Newcastle vs Man City prediction, odds & betting tips 13/01/2026
Can Eddie Howe guide Newcastle to victory? - Photo by IMAGO / Sportimage
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Newcastle to win

Man City have won just on just one of their last five visits to St James' Park

Newcastle will take on Manchester City in the first leg of their Carabao Cup semi-final on Tuesday, 13 January.

Although both teams are still battling on multiple fronts for trophies this season, this is the closest they both currently are to picking up silverware.

As part of this week's round of Carabao Cup betting tips, check out our Newcastle vs Man City prediction below.

Newcastle vs Man City prediction: The hosts to get the win

Key Stats

  • Newcastle have won their last three home matches in all competitions.
  • Man City have failed to win each of their last three matches against Premier League opposition.
  • A total of 17 goals were scored across the two matches involving these two teams over the weekend.

Correct score prediction: Newcastle 2-1 Man City

Eddie Howe will feel that his side need to take a lead with them to Manchester for the second leg next week, and their impressive form at St James' Park gives them every chance of doing exactly that.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Newcastle are the underdogs

  • HOME: 21/10 (3.10) 32.3%
  • DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) 27.8%
  • AWAY: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Newcastle vs Man City odds are a little surprising in that the Magpies are considered relatively significant underdogs. Ladbrokes have given Newcastle a 32.3% chance of winning the match, while Man City have been given a 46.5% chance of victory.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Man City

In terms of the overall recent H2H record, Man City hold the advantage due to their imperious record at the Etihad Stadium. However, Newcastle will take plenty of encouragement from their recent record against City on home soil – one loss in their last five.

England Premier League 22/11/25

Newcastle

Newcastle

2
Man City

Man City

1

England Premier League 15/02/25

Man City

Man City

4
Newcastle

Newcastle

0

England Premier League 28/09/24

Newcastle

Newcastle

1
Man City

Man City

1

England FA Cup 16/03/24

Man City

Man City

2
Newcastle

Newcastle

0

England Premier League 13/01/24

Newcastle

Newcastle

2
Man City

Man City

3

Newcastle preview: Howe to go with two up top?

Newcastle went old school at the weekend, starting both Nick Woltemade and Yoane Wissa in the same starting XI in a classic ‘big man, little man' combination at the top of the pitch. Howe could do the same here, but he will be without six players, including Dan Burn and Fabian Schar, due to injuries.

Predicted lineup: Ramsdale (GK), Miley, Thiaw, Botman, Hall, Tonali, Guimaraes, Gordon, Barnes, Woltemade, Wissa

Last five results

  • Newcastle 3-3 Bournemouth
  • Newcastle 4-3 Leeds
  • Newcastle 2-0 Crystal Palace
  • Burnley 1-3 Newcastle
  • Sunderland 1-0 Newcastle

Man City preview: Foden to return

Considering it was only Exeter City, Pep Guardiola went very strong with his team selection at the weekend. One man who was rested was Phil Foden, but the England midfielder can expect a return to the starting XI here. John Stones, Mateo Kovacic, Josko Gvardiol, Oscar Bobb and Savinho are all out injured.

Predicted lineup: Trafford (gk), Nunes, Khusanov, Alleyne, O'Reilly, Nico, Cherki, Foden, Reijnders, Doku, Haaland

Last five results

  • Man City 10-1 Exeter
  • Man City 1-1 Brighton
  • Man City 1-1 Chelsea
  • Sunderland 0-0 Man City
  • Nottingham Forest 1-2 Man City

Player to watch: Jeremy Doku

Jeremy Doku
Jeremy Doku – Photo by IMAGO/ Every Second Media

Jeremy Doku may feel threatened by the arrival of Antoine Semenyo, but the Belgian will be keen to show that he should still be regarded as City's best winger. For all the plaudits around Doku this season, his numbers are still below where they need to be. Can he take off during the second half of the seaosn?


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.