Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid – prediction, preview & betting tips – 12/05/2026
Osasuna won the last H2H at this stadium. - Photo by IMAGO/Ricardo Larreina Amador
🔥 Our Hot tip

Osasuna to score first

Atletico Madrid conceded first in four of their last five matches.

Osasuna will hope to turn their fortunes around when they welcome Atletico Madrid to Estadio El Sadar for their La Liga encounter on Tuesday.

The hosts have managed only one win in their last six games but are still within reach of a European spot.

Atletico Madrid, on the other hand, will look to avoid a third consecutive defeat.

Read our Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid prediction, preview and betting tips below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid key stats

  • Fewer than three goals were scored in four of the last five clashes between these teams.
  • Atletico Madrid suffered three defeats in their last four away league games.
  • Osasuna have lost only one of their last 11 matches at this stadium.

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid preview: Visitors to complete the sweep?

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid — Tale of the Tape

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid
10thPosition4th
42Points63
42Goals For58
45Goals Against38
7Clean Sheets13
6thHome / Away Rank7th

*These figures were accurate at the time of publishing.

Osasuna's woes continued over the weekend, as they suffered a disappointing 3-2 defeat against Levante, despite having a two-goal lead in the first 11 minutes. The hosts have now lost three of their last four games, with only one victory in their last six outings.

As things stand, Alessio Lisci's men are three points behind seventh-placed Getafe with three matches left to play. They could secure a European spot by winning their remaining games.

Osasuna will have first-choice goalkeeper Sergio Herrera suspended for this encounter. The 33-year-old was sent off against Levante for handling the ball outside the area.

Victor Munoz is another absentee for the hosts, with his calf injury needing a couple more weeks to heal. Prior to the injury, the former Real Madrid man was in Luis de la Fuente’s plans for the FIFA World Cup, and a delayed recovery could halt Munoz’s chances for a place in the national team.

On the other hand, Atletico Madrid followed their UEFA Champions League semi-final exit with a disappointing 1-0 home defeat against Celta Vigo on Saturday.

Unlike their opponents, the visitors have nothing left to play for, as they are guaranteed a top-five spot and will almost certainly finish fourth at the end of the season.

However, it is fair to note that Los Colchoneros won six of their last seven trips to this stadium, although they lost their most recent visit last season.

Giuliano Simeone (thigh), Julian Alvarez (ankle), Pablo Barrios (thigh), Johnny Cardoso (muscle), and Nicolas Gonzalez (thigh) are all ruled out of this encounter due to injury, while Alex Baena serves a one-match suspension for accumulated yellow cards.

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid form guide & betting tips

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid — Last 5 Form Guide
Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid
D L W L L
Form
L L W W L
4Points6
16thForm Table11th
6Goals For8
8Goals Against8
D L W L L
Form (All Comps)
W D W L L

Whispers Predicts: Osasuna 1-0 Atletico Madrid

At 2.53, Osasuna are considered favourites by the bookmakers.

Given that this is a crucial game for the hosts, who have lost only once in their last 11 home games, we believe that Osasuna will return to winning ways on Tuesday night.

Interestingly, at least one team failed to score in eight of the last nine encounters between these teams, so BTTS – No at 2.20 could be worth a punt.

Furthermore, Atletico Madrid are coming off back-to-back 1-0 defeats, and a similar result can be backed at 9.30.

📈 Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid — Whispers' Tips

> Under 2.5 total goals at 2.00 | Likelihood: Probable

> BTTS – No at 2.20 | Likelihood: Probable

> Match result: Osasuna at 2.53 | Likelihood: Possible

> Osasuna & BTTS – No at 4.50 | Likelihood: Possible

> Correct Score: 1-0 at 9.30 | Likelihood: Outsider

spain la liga prediction

Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like Afrik-Foot, What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Pundit Feed