Newport vs Notts County prediction, odds & betting tips 02/08/2025
Notts County will hope to beat Newport County - Image by IMAGO
🔥 Our Hot tip

Notts County to score over 1.5 goals

Notts County created the most big chances of an League Two side last season (111)

In their first game of the 2025-26 League Two season, Newport County will welcome Notts County to Rodney Parade on Saturday.

The hosts were almost relegated last term after finishing in 22nd place in the fourth tier – third last in the division – whereas their opponents' sixth-placed finish in League Two was enough for a promotion playoff spot.

Newport vs Notts County: Creative visitors

Key stats

  • Notts County created the most big chances (111) and the second most xG (73.3) of any team in League Two in 2024-25.
  • The visitors are unbeaten against their hosts in their four most recent encounters, winning three times.
  • Newport have conceded at least two goals in five of their past seven competitive outings, including in each of their last three.

Correct score prediction: Newport 1-2 Notts County

It is difficult to overlook Notts County's strong displays last season, as well as their encouraging record against Newport County.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookmakers predict a close match

  • HOME: 7/2 (4.5) – 22.2%
  • DRAW: 29/10 (3.9) – 25.6%
  • AWAY: 7/10 (1.7) – 58.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Notts County are the expected winner of Saturday's clash, with the bookmakers giving them a win probability of 58.8%.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Notts County dominance

Notts have triumphed in three of their past four games against Newport, including their last clash in March 2025, when they won 2-0.

England League 2 29/03/25

Newport County

Newport County

0
Notts County

Notts County

2

England League 2 23/11/24

Notts County

Notts County

0
Newport County

Newport County

0

England League 2 13/02/24

Newport County

Newport County

1
Notts County

Notts County

3

England League 2 24/10/23

Notts County

Notts County

3
Newport County

Newport County

0

England League 2 19/02/19

Notts County

Notts County

1
Newport County

Newport County

4

Newport preview: Disastrous form to end 2024-25

Newport finished seven points above the relegation zone but were arguably fortunate to survive given they failed to win any of their final nine games of 2024-25, losing on six occasions.

Perhaps the Magpies will continue to deploy two strikers, with Courtney Baker-Richardson and Michael Reindorf candidates to lead their side's attack.

Predicted lineup: Tzanev (GK), Jenkins, Clarke, Baker, Thomas, Antwi, Smith, Lloyd, Davies, Baker-Richardson & Reindorf

England League 2 03/05/25

L

Tranmere

Tranmere

4

Newport County

Newport County

1

England League 2 26/04/25

L

Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood Town

2

Newport County

Newport County

0

England League 2 21/04/25

D

Walsall

Walsall

0

Newport County

Newport County

0

England League 2 18/04/25

D

Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons

0

Newport County

Newport County

0

England League 2 12/04/25

L

Colchester

Colchester

2

Newport County

Newport County

0

Notts preview: Poor end to the season

While Notts County did challenge for promotion, they did lose their last three outings of 2024-25, failing to score twice.

Tom Iorpenda is likely to be stationed in a number six role, anchoring a midfield also featuring Kellan Gordon and Matt Palmer.

Predicted lineup: Roos (GK), Cotter, Bedeau, Aljofree, Platt, Gordon, Iorpenda, Palmer, Jones, Dennis & Grant

England League 2 10/05/25

L

AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon

1

Notts County

Notts County

0

England League 2 03/05/25

L

Doncaster

Doncaster

2

Notts County

Notts County

1

England League 2 26/04/25

W

Harrogate Town

Harrogate Town

1

Notts County

Notts County

3

England League 2 21/04/25

L

Cheltenham

Cheltenham

2

Notts County

Notts County

1

England League 2 17/04/25

D

Bradford

Bradford

1

Notts County

Notts County

1

Player to watch: Matthew Dennis

Notts County striker Matthew Dennis was brought to the club in the summer transfer window as a free agent following the expiry of his Carlisle United contract.

Matthew Dennis will hope to make an impact – Image by IMAGO

The 23-year-old was scored six goals in 14 appearances in his four months with Carlisle, and he is reportedly seen as a replacement for David McGoldrick, who left Notts for after his own deal expired.


An avid writer and sport fan, Lewis has combined his interests to report on events within the football world. His time at Kings College London saw him earn a BA English degree, as well as a Masters Degree studying Digital Culture and Society. Lewis is a lifelong Liverpool fan - his first ever Anfield game was a 2-0 victory against Tottenham Hotspur - and he has previously contributed for fan websites. Follow Lewis on Twitter @LewisFN00.