Netherlands vs England prediction, odds & betting 10/07/2024

Despite struggling, Gareth Southgate has guided England to their third semi-final and will be buoyed by their quarter-final victory. However, the Netherlands will be backed by huge amounts of supporters and create a raucous atmosphere having put together a solid knockout run thus far.

Netherlands vs England prediction: A cagey affair is expected

Key stats

• England have conceded in their last three games
• The Netherlands have kept two clean sheets this tournament
• The Three Lions have only beaten the Netherlands once since 1996

Correct score prediction: England 1-0 Netherlands

Very few games in the latter stages of competitions are high-scoring as both sides know one mistake could send them home. So, with these two nations boasting immense quality on the pitch, we could see a moment of brilliance as the sole way to decide this tie.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Three Lions slight favourites despite stuttering displays

• Home: 2/1 (3.0) – 33.3%
• Draw: 11/5 (3.2) – 31.3%
• Away: 6/4 (2.5) – 40%

Despite looking the worse side, Southgate's men are the favoured ones in this game. The Three Lions have flattered to deceive during Euro 2024, so we'd encourage you to ignore the odds and check out our free betting tips.

These two sides are going to be very well matched on paper, so an even affair is expected. However, we would suggest backing the BTTS market if anything, although this could depend on very late goals as both teams did in the quarter-finals.

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Last five H2Hs: Nothing to separate the two sides

There is next to nothing to separate these two sides. England have the worst record winning just six times, whereas there have been nine draws and lost seven games. So, the Three Lions are going to be up against it when they face off against the Dutch midweek.

Netherlands preview: Dutch hitting form at the right time

The Netherlands look to be hitting form just at the right time. Ronald Koeman has a very deep bench and can change things during the event but some such as Cody Gakpo could make the difference. Koeman is getting the best out of his players in the knockout stages after a stuttering group stage affair.

Predicted lineup: Verbruggen (GK), Dumfries, De Vrij, Van Dijk, Ake, Schouten, Reijnders, Malen, Simons, Gakpo, Depay

UEFA Nations League 23/03/25

L

Spain

3 (5)

Netherlands

3 (4)

UEFA Nations League 20/03/25

D

Spain

2

Netherlands

2

UEFA Nations League A 19/11/24

D

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1

Netherlands

1

UEFA Nations League A 16/11/24

W

Hungary

0

Netherlands

4

UEFA Nations League A 14/10/24

L

Germany

1

Netherlands

0

England preview: Three Lions roaring into form

England have slogged their way into a third semi-final under Southgate, although they have flattered to deceive. The Three Lions are yet to kick into full gear, and Southgate will be hoping his three-at-the-back formation can thrive in what will be their toughest opponent yet.

Predicted lineup: Pickford (GK), Walker, Stones, Guehi, Trippier, Saka, Rice, Mainoo, Foden, Bellingham, Kane

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/25

W

Latvia

0

England

3

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

W

Albania

0

England

2

UEFA Nations League B 17/11/24

W

Rep of Ireland

0

England

5

UEFA Nations League B 14/11/24

W

Greece

0

England

3

UEFA Nations League B 13/10/24

W

Finland

1

England

3

Key duels

Kieran Trippier vs Cody Gakpo

Cody Gakpo has arguably, been the player of the tournament thus far with five goals to his name. Up against an unorthodox wing-back could be an easy route to success for the Dutchman. While Gakpo has been underwhelming in a Liverpool shirt, he's the top scorer at Euro 2024 and boasts a 7.84 Whoscored rating.

Bukayo Saka vs Denzel Dumfries

Bukayo Saka was surprisingly deployed at right wing-back but was very effective. The Arsenal man scored the equalising goal to send the Three Lions into extra-time and penalties. Both Saka and Denzel Dumfries will be keen to get forward, so it'll be a case of how can pin the other back first.

Harru Kane vs Virgil van Dijk

It's been a disappointing tournament for Harry Kane scoring just two goals. The England star has been hooked off in the last two matches under Southgate. The same could happen in the semi-final as Virgil van Dijk pins the centre-forward back and keep a second clean sheet in three games.

Kyle Walker vs Memphis Depay

Memphis Depaye has squandered numerous chances this tournament scoring just once despite having an XG of 3, however, he's consistently been trusted by Koeman. Coming up against a backline consisting of Marc Guehi and John Stones, Depay will be key to pulling someone out of defence to create space.

Player to watch: Bukayo Saka

After a rather slow start to the tournament, Bukayo Saka stepped up when it mattered in the quarter-final with the equaliser against Switzerland. The Arsenal star is now being deployed as a wing-back under Southgate which makes him a far more dangerous player, so the Netherlands/Turkey will have a keen eye on the tricky winger.

Winner’s next potential opponents

England or Netherlands are bound for  the final of EURO 2024, where they will meet Spain who have beaten France to get there. So, let's take a closer look at how these teams have fared against each other so far.

Netherlands vs Spain

The Dutch national team have met with Spain 13 times so far, with their overall H2H record being very close: 6-2-5 in favour of Netherlands. However, the Dutch still remember 2010 World Cup final when these two teams battle for their first-ever World Cup title and the winning goal by Andres Iniesta in 116th minute of the match.

England vs Spain

England have a positive H2H record against Spain with 13 wins and 10 losses, along with four draws. On top of that, the Three Lions have won both of their duels with Spain at European Championships, in 1980 and 1996.

Predictions from other FW contributors

William Evans: Netherlands 2-1 England (after extra time)

Both England and the Netherlands started Euro 2024 slowly, with just one win each in the group stage. However, Ronald Koeman’s side have found their feet in the knockout stages, beating Turkey and Romania in 90 minutes. England on the other hand, have needed extra time and penalties to defeat Slovakia and Switzerland. England may have a superior squad, but their legs may feel heavy after over an extra hour of football. The Dutch also present far more attacking threat than any of England’s previous opponents. It will be a tight contest, but the Dutch will sneak through.

Andy Delaney: Netherlands 1-1 England (England to win on penalties)

Despite all the noise, England were as lacklustre as ever against Switzerland and were fortunate to qualify. They will now face a Dutch side that have impressed during the knockout stages and major improvement is needed. The Three Lions will likely need to drag the Netherlands down to their level if they are to come out on top and perhaps penalties will be needed again.

Adam Clancy: Netherlands 1-1 England (England to win on penalties)

England needed penalties to overcome Switzerland, and may be pushed all the way again by the Netherlands. Ronald Koeman’s side showed their fighting spirit by coming back from a goal down to beat Turkey. England boast the better attack on paper, while the Dutch boast a better defence. As such, both teams could cancel one another out, with the Three Lions, buoyed by their recent penalty shootout win, looking to repeat the trick.

Vladimir Kovacevic: Netherlands 2-1 England

Based on everything we saw from these teams at EURO 2024, the Dutch have my vote of confidence. England's performances have been unconvincing from the very start and they only managed to beat Serbia inside 90 minutes. They also trailed against both Slovakia and Switzerland in the knockout stages and while they did show grit to get back into those matches and overcome the deficits, their poor play is bound to catch up with them at some point.