Liverpool vs Newcastle prediction, odds & betting tips 01/01/2024

Liverpool
01/01/24 - 20:00

Finished

4

-

2

Newcastle

Liverpool - Newcastle

England Premier League - Anfield

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

It's time for our Premier League predictions ahead of the New Year's Day fixture between Liverpool and Newcastle at Anfield. The Reds top the table heading into this weekend's latest round of fixtures and should be confident about their chances of remaining top once all the games have been played given Newcastle's recent run on the road.

Liverpool vs Newcastle prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have scored in four of Newcastle's last six matches in all competitions.
  • Four of Liverpool's last six outings have also ended with both teams finding the back of the net.

Another reason that we have backed BTTS as our main prediction is that four of the last six encounters between these two clubs have ended with both teams scoring.

Latest odds

Head to Head

27/08/23

England Premier League EPL

Newcastle

Newcastle

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

2

18/02/23

England Premier League EPL

Newcastle

Newcastle

Liverpool

Liverpool

0

2

31/08/22

England Premier League EPL

Liverpool

Liverpool

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

1

30/04/22

England Premier League EPL

Newcastle

Newcastle

Liverpool

Liverpool

0

1

16/12/21

England Premier League EPL

Liverpool

Liverpool

Newcastle

Newcastle

3

1

Last Five - Liverpool

19/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

Liverpool

Liverpool

0

2

W

14/05/24

Others Others

Man Utd

Man Utd

Liverpool

Liverpool

0

0

D

13/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Liverpool

Liverpool

3

3

D

05/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Tottenham

Tottenham

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

4

W

27/04/24

England Premier League EPL

West Ham

West Ham

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

2

D

Last Five - Newcastle

24/05/24

Elite Club Friendlies Elite

A-League All Stars

A-League All Stars

Newcastle

Newcastle

8

0

L

22/05/24

Elite Club Friendlies Elite

Tottenham

Tottenham

Newcastle

Newcastle

1 (4)

1 (5)

W

19/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Brentford

Brentford

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

4

W

15/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Man Utd

Man Utd

Newcastle

Newcastle

3

2

L

11/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Brighton

Brighton

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

1

D

Win probability

  • HOME: 12/25 (1.48) – 67.6%
  • DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
  • AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%

Liverpool are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 67.6%, and we have to agree with the bookmakers given Newcastle's dire away form of late. If you want more football betting tips on this Premier League encounter, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market.

If, like us, you think that over 2.5 goals will be scored in this game you can get odds on that outcome of 10/21 (1.48) which has a probability of 67.7%, or if you are expecting a low-scoring match you can back under 2.5 goals at 9/5 (2.80) but the probability is just 35.7%.

Liverpool vs Newcastle prediction – Other tips

Correct Score: 2-1

  • Liverpool have scored exactly two goals in each of their last three wins against Newcastle.
  • Newcastle have only failed to score in one of their last six fixtures.

Darwin Nunez to Score Anytime

  • Nunez has chipped in with five Premier League goals this season which makes him Liverpool's second-top scorer alongside Diogo Jota.
  • Nunez ended his Premier League goal drought with an early goal against Burnley last time out.

liverpool vs newcastle

Liverpool vs Newcastle team news

Liverpool

Darwin Nunez set Liverpool on their way to victory at Turf Moor last time out, scoring with just six minutes on the clock. Liverpool had to wait until the final minute of the ninety to make sure of the points, substitute Diogo Jota scoring on his return from injury.

Joel Matip, Stefan Bajcetic, Andrew Robertson, Thiago Alcantara and Konstantinos Tsimikas have been ruled out of this game through injury but Alexis Mac Allister could be available should he pass a late fitness test.

Predicted Lineup: Alisson (GK), van Dijk, Gomez, Alexander-Arnold, Konaté, Endo, Gravenberch, Szoboszlai, Salah, Díaz & Núñez 

Newcastle

Newcastle were undone by one of their former players at home to Nottingham Forest. Chris Wood scored a hat trick to cancel out Alexander Isak's twenty-third-minute penalty as struggling Forest claimed a precious away win.

Sandro Tonali remains suspended, while Nick Pope, Jacob Murphy, Harvey Barnes, Jamaal Lascelles, Joseph Willock, Elliot Anderson, Javier Manquillo and Matt Targett will all miss the trip to Merseyside due to injury.

Predicted Lineup: Dúbravka (GK), Trippier, Schär, Burn, Botman, Almirón, Guimarães, Longstaff, Joelinton, Isak & Gordon

Liverpool

Liverpool
4-3-3
1
Alisson
br
66
Trent Alexander-Arnold
gb
5
Ibrahima Konate
fr
4
Virgil Van Dijk
nl
2
Joe Gomez
gb
8
Dominik Szoboszlai
hu
3
Wataru Endo
jp
17
Curtis Jones
gb
11
Mohamed Salah
eg
9
Darwin Nunez
uy
7
Luis Diaz
co
Substitutes
53
James McConnell
gb
62
Caoimhin Kelleher
ie
20
Diogo Jota
pt
84
Conor Bradley
gb
38
Ryan Gravenberch
nl
78
Jarell Quansah
gb
19
Harvey Elliott
gb
10
Alexis Mac Allister
ar
18
Cody Gakpo
nl

Newcastle

Newcastle
4-3-3
1
Martin Dubravka
sk
21
Valentino Livramento
gb
5
Fabian Schar
ch
4
Sven Botman
nl
33
Dan Burn
gb
67
Lewis Miley
gb
39
Bruno Guimaraes
br
36
Sean Longstaff
gb
7
Joelinton
br
14
Alexander Isak
se
10
Anthony Gordon
gb
Substitutes
54
Alex Murphy
ie
11
Matt Ritchie
gb
20
Lewis Hall
gb
24
Miguel Almiron
py
3
Paul Dummett
gb
18
Loris Karius
de
29
Mark Gillespie
gb
17
Emil Krafth
se
6
Jamaal Lascelles
gb

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Diogo Jota

Liverpool couldn't have asked for a better time to see Diogo Jota back amongst the goals as soon Mohamed Salah, Liverpool's top scorer and assist provider will be heading to the Africa Cup of Nations for the best part of a month.

Jota isn't a like-for-like replacement for Salah, but who is? However, the Portuguese international does provide goals and assists on a regular basis when he is in the team and we feel that he will play a vital role for Liverpool in the Egyptian's absence.

Jota might not start against Newcastle but he will get some minutes and we expect him to cause the Magpie's defence plenty of issues once he does take to the field.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things