Toronto FC will make the trip to Yankee Stadium for their MLS encounter with New York City FC on Friday, 4 July 2025.
View our free New York City vs Toronto predictions below.
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New York City vs Toronto predictions: Hosts to reign supreme
Key stats
- New York City have won five consecutive clashes between these teams.
- At least three goals were scored in four of New York City's last five games.
- Three of Toronto's last five matches featured fewer than three cards.
Correct score prediction: New York City 2-1 Toronto
Although Toronto have been one of the worst travellers in the MLS over the course of the season, they have started to find their stride, winning back-to-back away games after going winless in their first five.
However, the Canadian side will contend with one of the best home teams in the MLS, as New York City have won seven of 10 league games at Yankee Stadium this season.
Keeping in mind that New York City emerged victorious the last five times these teams met, we are confident that the hosts will extend that streak on Friday.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour New York
- HOME: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.5%
- DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- AWAY: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
With 17 points from 19 matches, Toronto are 13th in the 15-team Eastern Conference and 26th in the overall MLS table. They are up against New York City, who are ninth in the Eastern Conference and 14th in the MLS.
Ahead of this encounter, New York City are the expected winners at 11/20 (1.55). Teams with these odds generally have a 64.5% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our New York City vs Toronto predictions.
It is also important to note that four of the last five meetings between these teams went above the 2.5-goal threshold. Keeping in mind that four of New York City's last five matches, and four of Toronto's last six games featured at least three goals, over 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 3/4 (1.75). That one has a 57.1% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Toronto's struggles set to continue?
Toronto have lost five consecutive skirmishes with New York City. They have also not beaten New York City at this stadium since September 2020.
USA MLS 26/04/25
Toronto FC
New York City FC
USA MLS 12/05/24
Toronto FC
New York City FC
USA MLS 16/03/24
New York City FC
Toronto FC
USA MLS 24/09/23
New York City FC
Toronto FC
Leagues Cup 27/07/23
New York City FC
Toronto FC
New York City preview: Looking to improve their fortunes
New York City are coming off a 1-0 at Montreal and have won only one of their last four games.
However, they are still within the Eastern Conference's playoff places and will look to return to winning ways.
Left-back Birk Risa sustained an injury in the defeat to Montreal and now faces a race to be fit for this clash, while long-term absentee forward Malachi Jones (broken leg) continues his healing process.
The team's joint-top-scorer, Alonso Martinez, with eight goals, is expected to be back for this game following Costa Rica’s elimination from the CONCACAF Gold Cup.
Predicted lineup: Romero (GK), Tanasijevic, Martins, Haak, O’Toole, Perea, Moralez, Ojeda, Fernandez, Wolf & Bakrar.
USA MLS 10/05/25
L
CF Montreal
1
New York City FC
0
USA US Open Cup 07/05/25
L
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1
New York City FC
0
USA MLS 04/05/25
W
FC Cincinnati
0
New York City FC
1
USA MLS 26/04/25
W
Toronto FC
0
New York City FC
1
USA MLS 19/04/25
L
New England Revolution
2
New York City FC
0
Toronto preview: Eyeing back-to-back wins for the first time this season
Goals from Alonso Coello, Tyrese Spicer, and an own goal by Ian Smith handed Toronto a 3-0 home victory over Portland Timbers in their last outing. That win ended a four-game winless run, which included three defeats.
With only four wins after 19 MLS games, Toronto are not particularly having a great season. It will take a run of fine form to restore their playoff hopes.
On the treatment table, Deandre Kerr and Kobe Franklin remain sidelined with ankle injuries, while Nickseon Gomis is out for the season following a successful achilles tendon repair surgery.
Lorenzo Insigne and Federico Bernardeschi have both been released from Toronto FC after two difficult years at the club.
Predicted lineup: Johnson (GK), Thompson, Long, Rosted, Petretta, Coello, Corbeanu, Etienne, Kerr, Spicer & Brynhildsen.
USA MLS 10/05/25
W
DC United
0
Toronto FC
2
USA MLS 03/05/25
L
New England Revolution
2
Toronto FC
0
Canada Championships 30/04/25
L
CF Montreal
2 (3)
Toronto FC
2 (2)
USA MLS 26/04/25
L
New York City FC
1
Toronto FC
0
USA MLS 20/04/25
W
Real Salt Lake
0
Toronto FC
1
Player to watch: Alonso Martinez
Alonso Martinez scored the only goal when these teams clashed in the reverse fixture in April. The 26-year-old is coming off an impressive CONCACAF Gold Cup campaign in which he had three goal contributions in four appearances for Costa Rica.
Martinez has been in sensational form, scoring five goals and providing four assists in his last nine appearances for club and country. It will be interesting to see how he performs if he gets some playing time.