Man City vs Newcastle prediction, odds & betting tips – 15/02/2025
Newcastle in action against Arsenal in the EFL Cup - Photo by Imago
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Newcastle or draw

Newcastle have only lost two of their last six matches across all competitions.

Newcastle have had a week to prepare for their trip to the Etihad on Saturday and they go up against a Manchester City side that are bound to be deflated and have tired legs following their 3-2 defeat at home to Real Madrid in the Champions League on Tuesday night.

Man City vs Newcastle prediction: Will the Magpies cause an upset?

Key Stats

  • Newcastle have picked up one draw, one win and two defeats from their last four games against Man City in league and cup.
  • Over 2.5 goals have been produced in each of Man City's last six matches.
  • Five of Newcastle's last six fixtures have ended with at least three goals scored.

Correct score prediction: Man City 2-2 Newcastle

We're edging towards a 2-2 draw between these two sides on Saturday as Man City have scored at least two goals in five of their last six matches but have conceded two or more goals in three of those games; while Newcastle have scored at least two goals in four of their last six matches but have conceded two or more goals in three of their last five games.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Man City still the clear favourite

  • HOME: 22/25 (1.88) – 53.2%
  • DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
  • AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Man City are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 53.2% but we could see Newcastle getting something out of this game.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: The Citizens lead

Man City have claimed three wins, one draw and suffered one defeat in their last five meetings with Newcastle in all competitions with the pair playing out a 1-1 draw in September.

England Premier League 28/09/24

Newcastle

Newcastle

1
Man City

Man City

1

England FA Cup 16/03/24

Man City

Man City

2
Newcastle

Newcastle

0

England Premier League 13/01/24

Newcastle

Newcastle

2
Man City

Man City

3

England EFL Cup 27/09/23

Newcastle

Newcastle

1
Man City

Man City

0

England Premier League 19/08/23

Man City

Man City

1
Newcastle

Newcastle

0

Man City preview: Lost three of last six

Pep Guardiola's side played the first leg of their Champions League play-off tie against Real Madrid on Tuesday night where despite having the home advantage, Manchester City failed to take advantage.

Erling Haaland handed the Citizens a 1-0 lead heading into the break but Real equalised on the hour mark. Haaland, who had failed to score in his previous four games against the Spanish giants, restored the hosts lead from the penalty spot with ten minutes left on the clock. However, former City player Brahim Diaz equalised for Real in the 86th minute and England star Jude Bellingham made it 3-2 in stoppage time.

Rodri is the only Manchester City player to have been ruled out of the Newcastle game this weekend, though, Jack Grealish did pick up an injury during the Real Madrid game and could miss out.

Predicted lineup: Ederson (GK), Ake, Stones, Dias, Akanji, Gvardiol, De Bruyne, Foden, Silva, Haaland & Savinho

England Premier League 10/05/25

D

Southampton

Southampton

0

Man City

Man City

0

England Premier League 02/05/25

W

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

0

Man City

Man City

1

England FA Cup 27/04/25

W

Nottm Forest

Nottm Forest

0

Man City

Man City

2

England Premier League 22/04/25

W

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

Man City

Man City

2

England Premier League 19/04/25

W

Everton

Everton

0

Man City

Man City

2

Newcastle preview: Four wins from last six

Eddie Howe fielded a weakened side last weekend in the FA Cup away at League One Birmingham City but there was still enough quality on the pitch to get the job done.

The home side took the lead in the very first minute but Newcastle scored twice in the space of five minutes through Joe Willock and Callum Wilson to take the lead only for Birmingham to equalise five minutes before the interval. There was only one goal in the second half and it went the way of Newcastle and Willock who capped off an excellent display with the winning goal.

Jamaal Lascelles, Joelinton, Harvey Barnes, Sven Botman and Dan Burn are all injury concerns for the visitors ahead of their trip to the Etihad.

Predicted lineup: Dubravka (GK), Trippier, Schar, Livramento, Krafth, Hall, Murphy, Guimaraes, Tonali, Isak & Gordon

England Premier League 11/05/25

W

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

England Premier League 04/05/25

D

Brighton

Brighton

1

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

England Premier League 26/04/25

W

Ipswich

Ipswich

0

Newcastle

Newcastle

3

England Premier League 19/04/25

L

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

4

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

England Premier League 16/04/25

W

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

0

Newcastle

Newcastle

5

Player to watch: Alexander Isak

Alexander Isak is enjoying another fine season in front of goal for the Magpies and will be full of confidence heading into Saturday's clash with Manchester City.

Alexander Isak player to watch
Alexander Isak top scored for Newcastle last season – Photo by Imago

The Swedish international forward has scored 19 goals across all competitions so far this season, 17 of which have arrived in the Premier League.

Isak is only two goals behind Haaland in the PL this season

We're backing Isak to impress once again this weekend, putting in the kind of performance that could help Newcastle cause an upset at the Etihad.


James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.