In a clash of contrasting fortunes, Serie B-bound Monza host third-placed Atalanta at the Stadio Brianteo on Sunday, 4 May.
View our Monza vs Atalanta predictions below.
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Monza vs Atalanta prediction: Comfortable win for the visitors
Key stats
- Bottom-ranked Monza are 12 points from safety with four matches to play.
- Only four other teams in Serie A history have collected fewer points than Monza’s 15 after 34 games.
- Atalanta have an emphatic 100% H2H league win record, with an aggregate score of 14-3 in five wins.
- La Dea boast the best away record this Serie A campaign (W11, D3, L3).
Correct score prediction: Monza 0-2 Atalanta
Monza face near-certain relegation heading into the weekend, their fate all but sealed. With no goals in their last three league matches, they look ill-equipped to trouble an Atalanta side chasing their highest-ever Serie A finish. La Dea should dispatch the Biancorossi comfortably in this mismatch.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Massive odds back La Dea
- HOME: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%
- DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
- AWAY: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.9%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Monza risk setting an unwanted club record as they stare down a potential sixth straight Serie A defeat – something they’ve never suffered before. Their dismal form (one goal in five consecutive losses) explains their long 10/1 odds, i.e. 9.1% win probability against high-flying Atalanta.
The visitors arrive with European ambitions burning bright. Unbeaten in three and holding a three-point cushion over Juventus, Gian Piero Gasperini’s men boast an overwhelming 81.9% chance of victory, according to bookmakers, as they look to cement their top-four position.
For more intriguing odds, take a look today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: One-sided affair
Atalanta boast an unbeaten record in their five Serie A meetings with Monza, winning every encounter while consistently scoring multiple goals. The Biancorossi’s solitary victory against La Dea dates back to the 1999/00 Serie B campaign – a distant memory that offers little comfort.
Italy Serie A 30/10/24
Atalanta
Monza
Italy Serie A 21/04/24
Monza
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 02/09/23
Atalanta
Monza
Italy Serie A 04/06/23
Atalanta
Monza
Italy Serie A 05/09/22
Monza
Atalanta
Monza preview: Can it get any worse?
Struggling at the foot of the table, Monza face further defensive woes with Andrea Carboni suspended – a significant blow for a side already boasting Serie A's second-worst backline.
Manager Alessandro Nesta faces additional selection headaches with seven other players unavailable: Kevin Zeroli, Keita Balde, Silvere Ganvoula, Danilo D’Ambrosio, Armando Izzo, Matteo Pessina and Roberto Gagliardini.
Predicted lineup: Turati (GK), Pereira, Caldirola, Palacios, Birindelli, Castrovilli, Bianco, Akpa, Kyriakopuolous, Mota & Caprari
Italy Serie A 11/05/25 W Udinese 1 Monza 2 Italy Serie A 04/05/25 L Atalanta 4 Monza 0 Italy Serie A 27/04/25 L Juventus 2 Monza 0 Italy Serie A 19/04/25 L Napoli 1 Monza 0 Italy Serie A 12/04/25 L Venezia 1 Monza 0
Atalanta preview: On the verge of making history
La Dea are just six points from equalling their club-record 71-point Serie A haul, with Monza presenting what appears to be a winnable opportunity to close that gap. Three absentees for this game are Gianluca Scamacca, Sead Kolasinac, and Giorgio Scalvini.
Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Kossounou, Hien, Djimsiti, Zappacosta, De Roon, Ederson, Bellanova, Pasalic, Lookman & Retegui
Italy Serie A 12/05/25 W Roma 1 Atalanta 2 Italy Serie A 04/05/25 W Monza 0 Atalanta 4 Italy Serie A 27/04/25 D Lecce 1 Atalanta 1 Italy Serie A 20/04/25 W AC Milan 0 Atalanta 1 Italy Serie A 13/04/25 W Bologna 0 Atalanta 2
