Newcastle and Chelsea return to Premier League action after winning their respective Carabao Cup quarter-final ties in midweek. Indeed, the Magpies beat Fulham 2-1 at home to set up a semi-final tie with Manchester City, while Chelsea beat Cardiff 3-1 in Wales to face a semi-final showdown against either Arsenal or Crystal Palace.
However, Newcastle were losers in the Premier League last time out, suffering a painful 1-0 defeat away at rivals Sunderland in the Wear-Tyne derby. They will be hoping to bounce back at St. James' Park at Saturday lunchtime against a Chelsea side that beat Everton 2-0 at Stamford Bridge last weekend.
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Newcastle vs Chelsea prediction: Magpies to fly to victory?
Key stats
- Newcastle are unbeaten in nine home games in all competitions.
- Chelsea have won just once in four away matches across all competitions.
- Newcastle are also unbeaten in five home H2Hs, winning four.
Correct score prediction: Newcastle 2-1 Chelsea
With Newcastle so strong at home, we are backing them to pick up all three points here. Chelsea can be vulnerable on their travels, and showed some fragilities at League One Cardiff in the Carabao Cup in midweek.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookmakers finding it tough to call
- HOME: 13/8 (2.63) – 38.1%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 6/4 (2.50) – 40.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, the bookmakers can hardly separate the two sides, with Chelsea only slight favourites. A draw can also be backed at just under 29%.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Today’s betting tips page, as well as our Premier League predictions & betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Newcastle strong at SJP
As mentioned before, Newcastle are unbeaten in five previous meetings at St. James' Park, winning four of them. Coupled up with their recent great form on home soil, the Magpies should be confident of getting another positive result.
England Premier League 11/05/25
Newcastle
Chelsea
England EFL Cup 30/10/24
Newcastle
Chelsea
England Premier League 27/10/24
Chelsea
Newcastle
England Premier League 11/03/24
Chelsea
Newcastle
England EFL Cup 19/12/23
Chelsea
Newcastle
Newcastle preview: Livramento latest injury blow
Tino Livramento is the latest in a line of defensive injuries for Newcastle after coming off against Fulham in midweek. Lewis Miley could be asked to do a job at right-back in his place.
Predicted lineup: Ramsdale (GK); Miley, Schar, Thiaw, Hall; Tonali, Guimaraes, Joelinton; Murphy, Woltemade & Gordon
Last five results:
- Newcastle 2-1 Fulham
- Sunderland 1-0 Newcastle
- Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Newcastle
- Newcastle 2-1 Burnley
- Newcastle 2-2 Tottenham
Chelsea preview: Caicedo back from suspension
Moises Caicedo is back from suspension after getting sent off in Chelsea's 1-1 draw at home to Arsenal in the Premier League. However, Estevao has joined a long injury list at Stamford Bridge.
Predicted lineup: Sanchez (GK); Gusto, Chalobah, Fofana, Cucurella; James, Caicedo; Palmer, Fernandez, Neto & Pedro
Last five results:
- Cardiff 1-3 Chelsea
- Chelsea 2-0 Everton
- Atalanta 2-1 Chelsea
- Bournemouth 0-0 Chelsea
- Leeds 3-1 Chelsea
Player to watch: Lewis Miley
With injuries at the back for Newcastle, Lewis Miley could be given a start as a makeshift right-back. That is where he ended up against Fulham last time out, as the midfielder scored the winner to send the Magpies through to the Carabao Cup quarter-final.