Liverpool vs Newcastle prediction
Liverpool in action against Tottenham - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Match to go to extra time

Liverpool's last four finals at Wembley Stadium have gone to extra time.

Liverpool will take on Newcastle on Sunday, 16 March in the Carabao Cup final at Wembley Stadium. The Reds are back at Wembley to defend the trophy they won last season while Newcastle are looking to win their first major trophy in 70 years.

Arne Slot's men come into this one downbeat after being knocked out of the Champions League in midweek but they will have to dust themselves down as this is Newcastle's biggest match since they were last in the final two years ago.

As part of our final round of Carabao Cup betting tips for the season, check out our Liverpool vs Newcastle prediction below.

Liverpool vs Newcastle prediction: Extra time will be needed

Key Stats

  • Liverpool needed extra time to win the Carabao Cup last season.
  • Newcastle have already needed penalties on their route to the final.
  • Mo Salah has scored 32 goals in all competitions already this season.

Correct score prediction: Liverpool 1-1 Newcastle

Although this is Arne Slot's first match at Wembley with Liverpool, the club's performances there in recent years have been measured rather than spectacular. As mentioned above, they've gone to extra time in each of their four most recent finals here and given how nervous Newcastle will also be, there's every chance we're heading that way again.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Liverpool the clear favourites

  • HOME: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
  • AWAY: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Liverpool vs Newcastle odds are weighted towards Liverpool which shouldn't come as a shock given their history and pedigree of winning trophies compared to Newcastle's. The Reds have been given a 62.5% chance of getting the job done inside 90 minutes while Newcastle have been given just a 23.1% chance of victory.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Liverpool domination

Liverpool are unbeaten in their last six matches against Newcastle (five wins, one draw) so the Magpies don't exactly have much recent positivity to draw from for this one. The two sides played out a 3-3 cracker earlier this season at St James Park and anything like that on Sunday would be a treat for the neutrals.

England Premier League 26/02/25

Liverpool

Liverpool

2
Newcastle

Newcastle

0

England Premier League 26/02/25

Liverpool

Liverpool

0
Newcastle

Newcastle

0

England Premier League 04/12/24

Newcastle

Newcastle

3
Liverpool

Liverpool

3

England Premier League 01/01/24

Liverpool

Liverpool

4
Newcastle

Newcastle

2

England Premier League 27/08/23

Newcastle

Newcastle

1
Liverpool

Liverpool

2

Liverpool preview: Time to dust themselves down

Going out of the Champions League to PSG was no doubt a shock but this is more than likely still going to be an historic season for the Reds. Barring a collapse in the Premier League they are going to join Man Utd on 20 top-flight English league titles and a victory on Sunday would give them a spring towards that as the run-in draws to a close.

Predicted lineup: Alisson (GK), Qunsah, van Dijk, Konate, Robertson, Gravenberch, Szoboszlai, Mac Allister, Jota, Salah, Diaz

England Premier League 13/04/25

W

West Ham

West Ham

1

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

England Premier League 06/04/25

L

Fulham

Fulham

3

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

England Premier League 02/04/25

W

Everton

Everton

0

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

England EFL Cup 16/03/25

L

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

UEFA Champions League 11/03/25

L

PSG

PSG

1

Liverpool

Liverpool

0

Newcastle preview: Looking to become eternal heroes

While their opponents will view a Carabao Cup victory as the cherry on top of the cake, Newcastle would view it as a landmark moment. Ending the club's 70-year wait for a major trophy would eternalise Eddie Howe and his players with the Newcastle faithful and after coming up short at the same stage two years ago, they will be more determined than ever on Sunday.

Predicted lineup: Dubravka (GK), Trippier, Schar, Burn, Livramento, Tonali, Guimaraes, Joelinton, Murphy, Isak, Barnes

England Premier League 13/04/25

W

Man Utd

Man Utd

1

Newcastle

Newcastle

4

England Premier League 07/04/25

W

Leicester

Leicester

0

Newcastle

Newcastle

3

England Premier League 02/04/25

W

Brentford

Brentford

1

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

England EFL Cup 16/03/25

W

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

England Premier League 10/03/25

W

West Ham

West Ham

0

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

Player to watch: Alexander Isak

Alexander Isak
Photo by Imago

This match is being billed as Mohamed Salah vs Alexander Isak in a battle between two of the highest scorers in English football this season. While there are no doubts about Salah's ability to perform on the biggest stages, Isak still has work to do in that department. If the Swede can fire Newcastle to glory on Sunday, then he will become an instant legend in the North East.


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.