The Mestalla hosts the second leg of this UEFA Nations League quarter-final on Sunday night. Our Spain vs Netherlands prediction considers whether the visitors can build on a strong first-leg display.
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Spain vs Netherlands prediction: Gakpo to score in draw
Key stats
- Our Spain vs Netherlands betting tips take into account that both teams have scored in each of the last three games involving La Roja.
- Spain are unbeaten in 22 competitive internationals.
- Cody Gakpo has been directly involved in 21 goals in his 37 internationals so far, the second-highest tally for any player in his first 37 matches for the Netherlands this century.
Correct score prediction: Spain 2-2 Netherlands
Spain have been excellent over the past two years, but they were not at their best in the first leg, with the Dutch showing more than enough in a 2-2 draw to suggest they can compete in the second leg.
Luis de la Fuente is particularly short on defensive options right now, so the likes of Gakpo, Jeremie Frimpong and Justin Kluivert should pose problems again here, and this could go past 90 minutes.
Pre-game odds and win probability: La Roja the odds-on favourites
- HOME: 4/6 (1.67) – 60.0%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Spain vs Netherlands odds, with an implied probability of 60.0% that they win this match.
The first leg in Rotterdam saw Spain take an early lead through Nico Williams, but Ronald Koeman’s side were the better side after that.
They led thanks to goals from Gakpo and Tijjani Reijnders, but the Nations League holders grabbed a leveller at the death, with Mikel Merino pouncing on a rebound.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Spain winless since the 2010 World Cup final
Our Spain vs Netherlands prediction suggests the Oranje can extend a four-game unbeaten run against this opposition since the sides met in the 2010 World Cup final in South Africa.
Spain won that game in extra time, but they’ve not beaten the Dutch inside 90 minutes in seven attempts.
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
Netherlands
Spain
International Match 11/11/20
Netherlands
Spain
International Match 31/03/15
Netherlands
Spain
Spain preview: Huijsen to make full debut?
Bournemouth’s Dean Huijsen could be set for his full debut against the country of his birth, after Pau Cubarsi picked up an injury in the first leg. De la Fuente may make only light changes otherwise.
Predicted Lineup: Simon (GK), Cucurella, Huijsen, Le Normand, Porro, Pedri, Zubimendi, Merino, N. Williams, Morata & Yamal
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25 W Netherlands 3 (4) Spain 3 (5) UEFA Nations League 20/03/25 D Netherlands 2 Spain 2 UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24 W Switzerland 2 Spain 3 UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24 W Denmark 1 Spain 2 UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24 W Serbia 0 Spain 3
Netherlands preview: Hato serves ban
The visitors are missing Jorrel Hato after he saw red late in the first leg. Ryan Gravenberch and Denzel Dumfries are notable injury absentees.
Predicted Lineup: Verbruggen (GK), Frimpong, Van Hecke, Van Dijk, Geertruida, Reijnders, De Jong, Simons, Kluivert, Gakpo & Depay
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25 L Spain 3 (5) Netherlands 3 (4) UEFA Nations League 20/03/25 D Spain 2 Netherlands 2 UEFA Nations League A 19/11/24 D Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 Netherlands 1 UEFA Nations League A 16/11/24 W Hungary 0 Netherlands 4 UEFA Nations League A 14/10/24 L Germany 1 Netherlands 0 
Player to watch – Cody Gakpo
Gakpo has really taken to international football, with 15 goals in his 37 Netherlands appearances so far. He has also netted eight times in 26 Premier League appearances for Liverpool this term.
Gakpo’s varied threat
With a wide skill set which includes many physical and technical attributes, Gakpo should be a real handful again here. He has averaged 1.7 shots and 1.2 key passes per game for Liverpool in the league this season.