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Norway and Wales are hoping to salvage second place in Group A4 when they meet at the Ullevaal Stadion in the Nations League on Saturday evening.
Both teams are stuck on three points each, with Wales in third based on their superior head-to-head record.
Nonetheless, Denmark are not out of reach on six points in second place, with Portugal way out in front in first on 12 points.
Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.
Norway vs. Wales key stats
- Norway have lost just once in 15 home games (W11, D3).
- Wales have lost eight of 10 League A matches (W1, D1).
- Norway are unbeaten in five home head-to-heads (W2, D3).
Norway vs. Wales preview: Norwegians to row to victory?
Norway vs Wales — Tale of the Tape
| Norway | vs | Wales |
|---|---|---|
| 4th | Position | 3rd |
| 3 | Points | 3 |
| 6 | Goals For | 2 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 2nd (H) | Home / Away Rank | 4th (A) |
Norway have found the jump to League A difficult so far.
After an impressive World Cup where they reached the quarter-finals, Stale Solbakken’s side have won just once in the Nations League.
That was followed by three successive defeats, including a 2-1 loss in Wales in the reverse fixture.
Luckily for the Norwegians, they appear to have no fresh injury concerns, meaning Erling Haaland and co can really attack this fixture.
The same cannot be said for Wales, as Sorba Thomas and Ben Cabango are suspended.
Kieffer Moore, Jordan James and Dylan Lawlor are also ruled out through injury, giving Craig Bellamy more headaches.
Despite beating Norway, the visitors have struggled in their other matches, losing all of them.
They too are finding the step up to League A hard, and will be desperate to avoid relegation.
Norway vs. Wales form guide & betting tips
| Norway | vs | Wales |
|---|---|---|
LWLLL |
Form | LLLWL |
| 7 | Goals For | 3 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 7 |
LLL |
Nations League | LWL |
Whispers predicts: Norway 2-1 Wales
Norway are 1/4 (1.25) favourites, but while we agree with the bookies, we want to explore other bets.
Incredibly, Norway's last 12 games have seen both teams score, so BTTS – Yes at 1/1 (2.00) offers value, while our next pick focuses on the corners market.
Eight of Norway's previous nine matches have produced nine or more corners, so Over 8.5 corners at 16/19 (1.84) is worth backing.
Interestingly, all of Norway's Nations League defeats have been by a 2-1 scoreline, so Correct score – 2-1 at 17/2 (9.50) is worth a punt.
> Over 8.5 corners at 1.84 | Likelihood: High
> BTTS – Yes at 2.00 | Likelihood: Medium
> Correct score – 2-1 at 9.50 | Likelihood: Low