Luton welcome Norwich City to Kenilworth on New Year's Day, hoping to avenge their 4-2 defeat in the reverse fixture. Read on for our Luton vs Norwich predictions and more.
Contents
Luton vs Norwich prediction: Goals galore?
Key Stats
- Luton have the second worst defence in the league, with 41 goals conceded. Norwich have not been much better, with 36 against.
- Borja Sainz is top scorer in the Championship with 15 goals, though he is on a seven game barren streak.
- Luton have won the last three in a row at home to Norwich.
Correct score prediction: Luton 2-2 Norwich
As mentioned above, neither side has been good at keeping the ball out of the net. Norwich have been better scorers, but the Canaries have struggled on the road, with just two wins away wins all season. As such, we anticipate a score draw here.
Pre-game odds and win probability:
- HOME: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.8%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 7/4 (2.75) – 36.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Luton are the expected winner of this game, albeit by a narrow margin, with a win probability of 40.8%. However, we think a draw is more likely.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Luton edge it
Despite their 4-2 loss at Carrow Road earlier this season, Luton still have the edge on their visitors, winning three and losing two of their last five meetings with the Canaries.
England Championship 30/11/24
Norwich
Luton
England Championship 26/12/22
Luton
Norwich
England Championship 18/10/22
Norwich
Luton
England Championship 06/03/21
Norwich
Luton
England Championship 02/12/20
Luton
Norwich
Luton preview: Still rediscovering their footing
It's not been an easy return to the Championship for Luton after their Premier League fever dream in 2023/24. The Hatters are 19th coming into this one.
Rob Edwards' side have been better of late, with wins in Derby and Stoke in their last five, but they have still underwhelmed.
Despite missing seven players through injury and suspension, the Kenilworth Road faithful will be hoping to see their side turn over a new leaf at the start of 2025.
Predicted lineup: Kaminski (GK), Holmes, McGuinness, Bell, Moses, Clark, Krauss, Chong, Morris, Adebayo
England Championship 03/05/25
L
West Brom
5
Luton
3
England Championship 26/04/25
W
Coventry
0
Luton
1
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Bristol City
1
Luton
3
England Championship 18/04/25
W
Derby
0
Luton
1
England Championship 12/04/25
L
Blackburn
1
Luton
0
Norwich preview: Growing pains
Despite a wildly inconsistent opening act of 2024/25 that sees them in 12th place on New Year's Day, it's not all doom and gloom at Carrow Road.
After pursuing quick fixes with older players and coaches to try and find a shortcut back to the Premier League, Norwich have returned to a more youthful approach, which has shown some green (and yellow) shoots.
After back to back losses to Burnley and Sunderland, the Canaries have steadied the ship with a win over Millwall and a draw with QPR.
Predicted lineup: Gunn (GK), Fisher, Duffy, Cordoba, Doyle, McLean, Marcondes, Nunez, Schwartau, Crnac, Sainz
England Championship 03/05/25
W
Cardiff
2
Norwich
4
England Championship 26/04/25
D
Middlesbrough
0
Norwich
0
England Championship 21/04/25
L
Millwall
3
Norwich
1
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Portsmouth
5
Norwich
3
England Championship 11/04/25
L
Burnley
2
Norwich
1
Player to watch: Elijah Adebayo
Perhaps no player has been more representative of Luton's underperformance than big centre-forward Elijah Adebayo, who has scored just five goals from an expected goals of 9.59, the highest in the Championship.
Adebayo netted 10 goals in the Premier League last season, including finishes against Arsenal and Manchester City, so clearly possesses the requisite quality.
Combine that with the number of chances he's getting, it can't be long until he starts finding the back of the net with more regularity again.
With one goal already scored against Norwich this season, we back him to score here.