Nantes and Lille, separated by just five points but occupying opposite ends of the Ligue 1 table, clash at the Stade de la Beaujoire on Sunday, 19 October, with both sides targeting a crucial victory.
Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Nantes vs Lille tips below.
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Nantes vs Lille prediction: Mastiffs to edge past Canaries
Key stats
- Nantes have won just one of their five previous Ligue 1 fixtures (D3, L1).
- The Canaries have triumphed just twice in six top-flight home games (D2, L2).
- Lille are winless in three successive Ligue 1 outings (D1, L2).
- The Mastiffs have failed to win in three of their last five away competitive games.
Correct score prediction: Nantes 1-2 Lille
Nantes, who broke free of their relegation fate by the skin of their teeth at the end of last season, appear to have learned little from the experience. Under Luis Castro, they have failed to win in six of their opening seven Ligue 1 matches and are now on a run of three consecutive draws. Lingering just above the relegation zone, they urgently need points, though Lille will be no easy opponent.
Bruno Genesio’s side have also struggled lately, remaining winless in their last three league outings, including a 1-1 draw with PSG before the international break. However, despite their dip, Lille’s superior quality should see them narrowly overcome a fragile Nantes side in a hard-fought contest.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Mastiffs all the way
- HOME: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Nantes are undefeated in their last two outings on home turf, and could equal their best run at home since the start of last season. However, they are clearly the underdogs in this matchup with 29/10 (3.90) odds, which suggests a minority 25.6% probability of success.
Lille haven’t gone two consecutive away games without finding the back of the net. Les Dogues carry 4/5 (1.80) odds in their favour – a 55.5% win probability rate.
One can find all our predictions for club and international fixtures on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Lille supremacy
Nantes have a poor H2H record against Lille, winning just five of their 39 Ligue 1 encounters (12.8% win rate) in the 21st century. One of those victories arrived in their last meeting here at the Beaujoire, as Lille remain undefeated in 19 of their last 20 H2Hs.
France Ligue 1 15/03/25
Nantes
Lille
France Ligue 1 04/01/25
Lille
Nantes
France Ligue 1 12/05/24
Nantes
Lille
France Ligue 1 20/08/23
Lille
Nantes
France Ligue 1 27/05/23
Lille
Nantes
Nantes preview: Can they capitalise on their home advantage?
Fabian Centonze, Francis Coquelin, Johann Lepenant and Tylel Tati are all confirmed absentees for Nantes.
Predicted lineup: Lopes (GK), Amian, Awaziem, Mwanga, Cozza, Leroux, Tabibou, Kwon, Abline, Mohamed & Lahdo
Last five matches:
- Brest 0-0 Nantes (Ligue 1)
- Toulouse 2-2 Nantes (Ligue 1)
- Nantes 2-2 Rennes (Ligue 1)
- Nice 1-0 Nantes (Ligue 1)
- Nantes 1-0 Auxerre (Ligue 1)
Lille preview: Favourites all the way
Ousmane Toure is the only big name missing for Bruno Genesio, while Alexsandro is doubtful with a thigh injury.
Predicted lineup: Ozer (GK), Meuniveri, Mandi, Ngoy, Perraud, Bouaddi, Andre, Bentaleb, Pardo, Haraldsson & Giroud
Last five matches:
- Lille 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1)
- AS Roma 0-1 Lille (Ligue 1)
- Lille 0-1 Lyon (Ligue 1)
- Lille 2-1 SK Brann (Ligue 1)
- Lens 3-0 Lille (Ligue 1)
Player to watch: Mathias Fernandez-Pardo
Lille forward Fernandez-Pardo is yet to bloom as he did during the first few matchdays. With two goals and an assist in his seven league appearances so far, the Belgian attacker’s quality is evident, and he could get things rolling against Nantes if all goes according to plan for Bruno Genesio.