With just one point separating Monaco and Toulouse in the top half of Ligue 1 standings, Stade Louis II prepares for an exciting league encounter on Saturday, 25 October.
Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Monaco vs Toulouse tips below.
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Monaco vs Toulouse prediction: Closely-fought draw
Key stats
- Monaco are winless in three consecutive Ligue 1 (D2, L1).
- Les Monegasques are unbeaten on home turf in six competitive clashes.
- Toulouse are undefeated in three successive league outings (W2, D1).
- A minimum of 2.5 goals have been scored in Toulouse’s last three games.
Correct score prediction: Monaco 2-2 Toulouse
Monaco's defeat to Lorient at the end of September was the start of their five-match winless run across all competitions. Sebastien Pocognoli’s new-look Monaco have drawn four matches on the trot, with Tottenham Hotspur holding them out to a stalemate recently in the UEFA Champions League.
The hosts’ European commitments will see them host Toulouse just three days later, with the visitors looking fresh for the first time this season. Back-to-back wins over Metz and Lyon have lifted spirits in the away camp, and they will be confident enough to claim at least a point here at Stade Louis II.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Strong home favourites
- HOME: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.7%
- AWAY: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are unbeaten in 12 Ligue 1 encounters on home turf – this should provide them with confidence of holding out Toulouse. Monaco have 3/4 (1.75) odds assigned to them, implying a 57.1% probability of victory.
Toulouse are currently enjoying their highest points tally at this stage of a Ligue 1 campaign for the first time since 2016/17. Priced at 27/10 (3.70), they carry a 27.1% chance of success.
Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Monaco vs Toulouse predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Monegasques supremacy
Monaco have won 11 of their last 18 H2Hs against Toulouse, losing just thrice in the process. La Tefece’s previous H2H victory over Monaco was in February 2024 at Stade Louis II.
France Ligue 1 07/03/25
Toulouse
Monaco
France Ligue 1 07/12/24
Monaco
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 18/02/24
Monaco
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 20/12/23
Toulouse
Monaco
France Ligue 1 03/06/23
Monaco
Toulouse
Monaco preview: More than a handful of absentees
Paul Pogba, Denis Zakaria, Thilo Kehrer, Eric Dier, Lukas Hradecky, Lamine Camara, Krepin Diatta and Vanderson are all absentees, while Lamine Camara and Aladji Bamba are questionable for this clash.
Predicted lineup: Kohn (GK), Diatta, Kehrer, Salisu, Ouattara, Teze, Coulibaly, Akliouche, Fati, Golovin & Balogun
Last five matches:
- Monaco 0-0 Tottenham (UEFA Champions League)
- Angers 1-1 Monaco (Ligue 1)
- Monaco 2-2 Nice (Ligue 1)
- Monaco 2-2 Manchester City (UEFA Champions League)
- Lorient 3-1 Monaco (Ligue 1)
Toulouse preview: Can they return home satisfied?
Carles Martinez Novell has three names missing: Rafik Messali, Ilyas Azizi and Niklas Schmidt.
Predicted lineup: Restes (GK), Sidibe, Cresswell, Nicolaisen, Magri, Casseres, Francis, Methalie, Vignolo, Donnum & Gboho
Last five matches:
- Toulouse 4-0 Metz (Ligue 1)
- Lyon 1-2 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- Toulouse 2-2 Nantes (Ligue 1)
- Auxerre 1-0 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- Lille 2-1 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
Player to watch: Ansu Fati
Despite missing the opening four games of the season, the ex-Barcelona forward has picked up pace with excellent displays in recent matchdays. The 22-year-old has jumped atop the goalscoring charts with a five strikes to his name in four games since returning to the squad.