Austria are set to take on Norway in the Nations League on Sunday, 13 October in a match that will go a long way to determining which side gets promoted to League A.
Norway are currently on top of the pile on seven points from their first three games while Austria trail by three points making this a true six-pointer.
As part of the latest round of Nations League betting tips, check out our Austria vs Norway prediction.
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Austria vs Norway prediction: The hosts to bridge the gap
Key stats
- It has now been a year since Austria last lost a football match on home soil.
- Norway have failed to win their last three away matches.
- Erling Haaland has scored seven goals in his last five matches for Norway.
Correct score prediction: Austria 2-1 Norway
Austria have been brilliant at home under Ralf Rangnick since the German took over two years ago and will fancy their chances of beating Norway on Sunday. Norway have been improving, though, so it won't be an easy match and when you have Erling Haaland up front, you are always likely to at least get on the scoresheet.
Pre-game odds and win probability: The hosts go in as favourites
- HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
These two teams are very evenly matched on paper but the bookies have given the edge to Austria perhaps due to their home form under Rangnick. Ladbrokes have given the hosts a 48.8% chance of winning the match while Norway have been given a 29.4% chance of coming out on top. The draw has been given a 28.6% chance of happening.
Check out our betting tips today page for more Nations League predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Neck and neck
Austria and Norway have played each other on three occasions over the past four years with both teams winning one match apiece and the other one finishing in a draw. Austria had won five of the previous six clashes between the two nations so do have superiority when it comes to the overall head-to-head record.
UEFA Nations League B 09/09/24
Norway
Austria
UEFA Nations League 18/11/20
Austria
Norway
UEFA Nations League 04/09/20
Norway
Austria
Austria preview: A makeshift defence
Ralf Rangnick is having to experiment with his defence during this international break which will be music to the ears of Erling Haaland. His captain, David Alaba, is still recovering from a long-term injury while Kevin Danso and Max Wober are both unavailable. Mark Arnautovic will be hoping for a start after being on the bench against Kazakhstan.
Predicted lineup: Pentz (GK) – Posch, Svoboda, Lienhart, Prass – Laimer, Seiwald, Sabitzer – Schmid, Baumgartner, Arnautovic
UEFA Nations League B 09/09/24
L
Norway
2
Austria
1
UEFA Nations League B 06/09/24
D
Slovenia
1
Austria
1
Euro 2024 02/07/24
L
Turkey
2
Austria
1
Euro 2024 25/06/24
W
Netherlands
2
Austria
3
Euro 2024 21/06/24
W
Poland
1
Austria
3
Norway preview: Looking to feed the two big men
Norway's two best players are both at the top end of the pitch but there is nothing that Alexander Sorloth and Erling Haaland can do if the players behind them don't supply them with opportunities. The loss of Martin Odegaard is a huge blow when it comes to chance creation while Oscar Bobb is also missing after seriously injuring his leg in pre-season.
Predicted lineup: Nyland (GK) – Ajer, Ostigard, Hanche-Olsen, Wolfe – Pedersen, Berge, Thorsby, Nusa – Haaland, Sorloth
UEFA Nations League B 09/09/24
L
Norway
2
Austria
1
UEFA Nations League B 06/09/24
D
Slovenia
1
Austria
1
Euro 2024 02/07/24
L
Turkey
2
Austria
1
Euro 2024 25/06/24
W
Netherlands
2
Austria
3
Euro 2024 21/06/24
W
Poland
1
Austria
3
Player to watch: Alexander Sorloth
While much of the attention whenever Norway play is on Erling Haaland, his strike partner also happens to be one of the best strikers in Europe. Sorloth got a big money move to Atletico Madrid in the summer and while he is yet to show his best form under Diego Simeone, he does usually perform at a high level for his country.
