mallorca

Mallorca

0

Spain Primera Liga 18/08/24

D

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

Mallorca

Mallorca

1

Elite Club Friendlies 10/08/24

L

Bologna

Bologna

1 (6)

Mallorca

Mallorca

1 (5)

Player to watch – Ante Budimir

The Croatian striker is up against his old club here. Across five seasons in Spain, he has never bettered the 17-goal return he managed last term in La Liga, although he did score 13 for Mallorca in La Liga 2019/20.

osasuna vs mallorca prediction
Budimir is Osasuna's biggest goal threat – Photo by IMAGO.

A threat in the air and on the ground

Last season’s goalscoring numbers were largely the result of Budimir taking more shots (2.3 per game on average) and winning more aerial challenges (4.9 per game), than he had ever done before in La Liga.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.