One of a number of all Premier League ties will take place in the third round of the FA Cup on Saturday afternoon as Newcastle play host to Bournemouth at St. James' Park. The Magpies will be buoyed by a late win at home to Leeds in the league last time out, in what was a 4-3 thriller where they went behind three times!
Meanwhile, Manchester City bound Antoine Semenyo gave Bournemouth a perfect send-off by scoring the winning goal in a 3-2 win for them against Tottenham at the Vitality Stadium. Nonetheless, this will likely be the first game where we will see the Cherries without their star player.
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Newcastle vs Bournemouth prediction: Magpies to progress to round four?
Key stats
- Newcastle have won three games in a row, with the last two coming at SJP.
- Bournemouth are winless in eight away matches, losing four of them.
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has come through in three of the last four H2Hs.
Correct score prediction: Newcastle 3-1 Bournemouth
Newcastle are in good form at the moment, and they are always strong at SJP. In contrast, Bournemouth have struggled away from home, and so we can see the Magpies winning and thus progressing into the fourth round of the competition.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Newcastle favourites with bookmakers
- HOME: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
- AWAY: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As shown by the implied probabilities, Newcastle have been installed as the favourites with bookmakers to claim victory on home soil and progress into the next round. Interestingly, a draw and a Bournemouth victory on their travels are separated by just 1.2%.
Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Today’s betting tips page for more of our expert FA Cup predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Goals galore?
As mentioned before, BTTS has come through in three of the previous four meetings between the two sides. In those three H2Hs, a total of 11 goals were scored too, so perhaps we should expect plenty of goalmouth action on Saturday.
England Premier League 21/09/25
Bournemouth
Newcastle
England Premier League 18/01/25
Newcastle
Bournemouth
England Premier League 25/08/24
Bournemouth
Newcastle
England Premier League 17/02/24
Newcastle
Bournemouth
England Premier League 11/11/23
Bournemouth
Newcastle
Newcastle preview: Rotation expected?
With such a busy January schedule coming up, Newcastle will be expected to rotate the starting XI that played against Leeds. The likes of Yoane Wissa could be brought back into the line-up.
Predicted lineup: Ramsdale (GK); Trippier, Thiaw, Botman, Livramento; Tonali, Ramsey, Willock; Murphy, Wissa & Barnes
Last five results:
- Newcastle 4-3 Leeds
- Newcastle 2-0 Crystal Palace
- Burnley 1-3 Newcastle
- Manchester United 1-0 Newcastle
- Newcastle 2-2 Chelsea
Bournemouth preview: Who replaces Semenyo?
Semenyo is expected to have played his last game for Bournemouth against Tottenham, so it will be interesting to see how Bournemouth line up without him. Fraser Forster will also be hoping to make his debut in between the sticks after signing as a free agent in January.
Predicted lineup: Forster (GK); Smith, Diakite, Hill, Truffert; Adli, Soler, Cook; Milosavljevic, Brooks & Unal
Last five results:
- Bournemouth 3-2 Tottenham
- Bournemouth 2-3 Arsenal
- Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth
- Brentford 4-1 Bournemouth
- Bournemouth 1-1 Burnley
Player to watch: Harvey Barnes
Harvey Barnes scored a brace for Newcastle against Leeds last time out, helping secure all three points in the Premier League. The winger may get another chance to impress from the start here.