Monza Atalanta
Monza face imminent relegation while Atalanta seek to cement their top-four position. (Photo by ICONSPORT)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Atalanta to win

Atalanta have a 100% win record in five Serie A H2Hs.

In a clash of contrasting fortunes, Serie B-bound Monza host third-placed Atalanta at the Stadio Brianteo on Sunday,  4 May.

View our Monza vs Atalanta predictions below.

Monza vs Atalanta prediction: Comfortable win for the visitors 

Key stats

  • Bottom-ranked Monza are 12 points from safety with four matches to play.
  • Only four other teams in Serie A history have collected fewer points than Monza’s 15 after 34 games.
  • Atalanta have an emphatic 100% H2H league win record, with an aggregate score of 14-3 in five wins.
  • La Dea boast the best away record this Serie A campaign (W11, D3, L3).

Correct score prediction: Monza 0-2 Atalanta

Monza face near-certain relegation heading into the weekend, their fate all but sealed. With no goals in their last three league matches, they look ill-equipped to trouble an Atalanta side chasing their highest-ever Serie A finish. La Dea should dispatch the Biancorossi comfortably in this mismatch.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Massive odds back La Dea

  • HOME: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%
  • DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
  • AWAY: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.9%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Monza risk setting an unwanted club record as they stare down a potential sixth straight Serie A defeat – something they’ve never suffered before. Their dismal form (one goal in five consecutive losses) explains their long 10/1 odds, i.e. 9.1% win probability against high-flying Atalanta.

The visitors arrive with European ambitions burning bright. Unbeaten in three and holding a three-point cushion over Juventus, Gian Piero Gasperini’s men boast an overwhelming 81.9% chance of victory, according to bookmakers, as they look to cement their top-four position.

For more intriguing odds, take a look today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: One-sided affair

Atalanta boast an unbeaten record in their five Serie A meetings with Monza, winning every encounter while consistently scoring multiple goals. The Biancorossi’s solitary victory against La Dea dates back to the 1999/00 Serie B campaign – a distant memory that offers little comfort.

Italy Serie A 30/10/24

Atalanta

Atalanta

2
Monza

Monza

0

Italy Serie A 21/04/24

Monza

Monza

1
Atalanta

Atalanta

2

Italy Serie A 02/09/23

Atalanta

Atalanta

3
Monza

Monza

0

Italy Serie A 04/06/23

Atalanta

Atalanta

5
Monza

Monza

2

Italy Serie A 05/09/22

Monza

Monza

0
Atalanta

Atalanta

2

Monza preview: Can it get any worse?

Struggling at the foot of the table, Monza face further defensive woes with Andrea Carboni suspended – a significant blow for a side already boasting Serie A's second-worst backline.

Manager Alessandro Nesta faces additional selection headaches with seven other players unavailable: Kevin Zeroli, Keita Balde, Silvere Ganvoula, Danilo D’Ambrosio, Armando Izzo, Matteo Pessina and Roberto Gagliardini.

Predicted lineup: Turati (GK), Pereira, Caldirola, Palacios, Birindelli, Castrovilli, Bianco, Akpa, Kyriakopuolous, Mota & Caprari

Italy Serie A 11/05/25

W

Udinese

Udinese

1

Monza

Monza

2

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

L

Atalanta

Atalanta

4

Monza

Monza

0

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

L

Juventus

Juventus

2

Monza

Monza

0

Italy Serie A 19/04/25

L

Napoli

Napoli

1

Monza

Monza

0

Italy Serie A 12/04/25

L

Venezia

Venezia

1

Monza

Monza

0

Atalanta preview: On the verge of making history

La Dea are just six points from equalling their club-record 71-point Serie A haul, with Monza presenting what appears to be a winnable opportunity to close that gap. Three absentees for this game are Gianluca Scamacca, Sead Kolasinac, and Giorgio Scalvini.

Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Kossounou, Hien, Djimsiti, Zappacosta, De Roon, Ederson, Bellanova, Pasalic, Lookman & Retegui

Italy Serie A 12/05/25

W

Roma

Roma

1

Atalanta

Atalanta

2

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

W

Monza

Monza

0

Atalanta

Atalanta

4

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

D

Lecce

Lecce

1

Atalanta

Atalanta

1

Italy Serie A 20/04/25

W

AC Milan

AC Milan

0

Atalanta

Atalanta

1

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

W

Bologna

Bologna

0

Atalanta

Atalanta

2

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