The second leg of the all-Cyprus derby in the Conference League will be played on Thursday, 20 February, when Pafos will host Omonia.
After a draw in the first leg, can Pafos get to the next stage backed by their fans or will Omonia get the better of them? Read our Pafos vs Omonia prediction and preview to learn more about this duel.
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Pafos vs Omonia prediction: Not many goals expected
Key stats
- Pafos have gone under 2.5 total goals in eight of their last nine matches in all competitions.
- Three of the last five duels between these teams have ended in draws.
- Both teams are doing well lately, with Omonia undefeated in nine and Pafos in eight games in a row.
Correct score prediction: Pafos 1-1 Omonia
We saw in the first leg that these two teams are pretty close and that match was the third of the last five H2H duels between these teams that has ended 1-1. With that in mind, we wouldn't be surprised to see the same on Thursday and for the winner to be decided after extra time or even penalties.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Pafos the more likely winners
- HOME: 4/6 (1.67) – 60.00%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.00%
- AWAY: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.70%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It's clear from the Pafos vs Omonia odds that the bookies see the hosts as the expected winners, which isn't surprising since Pafos will have the advantage of playing at home in this match.
That being said, both teams are undefeated for a while and this should be a very exciting duel, so we would've expected a bit higher odds on the hosts.
In any case, if you're looking for more of our reliable picks, check out these betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: A very close matchup lately
In the last five duels between these teams, we saw each team win once, along with three draws. However, Omonia have the advantage when it comes to their overall H2H record: 19-14-8.
UEFA Conference League 13/02/25
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos FC
Cyprus Division 1 02/12/24
Pafos FC
Omonia Nicosia
Cyprus Cup 18/05/24
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos FC
Cyprus Division 1 11/05/24
Pafos FC
Omonia Nicosia
Cyprus Division 1 31/03/24
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos FC
Pafos preview: Exceeding all expectations
As a team formed only 10 years ago, Pafos have pushed all expectations in the past few years. Last season, they won their first major honour by lifting the Cypriot Cup and this season they are sitting atop of their domestic championship with six points more than Aris, the second team in the standings.
Furthermore, Pafos have a good chance to reach the Round of 16 of the Conference League after drawing with Omonia in the first leg away from home.
Predicted lineup: Ivusic (GK), Correia, Sarlija, Goldar, Silva, Sema, Sunjic, Pepe, Tankovic, Orsic & Dragomir
UEFA Conference League 13/03/25
L
Djurgarden
3
Pafos FC
0
Cyprus Division 1 09/03/25
D
Ethnikos Achnas
0
Pafos FC
0
UEFA Conference League 06/03/25
W
Djurgarden
0
Pafos FC
1
Cyprus Division 1 01/03/25
L
Omonia Nicosia
2
Pafos FC
1
Cyprus Division 1 24/02/25
W
Apoel Nicosia
0
Pafos FC
2
Omonia preview: Hoping to surprise the favoured rival
After barely securing their place in the knockout stages by the virtue of goal difference, Omonia have failed to secure a win in the first leg against another Cyprian team, so they'll have to chase a win away from home if they want to reach the next stage.
Omonia have been in great form recently, with nine games in a row without a loss, seven of which were wins. That being said, Omonia are 10 points behind their next opponent Pafos in the Cyprian league, so they won't have an easy task in the second leg.
Predicted lineup: Fabiano (GK), Dionkou, Coulibaly, Panayiotou, Khammas, Erakovic, Maric, Jovetic, Alioum, Semedo & Kakoullis
Cyprus Division 1 01/03/25
W
Pafos FC
1
Omonia Nicosia
2
UEFA Conference League 20/02/25
L
Pafos FC
2
Omonia Nicosia
1
Cyprus Division 1 16/02/25
W
Omonia Aradippou
1
Omonia Nicosia
3
UEFA Conference League 13/02/25
D
Pafos FC
1
Omonia Nicosia
1
Cyprus Division 1 07/02/25
W
Omonia 29is Maiou
2
Omonia Nicosia
3
Player to watch: Joao Correia
Despite mostly playing as a right-back, Correia is the top scorer in the Conference League for Pafos this season with three goals. The 28-year-old had to miss the first leg against Omonia due to accumulated yellow cards, but he will be back in the team for the second leg and he'll be the player to watch.
