Kairat vs Olimpija prediction, odds & betting tips 15/07/2025
Can Kairat continue their perfect home record in the UCL qualifiers? - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Both teams to score

Both teams have found the net in four of Olimpija’s last five away matches.

Kazakhstan outfit Kairat Almaty will play host to Slovenian club Olimpija Ljubljana on Tuesday at Central Stadium for the second leg of their UEFA Champions League first qualifying round, having played out a 1-1 draw in the opening fixture last Wednesday.

Read our Kairat vs Olimpija prediction and preview to learn more about this match.

Kairat vs Olimpija prediction: Sketch beyond 90 minutes?

Key stats

  • Olimpija have drawn four of their last five away matches (L1).
  • The opening leg between the two sides featured over 4.5 cards.
  • Kairat are unbeaten in their last six outings across all competitions (W4, D2).
  • The visitors have avoided defeat in each of their last eight matches.

Correct score prediction: Kairat 1-1 Olimpija

Given both teams’ resilience in recent fixtures and the high stakes involved, this contest has all the makings of a tightly contested affair that could stretch into extra time, with a repeat of the 1-1 result from the first leg a likely outcome.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favouring Olimpija

  • HOME:11/8 (2.38) – 42.0%
  • DRAW:23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
  • AWAY:19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

While the odds are fairly close, Kairat’s price of 2.38 and 42.0 percent win probability is justifiable given their dominant record at Central Stadium and strong track record in UEFA Champions League qualifiers played on home soil.

The Kazakh giants have emerged victorious in 11 of their last 12 home games and maintain a flawless record in front of their fans in the Champions League preliminaries, having won all three home matches in the competition to date.

A 30.3 percent probability for a draw at 3.30 odds also appears reasonable, considering how evenly matched the tie is expected to be, while Olimpija’s 34.5 percent chance at 2.90 reflects their solid run of four wins in their last seven matches.

In any case, remember to take a closer look at our other betting tips for today if you liked our predictions for this match.

Most recent H2Hs: Second-ever meeting

Last week’s first-leg tie marked the first competitive meeting between these two sides. That encounter ended 1-1, with Kairat taking the lead just before the hour mark, only to see their advantage wiped out seven minutes later.

UEFA Champions League Qualifying 08/07/25

Olimpija Ljubljana

Olimpija Ljubljana

1
Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty

1

Kairat preview: At least four absentees

Kairat emerged from last week’s fixture unscathed, but head coach Rafael Urazbakhtin will be without several key players for this encounter.

Elder Santana and Joao Paulo remain sidelined with cruciate ligament injuries, while Amirbek Barzabayev and Olzhas Baibek are both suspended for disciplinary reasons.

Predicted lineup: Zarutskiy (GK), Kasabulat, Martynovich, Sorokin, Mata, Sanojev, Glazar, Tapalov, Gromyko, Jorginho & Satpaev

Kazakhstan Premier League 04/07/25

W

Turan

Turan

0

Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty

4

Kazakhstan Premier League 29/06/25

W

Ordabasy

Ordabasy

0

Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty

1

Kazakhstan Premier League 21/06/25

W

FK Kyzylzhar

FK Kyzylzhar

0

Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty

1

Kazakhstan Premier League 14/06/25

D

Zhetysu

Zhetysu

2

Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty

2

Kazakhstan Premier League 30/05/25

W

FK Aktobe

FK Aktobe

1

Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty

2

Olimpija preview: At least three out

Olimpija finished the first leg without any fresh injury concerns, but head coach Jorge Simao will still be without a few players for the return trip to Kazakhstan.

Forward Pedro Lucas Schwaizer and defender Marko Ristic remain unavailable due to ongoing knee and cruciate ligament injuries, respectively.

Brazilian centre-back Thalisson Charles also continues to serve his suspension under UEFA rulings, following a red card for violent conduct in the 2024-25 UEFA Conference League match against Cercle Brugge KSV.

Predicted lineup: Lubej-Fink (GK), Blanco, Muhamedbegovic, Jelenkovic, Diga, Doffo, Agba, Pinto, Brest, Tamm & Mitrovski

Slovenia Prva Liga 15/03/25

W

NK Radomlje

NK Radomlje

0

Olimpija Ljubljana

Olimpija Ljubljana

3

Slovenia Prva Liga 02/03/25

W

NK Celje

NK Celje

0

Olimpija Ljubljana

Olimpija Ljubljana

2

UEFA Conference League 20/02/25

D

Borac Banja Luka

Borac Banja Luka

0

Olimpija Ljubljana

Olimpija Ljubljana

0

Slovenia Prva Liga 16/02/25

W

NK Nafta 1903

NK Nafta 1903

0

Olimpija Ljubljana

Olimpija Ljubljana

3

UEFA Conference League 13/02/25

L

Borac Banja Luka

Borac Banja Luka

1

Olimpija Ljubljana

Olimpija Ljubljana

0

Player to Watch: Dastan Satpaev

Dastan Satpaev has either scored or assisted a goal in five of his last six home matches for Kairat (Photo credit: Imago)

Dastan Satpaev netted Kairat’s only goal in the first leg and will head into this fixture with growing confidence, especially at Central Stadium, where he has either scored or assisted in five of the last six appearances.


Adeyeye Oluwapelumi is a writer with over four years of experience covering football and a range of global sports. A passionate Arsenal fan since 2004, he brings sharp insight and a genuine love for the game to every piece.