Newcastle United will take on Manchester City on Saturday, 7 March, in an FA Cup fifth-round clash at St James' Park.
The tie is arguably the pick of the round, and a fever-pitch atmosphere is expected in the north east as both sides look to qualify for the quarter-finals of the competition.
As part of this week's round of FA Cup betting tips, check out our Newcastle vs Man City prediction below.
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Newcastle vs Man City prediction: Cream to rise to the top
Key stats
- Man City have won four of their last five matches against Newcastle.
- Newcastle have lost two of their last three matches against Premier League opposition.
- More than two goals have been scored in four of the last five meetings between the two sides.
Correct score prediction: Newcastle 1-2 Man City
Newcastle put everything into their match against Manchester United on Wednesday night, and their squad isn't deep or strong enough to cope with the demands of playing multiple games in a week. Manchester City, on the other hand, do have strength in depth, and that may well prove to be the difference on Saturday night, particularly as both clubs are in European action next week.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Man City start as favourites
- HOME: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- AWAY: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Newcastle vs Man City odds suggest that the visitors will get the job done inside 90 minutes on Saturday night. Ladbrokes have given Newcastle a 28.6% chance of winning the match, while Man City have been given a 51.3% chance of victory. There is an implied 26.3% chance of the match going to extra time.
We have more free betting tips for today to help you out with the best possible selections.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Man City
Manchester City have an impressive overall recent record against Newcastle (three wins from their last three clashes), but Newcastle are more competitive on home turf. Across the last five meetings between the two clubs at St James' Park, there have been two wins apiece and one draw.
England Premier League 21/02/26
Man City
Newcastle
England EFL Cup 04/02/26
Man City
Newcastle
England EFL Cup 13/01/26
Newcastle
Man City
England Premier League 22/11/25
Newcastle
Man City
England Premier League 15/02/25
Man City
Newcastle
Newcastle preview: A depleted squad
Newcastle are expected to be without several players on Saturday, including Jacob Ramsey, who will serve a one-match suspension after being sent off against Man Utd on Wednesday night. Nick Woltemade could return from illness, but Bruno Guimaraes, Tino Livramento, Fabian Schar, Emil Krafth and Lewis Miley are all still injured.
Predicted lineup: Ramsdale (GK), Trippier, Thiaw, Botman, Hall, Willock, Tonali, Joelinton, Barnes, Woltemade, Gordon
Last five matches
- 04/03/26: Newcastle United 2-1 Manchester United (Premier League)
- 28/02/26: Newcastle United 2-3 Everton (Premier League)
- 24/02/26: Newcastle United 3-2 Qarabag (Champions League)
- 21/02/26: Manchester City 2-1 Newcastle United (Premier League)
- 18/02/26: Qarabag 1-6 Newcastle United (Champions League)
Man City preview: Chasing silverware
With their title hopes fading, the FA Cup represents a good chance for Man City to ensure they don't go two years without silverware. For the match on Saturday, Pep Guardiola will be without Josko Gvardiol and Mateo Kovacic, but Nico O'Reilly could return. James Trafford is expected to start between the sticks in place of Gianluigi Donnarumma.
Predicted lineup: Trafford (GK), Nunes, Dias, Guehi, Ait-Nouri, Rodri, Bernardo, Cherki, Doku, Semenyo, Haaland
Last five matches
- 04/03/26: Manchester City 2-2 Nottingham Forest (Premier League)
- 28/02/26: Leeds United 0-1 Manchester City (Premier League)
- 21/02/26: Manchester City 2-1 Newcastle United (Premier League)
- 14/02/26: Manchester City 2-0 Salford City (FA Cup)
- 11/02/26: Manchester City 3-0 Fulham (Premier League)
Player to watch: Erling Haaland
There is no getting away from the fact that goals have dried up for Erling Haaland in recent months, and the uncomfortable truth around that is that his goal drought had coincided with Antoine Semenyo's arrival. Can these two players not thrive on the same team?