The French Riviera prepares as Monaco and Nice renew their historic rivalry for the 131st time, with the high-flying hosts looking to capitalize against their struggling coastal neighbours on Sunday, 5 October.
Keep close tabs on French Ligue 1 predictions after viewing our key Monaco vs Nice tips below.
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Monaco vs Nice prediction: A third consecutive 2-1 result?
Key stats
- Monaco haven't kept a clean sheet in eight fixtures this season.
- Three of Monaco’s last four league games featured a red card.
- Nice are winless in four straight competitive games (D1, L3).
- Les Aiglons have won three of their last eight Ligue 1 games.
Correct score prediction: Monaco 2-1 Nice
Monaco's form has been inconsistent of late, playing out an impressive 2-2 draw with Manchester City in the UEFA Champions League, but suffering a shock 3-1 league defeat to Lorient just prior. That loss marked their second of the domestic campaign, leaving them fourth in the table after six rounds.
In contrast, Nice are without a win in their last four games across all competitions (D1, L3). A 2-1 defeat to Fenerbahce in their most recent outing extended their run of consecutive competitive away losses to five.
Adi Hütter’s side are one of just two teams, alongside Paris FC, yet to keep a clean sheet this season. Despite this defensive vulnerability, Monaco’s quality and home advantage should see them through in what is expected to be a tightly contested Riviera derby.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Strong home favourites
- HOME: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.5%
- DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.4%
- AWAY: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Only three points behind joint leaders PSG and Lyon, Monaco have the chance to impress on home turf. Les Monegasques have 17/20 (1.85) odds assigned to them, implying a 54.5% probability of victory.
Nice are in poor form away from home in the French top-flight, winning just one of their last six league games on the road. Priced at 27/10 (3.70), they carry a 27.1% chance of victory.
Visit our football betting tips page for more free predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: On equal footing
The hosts have lost three of their last five H2Hs, winning the other two in the process, including their most recent encounter in late March. Their recent duels have been toe-to-toe for most part, with only one strike separating the them in their last four H2Hs.
France Ligue 1 29/03/25
Monaco
Nice
France Ligue 1 27/10/24
Nice
Monaco
France Ligue 1 11/02/24
Nice
Monaco
France Ligue 1 22/09/23
Monaco
Nice
France Ligue 1 26/02/23
Monaco
Nice
Monaco preview: A whole list of absentees
Aleksander Golovin, Paul Pogba, Denis Zakaria, Thilo Kehrer, Lukas Hradecky, Lucas Michal, Christian Mawissa and Vanderson are all absentees, while Lamine Camara and Aladji Bamba are questionable for this clash.
Predicted lineup: Kohn (GK), Salisu, Teze, Mawissa, Vanderson, Coulibaly, Diatta, Idumbo, Minamino, Akliouche & Biereth
Last five matches:
- Monaco 2-2 Manchester City (UEFA Champions League)
- Lorient 3-1 Monaco (Ligue 1)
- Monaco 5-2 Metz (Ligue 1)
- Club Brugge 4-1 Monaco (UEFA Champions League)
- Auxerre 1-2 Monaco (Ligue 1)
Nice preview: Can they avoid another defeat?
Haise misses the services of Mohamed Abdelmonem, Tanguy Ndombele, Gabin Bernardeau and Youssouf Ndayishimiye.
Predicted lineup: Diouf (GK), Mendy, Bombito, Oppong, Clauss, Sanson, Samed, Abdi, Diop, Cho & Moffi
Last five matches:
- Fenerbahce 2-1 Nice (UEFA Europa League)
- Nice 1-1 Paris FC (Ligue 1)
- Nice 1-2 AS Roma (UEFA Europa League)
- Brest 4-1 Nice (Ligue 1)
- Nice 1-0 Nantes (Ligue 1)
Player to watch: Ansu Fati
Despite missing the opening four games of the season, the ex-Barcelona forward has picked up pace with excellent displays in recent matchdays. The 22-year-old has jumped atop the goalscoring charts with a joint league-high three strikes to his name in two games since returning to the squad. He now has four goals in as many competitive appearances this campaign.